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The Defence Budget [superthread]

Lightguns said:
There is actually a part of the government that gets supplied and maintained potted plants?

And the landscaping on a base appears by magic without human intervention?
 
milnews.ca said:
A quick update - now it's not JUST DND ....

As long as we're on the topic, there's an update from DND as well.  From the Defence Team people (DWAN link only):

Adopt a Plant – Keeping DND Green for a Good Cause

Recent policy changes have meant that the DND has had to part with all of the greenery in its National Capital Region offices. Thanks to the quick thinking of one employee, not everyone is saying goodbye to their workplace plant life.

Upon hearing of the plant removal, <name removed> took it upon herself to place an online bid on the 60 plants located within her building. As luck would have it, she won them all.

Not having the means to take care of all the plants herself, Ms. <name removed> set up a plant “adoption” program, which would give employees in her office the opportunity to take on the responsibility for caring for their favourite office plants. For a minimum adoption fee of $20, employees could choose to either take their plants home, or leave them at work. The initiative has been a great success! Within less than a week of returning from holidays all 60 plants found new caregivers.

All proceeds from the adoptions are being donated to the Soldier On Fund, a Canadian Armed Forces charitable fund that helps serving and retired military members overcome their non-visible or visible illness and injury through sport and other physically challenging activities. To more than $1,230 has been raised. 

Anyone inspired by Ms. <name removed>’s initiative, can place bids on the auction website at www.gcsurplus.ca.
 
This story which states that DND requested the deferment of $3B from its capital budget was taken from the National Newswatch site. It is reproduced under the Fair Dealings provision of the Copyright Act.

DND requested budget time-out: Harper

By The Canadian Press — Feb 12 2014

OTTAWA - Prime Minister Stephen Harper says the request to put off $3 billion in military equipment purchases was made by National Defence and does not represent a cut.

His comment comes in the face of Opposition demands that the Conservatives outline precisely which capital programs are being deferred over the next three years.

The new federal budget provided a global figure but no details on what is affected and when the reinvestment will occur.

Harper says the budget adjustment came from the military because it's unable to spend the cash during that time period, which happens to coincide with the government's drive to balance the budget.

Defence experts say the delay means that programs will lose buying power and the military may have to do with either fewer or less-capable pieces of equipment.

Harper insists the money will be available when the department needs it.
 
I'm not really sure what that means. Deferred for three years and it needs to be deliberately put back into the budget kind of sounds like cut to me.

Any better numbers available? They don't say where the cuts will be. 2012 was over a 40 billion deficit, 2013 still waiting for Q4 to get the final numbers.  A balanced budget will not be painless.
 
No wonder all that capital spending is being "moved" - DND wanted it!
Prime Minister Stephen Harper says the request to put off $3 billion in military equipment purchases was made by National Defence and does not represent a cut.

His comment comes in the face of Opposition demands that the Conservatives outline precisely which capital programs are being deferred over the next three years.

The new federal budget provided a global figure but no details on what is affected and when the reinvestment will occur.

Harper says the budget adjustment came from the military because it’s unable to spend the cash during that time period, which happens to coincide with the government’s drive to balance the budget ....
 
David Parkins, in the Globe and Mail, explains the impact of the federal budget on the Canadian Armed Forces in one picture:

web-friedcar14col1.jpg

Source: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/globe-debate/are-you-csis-csec-or-rcmp/article16655155/#dashboard/follows/
 
If paracord and gun tape are holding that $hit together, it may not be too bad...

I jest.
 
With all the talk of retirement moves, John Ivison brings discussion back to the real problems: poor budget/resource management and absent political direction.  Let's bring our attention back to this.
Report fires at aimless Canadian military ruled by balance sheets not foreign policy
John Ivison
18 February 2014

Rob Nicholson, the defence minister, clearly thinks that attacking a retired general over his moving expenses, in order to undermine his new role as an adviser to Liberal leader Justin Trudeau, is a priority and efficient use of his time.

The $72,000 bill for Andrew Leslie to move from one part of his tony Ottawa neighbourhood of Rockcliffe to another may stick in the craw of many taxpayers but it’s clear he operated within the Department of National Defence’s relocation rules.

Yet for Mr. Nicholson, this is the only event of note to have prompted a ministerial statement to the press in recent times. It has at least diverted public attention from a new report that excoriates the government’s handling of the defence file post-Afghanistan.

The Conference of Defence Associations Institute’s Strategic Outlook for Canada, released Tuesday, takes no prisoners.

