I'll believe it when I see it.
Justin Trudeau hints at boosting Canada’s military spending
- Thread starter Maxman1
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2%
2.5%
3%
....
5%
Trump has just upped the ante.
Trump to demand Nato nations spend 5pc of GDP on defence
Countries told to bolster their budgets as president-elect passes burden of Ukraine war to Europewww.telegraph.co.uk
Negotiating 101: Bracketing and Trump is leading the negotiation by setting the high bracket (5.0%).….and he could double-bracket as well, we shall see. Canada is way down on the backside of the low bracket (2.0%). Those that take defence seriously will probably make national statements of commitment at or slightly above the bracket mid-point (3.5%). They’ll be rewarded with acknowledgment of team play and a preferred place in Trump’s sphere of influence. The others may be double-bracketed on the high side of single-bracket mean (above 3.5%…3.75 to 4.25%+/-) and when they don’t or can’t, they will be on the outs with Trump and he’ll beast them until they at least ante up to the original mid-point (3.5%).
WSC (Western Select Crude) - 56USD > Alberta sells to America
WTI (West Texas Intermediate) Crude - 70USD > America sells to Europe…
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The line in the article about complaining that there is a trade deficit in cars going to EU vice from the EU made me laugh.2%
2.5%
3%
....
5%
Trump has just upped the ante.
Trump to demand Nato nations spend 5pc of GDP on defence
Countries told to bolster their budgets as president-elect passes burden of Ukraine war to Europe
And he wants Europe to buy more Alberta Oil and Gas.....
After he has got his mark up and resold it through American ports.
A huge proportion of Americans don’t even buy American-company cars. What makes anyone think Europeans will when they have BMW, Volvo, Mercedes, Audi, etc?
many of which are owned and built off-shore.
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Sure - still not American-led companies though.
If those cars are still built somewhere in Europe, and the trade skews towards them, then the point is still valid.
AmmoTech90
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Yes, that European component, Stellantis, should definitely pull out of the US market.
quadrapiper
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Get the impression that the European market looks to Japanese and Korean automakers (maybe Chinese too, now) if they're after an alternative to domestic, too.
Ditto (though this is even more of an impression) agricultural and construction kit.
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I suspect his minimal accepted number from anyone is 3.5% at this point.
He is being looped in to NATSEC briefs again, and aware of what Putin is planning and what Xi is capable of, and why NATO needs to have everyone above 3% at this point, and planning on seeing what 4 and 5% would look like as well as war planning for a large scale conflict.
Agreed.
I don’t think he will accept anyone under 3% period. It won’t just be on the outs, there will be significant pressure applied to make them course correct from many avenues we have. I suspect that could also mean influence activities by USG assets as well to undermine leaders of nations who don’t step up.
quadrapiper
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Noting that he's not known for consistency at the best of times, it would aid his cause if it wasn't coupled with a less-than-straightforward approach to Putin. To say that the US isn't up to/interested in shouldering the entire burden of keeping Europe out of VVP's grabby little hands is legitimate; it would, though, cost him and his country nothing for him to be much, much clearer about telling the Russians to leave Ukraine. "We've got the very best missiles, made by wonderful Americans, and I'm going to give Ukraine and my good friend (listen to him somehow mangle Volodymyr) all of those missiles, and tanks! Did you know how many tanks we have just sitting around? I'm going to give them all to Ukraine so they can recapture their own great country. I don't care about red lines, never trusted any Reds, but I do care about borders... people need to stay on their side of borders... (cue rambling re: Mexico)"
Raytheon, Lockmart, and the rest need to up their schmoozing/bribery game, too.
It would also be an easy way to distinguish himself from the Biden admin's Sullivan-driven dawdling.
MilEME09
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Related, new reporting on housing in the CAF just dropped, with 25 recommendations
publications.gc.ca
Gaps to fill : housing and other needed supports for Canadian Armed Forces members and their families : report of the Standing Committee on National Defence / Hon. John McKay, chair.: XC34-1/1-441-14E-PDF - Government of Canada Publications - Canada.
