I worked in the Directorate of Technical Airworthiness and Engineering Support (DTAES) upon my retirement this past January. During a portion of my time at this unit, I was responsible for the section that approved any out of scope maintenance program changes that the Senior Design Engineer (SDE) could not approve. This was for all RCAF fleets. Part of my duties also involved working on the certification (minor role) of the Cyclone. Thus, I know of potential problems that this helo had and I have my theories as to what some cause factors of the crash could be, but I will not share them for the following reasons, nor will I respond to any private messages about this issue:
1. There is an ongoing FS investigation. All former and serving RCAF mbrs damn well know better not to speculate on causes prior to DFS completing their investigation. There is a process. It exists for a reason. Part of this reason is to avoid speculation. Part of this reason is to avoid the so called "experts" coming out of the woodwork, being quoted in the media, and Joe Q uneducated public forming a misinformed opinion. Joe Q public barely knows his ass from his elbow, so how do you expect him to differentiate between one ex-military guy that knows diddly about a/c and investigations or someone that actually does? They don't.
2. Out of respect for our fallen. I've already been successful at correcting a so called "expert" who was quoted in one of the first CBC articles. I emailed him and expressed my displeasure at his remarks. To his credit he contacted the CBC reporter, who actually adjusted the story. Reinforcing my point 1 above, there HAS been speculation on pilot error. No one knows this, especially at the start of the FS investigation and just stating this to the press (which makes it into their stories) drags the good names of the aircrew through the mud for no reason, with no factual basis. Just imagine how the family feels when they see this speculation in the media.
Summary: stay in your lane. Stop speculating. Let DFS do their investigation.
Some clarification from different posts in regards to the "Jesus" nut:
-most of my career was spent in Tac Hel, not MH, but most helos don't actually have a "single" Jesus nut. For example, the Griffon had one assembly that resembled a Jesus nut, but in fact it was attached to the mast/head via many bolts that are all lockwired in. For the life of me I cannot remember its name as per the CFTOs.