“Ignoring defence requirements based on what the outside world looks like and not doing anything about it, is tantamount to delinquency of one’s government duty,” concludes the report, authored by veteran defence commentators Ferry de Kerckhove and George Petrolekas.

From the South China Sea to Syria, in times of crisis, Canada is a non-player, thanks to its adversarial approach, they say.

Ouch.

Canada is not alone in adopting what they call a “quasi-isolationist” approach to foreign engagement.

But it is the imperatives driving defence policy that disturb the authors — and should unsettle all Canadians.

“Fiscal pressures are leading to cuts to defence, based more on the balance sheet than on what a nation wishes to do in the world. For Canada, cuts to capability, delay or elimination of procurements, or reduction in readiness are imposed without the benefit of a foreign policy and defence review to articulate our national interests. This is deeply troubling …. Absent an articulated vision of its role in the world, and the provision of the right means to achieve it, Canada risks doing little and mattering even less in world affairs.”

Anecdotal evidence from sources inside DND suggest a department in disarray. The most obvious manifestation of this is the litany of failure on the procurement front. Aside from the well-documented cluster-flub of the F-35 fighter jet purchase, there was the recent decision not to proceed with the Close Combat Vehicle purchase — after an estimated $38-million of public money was spent on the tender process.

Then there is the Cyclone helicopters fiasco. The $1.7-billion spent on the effort to replace the aging Sea-Kings is the stuff of management failure legend, spanning three governments. But the Conservatives decided in December to plough on with the purchase when a more prudent move might have been to admit to mistakes made and go back to the drawing board. Sources suggest that there are over 200 ways in which the Cyclone fails the statement of operational requirement. Four of the 28 aircraft ordered are sitting in Halifax but are not considered operational because they lack the integrated electronics capability required.

There is plenty of blame to go around for these foul-ups — from inexperienced and credulous project management staff at DND, who were outmanoeuvred by highly motivated industry pitchmen, to military brass not prepared to risk their careers by admitting they got it wrong.

But the major structural complication behind much of the chaos at DND is that there is no clear concept of what the military should be doing after Afghanistan. The new defence procurement strategy announced this month is unlikely to revolutionize the process if there is still a lack of political direction on precisely what the military should be preparing itself for.

Budget freezes and the deficit reduction plan has chopped $2.7-billion, or 14%, from the defence budget. This has resulted in ad hoc cuts to operations such as land training programs, full-time reserve employment and aerospace and maritime readiness.

The Speech from the Throne last year called for the renewal of the Canada First Defence Strategy, at the same time as it announced further budget cuts. To say the CFDS is outdated is an understatement – one of its six core missions is to support key international events in Canada “like the 2010 Olympics.”

As the CDA paper points out, there may be a role for a Canadian “transitional disengagement force” to police a future peace deal between Israel and the Palestinians. Are we equipped for such a role? The authors say the Prime Minister is devoted to the Arctic, but point out that Canada’s physical presence is no match for other Arctic powers. Should that be the focus of future capacity building?

Even decisions that have already been made are now open to question, given the new fiscal climate. Both the Auditor General and the Parliamentary Budget Officer have found that the ships in the Royal Canadian Navy’s fleet will be replaced with less capable vessels unless the fleet becomes smaller.

Another recent CDA paper by analyst David Perry makes clear the government needs to reorient the military “to face new strategic demands with significantly fewer resources, in order to make the best of doing less with less.”

General Tom Lawson, the chief of the defence staff, acknowledged this salient fact in his Guidance to the Armed Forces, which said the military needs to “synchronize our level of ambition for new operational capabilities to today’s fiscal realities.”

The Conservatives love to harken back to the “decade of darkness” under the Liberals. At the same time, Mr. Nicholson is absorbed with firing a political broadside at a retired general who has retaliated by pointing out he faced real bullets when he was fighting for his country.

The defence minister’s time would be better served calibrating our ambition and articulating a vision of what the government wants from its military.

Beyond our support of Israel and freedom of religion, it’s not clear what Canada’s foreign policy goals are — or how its armed forces are expected to fulfill them. No wonder we are wasting hundreds of millions of dollars buying the wrong military hardware.
http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2014/02/18/john-ivison-report-fires-at-aimless-canadian-military-ruled-by-balance-sheets-not-foreign-policy/

... and for the report that he references, see here: http://www.cdainstitute.ca/images/so2014en.pdf
(Unlike the article, the report itself really deserves discussion in a forgein policy thread)
 
This story from the Ottawa Citizen suggests the CAF is considering dropping some capabilities and/or personnel cuts. It is reproduced under the Fair Dealing provision of the Copyright Act.

