I am not going to jump into this F35 vs the rest debate.
However, surely we can all agree on one thing: All five aircraft on offer would provide the RCAF with an upgrade on its current fighter force. We can at least take solace in the fact that no matter what aircraft is chosen, it will be an upgrade.
There are other issues which I am more interesting in hearing answers to, but they tend to get lost amongst the noise of "F-35 is awesome because....." and "F-35 sucks because...." ad nauseum.
1. Purchase cost is a small part of the overall price tag - what about operating costs? Surely that is a far more important figure in the big picture.
2. AAR - What would the cost be to get new tankers to support the new fighter if the new fighter requires a different system than our current mix of Airbus/Herc? Surely that calculation must be added into the mix? They are not unrelated.
3. Are our northern FOLs compatible with the new fighters? What is the cost to upgrade these sites, including runway extensions if required? Again, that is not an unrelated cost - it must be factored into the decision.
4. What industrial offsets will the five companies offer? LM has been very vocal about the 'potential' economic benefits of buying their offering, but as far as I know they are not guaranteeing any industrial offsets - only the opportunity to bid for contracts. (and I am certain someone on here will swiftly correct me if this is incorrect) The other four would no doubt have to offer guaranteed industrial offsets to counter the greater potential value of the LM programme. It will be interesting to see what they offer, and what Canadian companies become involved.
5. Intellectual property. We know that Canada won't 'get the codes' on the F-35. What about for the other four aircraft?
6. Should we go for the bare minimum number of aircraft, or buy something less capable but more numerous? Many of us on here know exactly what that minimum is, and why. But should we start already at the bare minimum required at the beginning of an aircraft's service life?
7. What do we intend to use them for? If NORAD plus the occasional sixpack vs a relatively benign threat, then probably anything will do. If we need a first night door-kicker, then maybe only a couple of options.
I have not seen definitive answers to any of these questions. I have seen a lot of "Company X estimates...", and "expected" and plenty of glossy brochures and promises from all five companies, but one has to take all of the PR with a grain of salt. They are trying to sell us something.
But at the end of the day, we'll buy a new fighter that will be a step forward from where we are now. And unlike some of the doomsayers out there (on all sides), no matter what aircraft we choose, we will join other like-minded NATO/Allied nations in fielding a primary fighter that will be in service for at least the next 25-30 years:
F-35 - US + many others
Eurofighter - UK, Germany, Spain, Italy
Rafale - France
Gripen - Czechs, Hungary, Sweden
Super Hornet - USN, Australia
No matter what is chosen, we won't be alone.
Harrigan