Trump administration 2024-2028

[Humphrey Bogart]

he also doesn’t believe women should be in combat roles so there’s neat

This is an area that I disagree with his views, with the caveat that I don't believe in double standards, quotas or anti-meritocratic policies that we seem to love in the Great White North. If we are talking about American politics, this isn't a deal breaker for many Americans and I would argue that many Americans probably agree with him.

As I said elsewhere, you can disagree with someone's opinion on a specific issue and still like other opinions they may have. I very much agree with his opinions on Iran and China.

 

[Remius]

Trump administration is going to give Canada a swift kick in the teeth.

And we know you’ll be cheering them on.

 

[OldSolduer]

Not sure about that nonesense. Just the conspiracy theories that went around that the USSS was in on it.

Conspiracies like this don't work because someone always spills the beans. Watergate should have taught that.

 

[QV]

And we know you’ll be cheering them on.

If due to the proximity of the risk and threat, the US forces Canada to appropriately and expediently deal with those in government who are wittingly helping our chief adversary, then we should all be cheering them on.

 

[QV]

Conspiracies like this don't work because someone always spills the beans. Watergate should have taught that.

Never rule out incompetence… that said, inadequate security while knowing there are legit threats… there are many ways that scenario can happen and not all accidental.

 

[Humphrey Bogart]

The biggest issue we as Canadians should be concerned with is the upcoming USMCA review & renegotiation which is scheduled for 2026.

Interestingly, Mr. Keith Creel, CEO of CPKC just wrote an Op ED in the Globe & Mail which I think outlines the issues:

Opinion: We must do something about the frequent labour disruptions harming Canada

The labour dispute at B.C. ports follows one at the Port of Montreal – the third in four years. Canadian labour instability has become a chronic problem

www.theglobeandmail.com

Following the recent U.S. election, international trade is once again front and centre. There are threats of tariffs, protectionism and the critically important 2026 review of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agreement (USMCA) trade pact.

Canada must prepare for the USMCA review by addressing its chronic labour instability now. It should start by rapidly resolving the current port strikes. Then, there needs to be a serious national conversation about improving the legal tools the federal government has available to prevent – or rapidly end – a labour disruption that is threatening Canada’s national interest.

Canada must give its North American partners confidence that it can be trusted as a responsible and reliable trading nation. Otherwise, how can we expect to be seen as a credible and trustworthy country that keeps its word in a trade agreement?

I view making Canada again an attractive place to do business and giving others confidence that we are a reliable trading partner as the primordial concern for our Country in the coming years.

 

[suffolkowner]

The biggest issue we as Canadians should be concerned with is the upcoming USMCA review & renegotiation which is scheduled for 2026.

Interestingly, Mr. Keith Creel, CEO of CPKC just wrote an Op ED in the Globe & Mail which I think outlines the issues:

Opinion: We must do something about the frequent labour disruptions harming Canada

The labour dispute at B.C. ports follows one at the Port of Montreal – the third in four years. Canadian labour instability has become a chronic problem

www.theglobeandmail.com

I view making Canada again an attractive place to do business and giving others confidence that we are a reliable trading partner as the primordial concern for our Country in the coming years.

does that have anything to do with USMCA though?
our North American partners? I wonder what Mexico is demanding of us from a trade standpoint?

 

[Humphrey Bogart]

It absolutely does. If we are seen as unreliable, the Americans are going to absolutely hammer us.

We should start by investing in automation and efficiency. The Port of Vancouver ranked 2nd last in Global Efficiency ranking. We are absolute laggards...

https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/port-vancouver-rating-1.6873992

A robust Defence Policy is also a component of being a reliable trading partner. Namely to protect the flow of goods. Right now we are basically a non-player.

 

[Remius]

The biggest issue we as Canadians should be concerned with is the upcoming USMCA review & renegotiation which is scheduled for 2026.

I see three things.

1. What you said about trade. Immediate tariffs will not be good. It may force Canada to seek other partners. This exact thing led us to china under Harper and continued under Trudeau. We will need to be careful.

2. Border. Expect a lot of asylum seekers when the US starts deporting.

3. Defence. No point in really having any more expeditionary capability if the US goes introvert. Focus on NORAD. Shore up the north and ditch the NAVY for an armed coast guard.

 

[KevinB]

Never rule out incompetence… that said, inadequate security while knowing there are legit threats… there are many ways that scenario can happen and not all accidental.

When he was not the President, he was deemed to have adequate security.
He had more than any other previous President - believe it or not the USSS is not huge, sure it has around 5k personnel, but it has many other jobs than Presidential (or Former, or now President-Elect) Protection.

 

[suffolkowner]

I see three things.

1. What you said about trade. Immediate tariffs will not be good. It may force Canada to seek other partners. This exact thing led us to china under Harper and continued under Trudeau. We will need to be careful.

2. Border. Expect a lot of asylum seekers when the US starts deporting.

3. Defence. No point in really having any more expeditionary capability if the US goes introvert. Focus on NORAD. Shore up the north and ditch the NAVY for an armed coast guard.

We've never had much luck with developing other trade partners in spite of our large immigrant communities. Its just too easy to deal with the US

 

[Remius]

Its just too easy to deal with the US

until now?

 

[markppcli]

I mean when a liberal candidate for PM tells me hes going to cancel the f35 i might discount it

They actually did, just the open competition was won by the F35… which his dumb but they did do it

 

[Good2Golf]

Getting Trump to name it DOGE was admittedly a good troll.

But a good investment, it would seem.

 

[KevinB]

Interesting read, and maybe things just go on.
Some rather interesting stuff on other aspects of recent American history.

What If, Somehow, It All Works Out in the End?

A historical case for quasi-optimism.

open.substack.com

 

[The Bread Guy]

But a good investment, it would seem.

View attachment 89056

Over the past week, sure, but a bit volatile over the longer term, too ...

 

[Remius]

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-senate-republicans-pick-new-leader-amid-pressure-trump-allies-2024-11-13/

New speaker of the senate chosen. Not the guy Trump wanted. Rick Scott was dropped in the first round.

 

[KevinB]

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-senate-republicans-pick-new-leader-amid-pressure-trump-allies-2024-11-13/

New speaker of the senate chosen. Not the guy Trump wanted. Rick Scott was dropped in the first round.

The Senate does what the Senate does.

 

[Good2Golf]

Over the past week, sure, but a bit volatile over the longer term, too ...
View attachment 89057

Whereas real estate is all about location, location, location…investing is about timing, timing, timing.

 

[brihard]

https://www.reuters.com/world/us/us-senate-republicans-pick-new-leader-amid-pressure-trump-allies-2024-11-13/

New speaker of the senate chosen. Not the guy Trump wanted. Rick Scott was dropped in the first round.

Trump was already pressuring the front runners to let him make recess appointments to cabinet, avoiding the confirmation guardrails.