Canadian military studying personnel cuts, heavier reliance on allies for new defence strategy
http://www.montrealgazette.com/news/2013-budget/Canadian+military+studying+personnel+cuts+heavier/9788258/story.html

BY LEE BERTHIAUME, OTTAWA CITIZEN APRIL 29, 2014


Canadian military studying personnel cuts, heavier reliance on allies for new defence strategy


OTTAWA — Defence officials have been asking hard questions about the state of Canada’s military and its future needs, as the federal Conservative government prepares a new Canadian defence strategy.

The questions include where the Canadian Forces are most likely to be deployed globally, whether the military should try to save money by relying more heavily on its allies, and whether it has too many soldiers, sailors and air personnel.

Any decisions would require government approval, but the questions, revealed in internal documents obtained by the Citizen, provide a window into myriad issues the Canadian military and Department of National Defence face now and in future.

A new defence strategy is long overdue. Officials have deemed the government’s current plan, unveiled in 2008 and dubbed the Canada First Defence Strategy, unaffordable and in need of an update.

The government won’t say when the new defence plan will be unveiled. But, based on the documents, here are some of the issues officials are grappling with:

Do personnel levels need to change?

The Department of National Defence, like all federal departments, is facing deep budget cuts as the Conservative government tries to balance the budget by next year. It is unusual, however, in that while it can lay off civilians like any other department to find savings, the government has ordered it not to cut personnel in uniform. Instead, it must remain steady at 68,000 full-time military personnel and 27,000 reservists.

The Conservative government is sensitive to reducing the size of the military after criticizing past Liberal governments for doing this in the 1990s. But some, such as retired defence chief Rick Hillier, have suggested the number of people in uniform should be shrunk, especially in light of funding cuts and the end of the Afghan mission.

Defence officials are also looking separately at the army, navy, air force and special forces to ensure they are the right size “to meet future challenges,” suggesting a rebalancing of personnel across the services. And planners are looking at what special capabilities would be required to address new challenges such as space, cyber attacks and the Arctic, and how they should be prioritized.

What degree of self-sufficiency can be given up to save money?

One of the first things the new Conservatives government did for the military on coming to power in 2006 was order four C-17 heavy transport aircraft. “To be truly sovereign, we must be able to deploy our forces and equipment where they are needed, when they are needed,” Prime Minister Stephen Harper said at the time. “To put it bluntly, hitchhikers may get to their destination, but they don’t get to pick the route or the timing.”

Eight years later, defence planners are facing a different economic environment, with some trade-offs already planned. The navy will turn to allies and private firms to resupply its fleets starting next year, rather than keeping Canada’s existing replenishment vessels in the water until replacements are ready.

Third-parties will also be used to refuel Canada’s F-35s in mid-flight if the government decides to purchase the stealth fighter, which is incompatible with Canada’s current refuelling aircraft.

In both circumstances, the government will save money, but also face higher risks from having to rely on outside assistance.

How much? How fast? How long?

The government has laid out six broad missions the Canadian Forces must be ready to conduct, potentially all at the same time. They include such things as patrolling the Arctic, responding to a terrorist attack, helping out during a domestic or international natural disaster, and fighting a war.

Fiscal belt-tightening, however, has left defence planners studying their level of “ambition” when it comes to such missions, including what kind of forces should be dedicated to a mission, how fast the military should be called upon to respond, and for how long.

The idea that the military must be able to conduct six missions at once now appears uncertain, as officials have questioned what “degree of concurrency is expected in executing the mission.”

How to deal with aging equipment?

The government is already grappling with a large number of troubled military procurement projects aimed at replacing aging equipment. These include the air force’s fighter jets and search-and-rescue airplanes, and the navy’s resupply ships, frigates and destroyers.

But defence planners noted more equipment will need replacement in the coming years, including the airplanes used to fly the prime minister, the air force’s air-to-air refuelling aircraft, and the navy’s four submarines.

Complicating matters is uncertainty about how much money DND can actually count on when budgeting for the future, and how to address “defence-specific inflation.”

Inflation has been identified as a significant challenge for the department as it runs much higher in the defence sector than the average thanks in part to constantly evolving technological advances. Any project delay means less equipment can be bought with the money budgeted, unless the government gives more.

Defence Strategy Limbo

The Canada First Defence Strategy was unveiled to great fanfare by the federal Conservative government in May 2008. The focus was a promise of stable funding for the Canadian Forces for the next 20 years, and to re-equip the military with state-of-the-art equipment.

