Welcome to the next 100 Years War. Not bad for a 2009 publication.
Looking forward to that Russian collapse and Chinese fragmentation
The Next 100 Years is a 2009 speculative nonfiction book by
George Friedman. In the book, Friedman attempts to predict the major geopolitical events and trends of the 21st century. Friedman also speculates in the book on changes in technology and culture that may take place during this period.
Overview
Friedman predicts that the United States will remain the dominant global superpower throughout the 21st century and that the history of the 21st century will consist mainly of attempts by other world powers to challenge US dominance. Although mainly about the geopolitics and wars of the century, the book also makes some economic, social, and technological predictions for the 21st century.
Second Cold War
In the 2010s, the
conflict between the US and Islamic fundamentalists will die down, and a second
Cold War, less extensive and shorter than
the first, will take place between the United States and Russia. It will be characterized by Russian attempts to expand its
sphere of influence into
Central and Eastern Europe, coupled with a buildup of Russian military capabilities. During this period, Russia's military will pose a regional challenge to the United States. The United States will become a close ally to some Central and Eastern European countries, all of whom will be dedicated to resisting Russian geopolitical threats during this period. Friedman speculates in the book that the United States will probably become a close ally of some Central and Eastern European countries: Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia, Hungary, and Romania. Around 2015, a Polish-led military alliance of countries in Central and Eastern Europe will begin to form, which is referred to in the book as the "Polish Bloc."
In the 2020s, the collapse of the Russian government and the fragmentation of mainland China will leave
Eurasia in general chaos. Other powers will then move in to annex or establish spheres of influence in the area, and in many cases, regional leaders will secede. In Russia,
North Caucasus and other
Muslim regions, as well as the Pacific
Far East will become independent, Finland will annex
Karelia, Romania will annex Moldova,
Tibet will
gain independence with help from India, Taiwan will extend its influence into mainland China, while the United States, European powers, and Japan will re-create regional spheres of influence in mainland China.
en.wikipedia.org
