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Colin P said:Bird gunner the US overall homicide rate and suicide rates are not exceptional, in fact France's suicide rate is higher and lets not talk about South Korea and Japan both which have strict gun control.
Plus those homicides listed include "justified homicides" which are legitimate self defense and police shootings.
Take a look at US homicides rates at the county level and you quickly realize the majority are the result of social issues the politicians have failed to address for the last 25 years. Blaming guns has been the red herring to avoid difficult conversations involving specific groups and cultures which lead to those clusters of homicides.
If people want to sit down and talk about how to reduce mass attacks, without starting out with gun control, but analyzing all of them and finding common issues, then you make progress. I would like the CDC to do a serious and deep study of the link of anti-depressant drugs and mass attacks, either to support that theory or remove it from the table.
You're right about the suicide rate, but the rate in which guns used are, which is the larger point. I don't believe anywhere was it suggested that the overall suicide rates were higher rather than the rates with gun use (which is statistically higher beyond any doubt). The murder rates, however are absolutely higher in the US than other western countries as I showed above. The US murder rate of 42.01/100,000 places it 99th highest in the world. At first glance this doesn't seem bad (half way-ish) until you actually look at the countries above it. Compared to other western countries such as France (163rd highest, 10.54), Canada (142nd, 16.23), Japan (188th, 3.97), South Korea (122nd, 25.32), and Germany (177th, 8.44) the US is 100%, undoubtedly, beyond reproach, higher and significantly so. The next highest of the nations mentioned, South Korea, has just over half of the murder rate of the US per capita.
As for murder levels, I would like to see the data you have by county level. In relation to per capita murder by state the highest are:
1. Louisana;
2. Missisippi;
3. Missouri; and
4. South Carolina.
In gross numbers, the leading states are California (1861), Texas (1316), Florida (1041), and Illinois (744). As these are all in the top 5 of states by population this isn't surprisingly or statistically out of line. They even are much lower per capita than other states, which means that the statistical analysis for the per capita ratio used in the study that determined the US had the 99th highest rate was actually LOWERED by these states rather than lifted. As an example- if you take the states of Oklahoma, Conneticut, Lousiana, Kansas, Alabama, New Mexico, Mississippi, South Carolina, Nebraska, and Washington State (a mix of blue/red states) which have a population similar to that of California (38,940,307) you actually get 495 MORE murders than in California proper (2356). If you go by county per capita the highest county is Orleans Parish (New Orleans), Coahoma County, Mississippi (total population of 25,000 in rural state area), Phillips County, Arkansas (rural county, population 22,000), then St. Louis City. If you take a look at the two attached images, the CPRC graph depicts murder rate while the second graph depicts population distribution. that they are are similar isn't statistically or logically surprising.
In terms of gangs, undoubtedly they are a problem. That said, the assertion that gang account for most murders isn't contentious. the National Gang centre figures show that there were 2363 gang related murders, of which 67.2% took place in cities over 100,000 (or on the flip side 32.8% took place in smaller more rural cities). The FBI indicates that a total of 14,827 people were murdered that year, meaning gang related murders accounted for 16% of the total homicide rate. Moreover, if you take a look at murder rates by age you find that total murder victims of all sexes and races between the ages of 13 and 34 (prime gang age group) account for 6920 of the total murders, or 47%.This makes the 2363 murders by gangs high in that age range, but certainly not out of place statistically. Of interest also since we need to have, as you say"...difficult conversations involving specific groups and cultures which lead to those clusters of homicides" the racial break up of murders was 4582 white, 5531 black, 240 other, and 4228 "unknown" victims. The rate of murders among blacks is undoubtedly higher than among whites which underlies social problems. However, murder isn't a one race issue, or gang issue, it's a US issue. By weapon, guns accounted for 8855 murders, knives 1589, and other weapons (including hands and fists) 2321. So, guns accounted for 4940 more murders than other causes combined. Finally, gun related murders by age show that there were a total of 3081 murder victims with guns in the groups ranging ages 1-12 (117!!!!!) and 35+ (2964). Even if we assumed that all 5768 gun related murders in the age 13-34 range were gang related, 45% of gun related murders would still be outside of this group.
For a fun fact, there were 173 gun related murders in Canada that year. so, there were 56 less US children aged 1-12 murdered with firearms than in all of Canada. If you look at the excel spreadsheet from FBI records there are more fun facts. France, in 2012, had 35 murders by firearm, meaning that there were 28 more gun related murders in the US by "romantic triangle" than in all of France. Japan had 11 murders by firearms, which is 9 more than babysitters killing children in the US and 25 less than alcohol related shooting murders in the US. If you look at the statistical breakdown of gun related murders the implication that "gang" related murders as the driver is clearly wrong.
https://www.nationalgangcenter.gov/Survey-Analysis/Measuring-the-Extent-of-Gang-Problems
https://ucr.fbi.gov/crime-in-the-u.s/2012/crime-in-the-u.s.-2012/offenses-known-to-law-enforcement/expanded-homicide/expanded_homicide_data_table_3_murder_offenders_by_age_sex_and_race_2012.xls
As for your last comment I have said before and will say again that yes, guns aren't 100% to blame for the mass shootings. There is a need for a cultural shift in the US, including the way that guns are viewed. The comment "if people want to sit down and talk about how to reduce mass attacks, without starting out with gun controls..." is insincere at best since it is equal parts gun control proponents and equal parts NRA/gun right proponents that jump up every time there's a mass shooting and cry about their respective issues.
The statistics clearly indicate that the US has a gun problem. There's no other way to account for a difference of 7112 gun murders between Canada and the US if the Canadian total of 173 was corrected for population difference. That Canada has so many more gun related murders than other western countries would seem to indicate that we need changes here too, though that's another story.