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Justin Trudeau hints at boosting Canada’s military spending

2% by 2032. No real plan on how we get there, but the "commitment" to do so is something, I suppose.

It’s in the fine print at the bottom of the ad.

“Certain conditions apply. Ask your dealer for details. 2% of today’s GDP or 2% of 2032 GDP, whichever is lower. The difference is carbon taxable and will be added to the amount of water bed financing. This offer is not valid to Residents of Quebec or Atlantic Canadians with heat pumps less than 10 years old. British Columbia residents with pro-nouns will receive an extra take home Submariner at no extra cost. Alberta Residents and Boomers add 12% wealth surcharge.”
 
Watch Trump get elected and broker a peace deal. That's going to be awkward as people try to explain why that's bad all of a sudden.
Depends on the terms. He could broker one, but the terms could be like the one recently floated - which might as well be called the “Russia wins” deal.

 
Last I checked, Ukraine has no interest in a peace deal that doesn't seem it get back the land, and the EU and UK may ramp up their support if the US pulls out. It would be good to have some additional offset generally, and countries like Poland have zero interest in being a soft target for the next Russian 'liberation'.
 
It will be a matter of a redline and if anyone blinks. If I were to guess today, soon after Trump assumes office there is a cease to hostilities with both sides holding firm. After negotiations (promises, offerings, blustering and threats of a bigger red button) Russian agrees to pulls back somewhat but not all the way. A UN patrolled zone of separation is established. Trudeau jumps at the chance to commit Canadian troops to a UN "peace keeping" mission, but Canada's participation is refused due to it's material support to war effort of one side.

The Panmunjeon solution. An undeclared end to an undeclared war. A new Iron Curtain.
 
The Panmunjeon solution. An undeclared end to an undeclared war. A new Iron Curtain.
Possible, but that would lead to a fractured Ukraine inside NATO and US/NATO troops stationed on sight.
Throw in the in track to join the EU and billions in EU grant money and within 20yrs the standard of living gap will be impossible to hide from Belarussians and Russians.
 
Means nothing.
Kinda means everything when you are trying to achieve peace. On top of this the russisn have declared every ukrainian government institution illegitimate defacto meaning they will not negotiate with who they say isn't thr government. There won't be any cease fire in Ukraine or negotiations as far as Russia is concerned and we need to be prepared for this conflict to not only go on but expand.
 
Watch Trump get elected and broker a peace deal. That's going to be awkward as people try to explain why that's bad all of a sudden.
A peace deal can be brokered right now. It won't come from the US if that does happen, it will come through Turkiye. Ukraine just has to give up on all of Donbas, Kherson, Crimea, etc...

So no it won't be awkward to explain, it will be easy to explain. Ukraine capitulates and Russia wins.

What the war has done is achieved a Trump stated goal, forced Europe to look after its own defence. The war can continue with less and less US materiel help (probably not without US intelligence help) within the next 6 months as EU ammo production increases and F-16's arrive.
 
It will be a matter of a redline and if anyone blinks. If I were to guess today, soon after Trump assumes office there is a cease to hostilities with both sides holding firm. After negotiations (promises, offerings, blustering and threats of a bigger red button) Russian agrees to pulls back somewhat but not all the way. A UN patrolled zone of separation is established. Trudeau jumps at the chance to commit Canadian troops to a UN "peace keeping" mission, but Canada's participation is refused due to it's material support to war effort of one side.
Interesting theory.

The only issue with a UN patrolled zone is there are virtually no neutral countries in this.
 
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Kinda means everything when you are trying to achieve peace. On top of this the russisn have declared every ukrainian government institution illegitimate defacto meaning they will not negotiate with who they say isn't thr government. There won't be any cease fire in Ukraine or negotiations as far as Russia is concerned and we need to be prepared for this conflict to not only go on but expand.

Not sure you understand how one side pre-positions itself ahead of negotiations...
 
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