But the CFDS, as it is known in defence circles, was almost immediately criticized as little more than a shopping list, with little strategy. And only three years after being released, defence officials had quietly concluded the strategy was unaffordable.

The Conservative government’s promise of stable, long-term funding has essentially been abandoned to eliminate the federal deficit, with DND having hundreds of millions of dollars less than anticipated.

Nearly all the planned equipment purchases have also been scrapped or delayed. New frigates and destroyers were supposed to be in the water starting next year, and search-and-rescue airplanes in the air. Now no one knows when any of those will be delivered.

New maritime surveillance aircraft were expected in 2020, but won’t arrive until 2030. The army also recently cancelled a $2-billion plan to buy heavily armed and armoured personnel carriers, while it remains unclear what jet fighter will replace Canada’s CF-18s.

The Conservative government has been promising an updated defence strategy since 2012, but refuses to say when it will be produced.

© Copyright (c) Postmedia Network Inc.

- mod edit to add article link -
 
New frigates and destroyers were supposed to be in the water starting next year...
http://www.canada.com/news/2013-budget/Canadian+military+studying+personnel+cuts+heavier+reliance/9788258/story.html

Absolutely wrong, how typical of Canadian "journalism"--from Jan. 2013:

...CSC is currently at the earliest stages of project definition. By 2016, the RCN anticipates working toward finalizing the design of CSC and delivering its first of 15 vessels by 2022 [sure]...
http://vanguardcanada.com/unanswered-questions-about-the-canadian-surface-combatant/

Perhaps the author had the A/OPS in mind but even then the last time first delivery in 2015 was claimed was in 2011:
http://www.tbs-sct.gc.ca/rpp/2011-2012/inst/dnd/st-ts05-eng.asp#aops-npea

And by 2012 that delivery had shifted all the way to 2018 [with six ships planned what are the chances of getting first CSC in 2022?]:
http://www.tbs-sct.gc.ca/rpp/2012-2013/inst/dnd/st-ts04-eng.asp#aops-npea

Now the gov't only says that there will be "...a construction contract in 2015", who knows when deliveries will begin:
http://www.forces.gc.ca/en/business-equipment/arctic-offshore-patrol-ships.page

Ace reporting, eh?


Mark
Ottawa
 
Perhaps the reporter was referring to the clamouring of the Navy, which has for years now indicated that the Destroyers were getting way past their life time and should be replaced by 2015 at the latest.
 
Those are just three ships (eventually to be replaced via CSC program) but the story refers to "frigates" too--those 12 are the big number and never any expectation that their replacing would start 2015: FELEX:
http://www.forces.gc.ca/en/business-equipment/halifax-frigate.page

Also no plan of any recent date I can recall to replace destroyers themselves from 2015.

Mark
Ottawa
 
Hey Mark,

Since you asked, here's the relevant section:

http://www.forces.gc.ca/en/about/canada-first-defence-strategy.page#ql8

In case you're too busy, let me reproduce it for you:

Destroyers and Frigates

Starting in 2015, 15 ships to replace Canada's destroyers and frigates. While all these vessels will be based on a common hull design, the frigate and destroyer variants will be fitted with different weapons, communications, surveillance and other systems. These new ships will ensure that the military can continue to monitor and defend Canadian waters and make significant contributions to international naval operations.

Ace Reporter
 
Scoopster: Unfortunately those CFDS words date from 2008:
http://pm.gc.ca/eng/news/2008/05/12/canada-first-defence-strategy

Text then same as at your link:
http://www.casr.ca/doc-canada-first-defence-strategy-5.htm

One would have thought one should have looked at the current situation when writing about it.

Also from same 2008 text:

Fixed Wing Search & Rescue Aircraft

Starting in 2015, 17 fixed-wing search and rescue aircraft to replace...

Fighters

Starting in 2017, 65 next-generation fighter aircraft to replace...

Maritime Patrol Aircraft

Starting in 2020, 10-12 maritime patrol aircraft to replace...

What would you think if someone repeated those dates today?  Pleased to reproduce actual background for you.

Mark
Ottawa
 
Mark,

Of course they're from 2008. I think you missed the point that part of the article was trying to address, namely that the CFDS is vastly out of date. Which you clearly agree with.

 
Scoopster: My apology, you're right--the article does put that date in the context of the original 2008 CFDS and I missed it.

Thanks very much,

Mark
Ottawa
 
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