I remember thinking that the Res F was not very cost effective when a unit with a Cl A budget of maybe $500K to $1M also consumed the equivalent of 5 or 6 full-time positions. For that, a unit produced one or two platoons of "effective" people. Most of the available or potential output (time and energy) of the middle and senior ranks was consumed as administration just perpetuating things in place.
I see no point in dreaming much further until someone first proves that we can consolidate soldiers in rural and small urban locations into single (administrative, if not role) units of 500+ that can be properly administered by half-a-dozen full-timers, with the part-timers spending no more than 10% of their time (none unpaid) on administration. The surplus full-time positions should go back to the schools for two or three years to keep the IT pipeline flowing while the changes in practice and organization are proven and established.
If we take $80,000 per year as the average salary for a member of a Reg F battalion of 500 members then the pay package alone for that battalion is $40,000,000 before any benefits etc. On average, a Class A reservist serving a total of 60 Class A/B days per year should cost 1/6th of a Reg f salary. Therefore a full Res F battalion would cost $6.6 million per year which is a substantial saving for a unit whose task is to be on standby for emergencies. For the cost of one Reg F battalion one could have six Res F battalions.
Like anything, the key difference is in clearly recognizing which units we need to have serving full-time because their skills are so complex that they need to train full-time or who are required for immediate quick reaction force duties and those units which can be held "in reserve" until they are needed.. Since we tend to put Reg F units through lengthy pre-deployment training cycles, there is really no need to to have as many Reg F battalions as we do. We tend to use very few on what would be a quick reaction basis.
I agree with you that we need to consolidate Res units and headquarters in order to minimize administrative overhead but quite frankly the administrative overhead that they use now pales in comparison to the 17,000 folks providing administrative overhead in Ottawa plus the additional 100 to 200 in each of the divisional headquarters (of which 2 would be more than enough - I'd leave their training centres untouched but turn those into the before mentioned Depot battalions) I quite frankly think that if one was to amalgamate three or more Res F battalions into one then all their RSS staff should be part of that amalgamation not only to provide the administration but also to plan, organize and conduct their training and fill key leadership roles.
These days there are numerous jobs which are difficult for reservists to fill even at the lower levels. For example an artillery forward observer these days needs to know not only the conduct of a simple fire mission but how to operate the turret of a LAV, numerous complex technical instruments therein and to be able to be a FAC/JTAC. The same for an artillery FOO technician. Managing an FSCC in a deployed battle group is completely outside the skill set of a properly qualified Res F artillery major. All of them would require significant additional specialist training before being able to do the job. On the gun line most jobs are learnable but the reserve units do not train on the same equipment as the Reg F units they are to support and therefore there is again a need for substantial conversion training (some Reg F units provide such training here and there but at significantly differing levels). I expect the same issues apply to the infantry and armoured corps.
Quite frankly, the issue isn't the piddling little budget or even the administrative load (which I agree should be reduced in any event) which makes the reserves not as cost effective as they should be. It's the failure of the overall system (which is totally owned by the Reg F) to provide the reserves with the proper training and equipment to make them truly plug and play capable or to allow them to function at a collective training level. As long as they are managed a second class soldiers by their Reg F leaders they will never reach the cost effective force multipliers that they could and
should be.
We truly need to figure out which Reg F capabilities we need which can safely be kept in reserve and organize, train and equip the reserves to fill those roles and to be maintained in a state that allows them to be quickly mobilized (there I've used that dirty word) as and when needed. That IMHO includes many of the heavy lifting capabilities such as gun batteries, tank squadrons, air defence batteries, anti-armour platoons/companies, mortar platoons, reconnaissance companies, MP companies, transport companies, supply companies, maintenance companies, intelligence companies, UAV reconnaissance and strike companies, I could go on but you get the idea. For each of these skill sets there need to be sufficient Reg F specialists who will develop doctrine, conduct training and maintenance and provide key leadership roles. If these organizations can be aggregated into functional and deployable battalions then so much the better.
The current practice to simply cut capabilities every time the Reg F faces a budget crisis is just plain stupid and has left us as an Army that cannot even deploy one fully equipped mechanized brigade with all the combat and service support enablers that it needs. Quite frankly if you want to look at an organization that is failing miserably on its RoI then look at the Reg F Army. We spend billions on it every year and its combat capability outputs are measured by the minimally equipped battle group.