Publication information / bibliographic Record.
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I’m sure the govt (of any party) will get right on that.Related, new reporting on housing in the CAF just dropped, with 25 recommendations
Gaps to fill : housing and other needed supports for Canadian Armed Forces members and their families : report of the Standing Committee on National Defence / Hon. John McKay, chair.: XC34-1/1-441-14E-PDF - Government of Canada Publications - Canada.
Publication information / bibliographic Record.
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What I enjoy is that CFHA has been “carefully considering the matter” since 2021 and has managed a net increase of 41 RHQs, nationally.Related, new reporting on housing in the CAF just dropped, with 25 recommendations
Gaps to fill : housing and other needed supports for Canadian Armed Forces members and their families : report of the Standing Committee on National Defence / Hon. John McKay, chair.: XC34-1/1-441-14E-PDF - Government of Canada Publications - Canada.
Publication information / bibliographic Record.
Well done…
MilEME09
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I bet we could solve this pretty fast with prefab homes, then ship them to bases, drop them on the foundation, hook everything up and finish. Use prefab homes for pmqs, contract tiny homes for single members, and just mass produce
Staff Weenie
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On what land though? The fed govt is busy trying as hard as it can to divest as much DND property as possible.
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I suggested modular homes to CFHA in 2009.
I got eyerolls…they were looking at divesting housing units, not building more. Or spending $250k to renovate a 50 year old 700sqft A frame, instead of buying a brand new modular home for (at the time) $210k…
daftandbarmy
Army.ca Dinosaur
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Makes you marvel at the new and improved Nixon building....
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prefab homes seem to be pretty expensive these days though. Maybe not more expensive for the government?
Staff Weenie
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There was a company we dealt with a number of years ago that was building prefab homes that could be easily modified to barrier-free standards for ill/injured soldiers. Everything was cut and assembled on jigs. In many ways, this meant they were better built than those by local developers. They were moved to site in modules and assembled on a pre-poured slab. I would suspect that there could be an economy of scale if multiple units were purchased.
I also remember many years ago visiting Fort Drum, when they were upgrading their quarters - it was explained that in several US base locations, contracts were given to local home builders, who were responsible to build 'x' number of single, semi, and towns to a set (and seemingly quite nice - even single or two car garages) standard. The builders then had 20 year contracts where they were to be responsible for maintenance/upgrade contracts, but they would collect the rent during that time. Rental rates were set by the US govt. I'm not sure how it ultimately turned out, but it was an interesting idea.
All that to say, there are options, and where there is a will....
McG
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Prefabricated is less important that just having a few standard designs that can be built at every base. There is plenty of space in many PMQ patches as demonstrated in Chilliwack and Edmonton where developers lifted all the Qs off their foundations, poured new foundations on smaller lots (resulting in more foundations that before), put old Qs and new builds on the new foundations.
FSTO
Army.ca Fixture
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In a recent podcast the Toronto Star’s Althia Raj had wide ranging interviews within the Canadian defence community that ended with a more in depth discussion with Bill Blair. At the 49 minute mark she asked him about getting an all party consensus on military procurements so that the programs would survive a change in government. His answer was that he tried and kinda failed. Althia then pressed him and he then said, “I don’t believe it is possible to compel any future government to any course of action or any particular budgetary expenditure. I think that is the nature of our democracies. We are all a little bit imprisoned by the electoral cycles.”
So you tried, but you don’t believe you should. At least that is my take. Bill Blair has done a pretty good job at defence (I had low expectations) but that comment was a fail for me.
So you tried, but you don’t believe you should. At least that is my take. Bill Blair has done a pretty good job at defence (I had low expectations) but that comment was a fail for me.
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I don’t know. From the highlighted bit I think he’s saying “it is what it is” in more words.
So it’s more like “I’d want to, but currently don’t have the means to.”
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