The be fair; however, I note that the leader of the Conservative party has recently changed his appearance, some would say 'softened' and just this morning I saw a TV ad purportedly from his wife saying how wonderful he is.
And on that note.
338canada.com
Do they? My observations say differently. There are often, frequently, more than half, I won't be specific 'cause I can't, scars. Sometimes they recover and sometimes they don't. Divorce hurts. It produces as much or more hurt than does a death in the immediate family regardless of how we rationalize otherwise.
I know that I have gone on about this before but I do wonder if Singh's caucus may revolt in order to salvage something from a left wing massacre.And on that note.
Here is the latest 338 polling data indicating that the CPC messaging and tone change is having an effect.
338Canada Canada | Poll Analysis & Electoral Projections
One seat away on the seat count to be in majority territory.
My take aways:
1. PPs change of image and tone is making him more appealing as a leader and alternative
2. the new tv ads are pretty slick and are designed to solidify the lead they have
3. The LPC cabinet change hasn’t done much to reset confidence in them
Predictions.
1. I think the LPC has kept their powder dry on the attack front. I suspect they may start that earlier than they wanted to (ie saving it for the campaign trail when they have the funds to do that). They will try and bait. That could backfire for a lot of reasons.
2. Expect a roll out of new spending on economic issues. We’ve seen a few but I expect a ramp up this fall.
3. There could be talk of replacing Trudeau. Not saying that is happening or that it will happen but that talk may start to make some headway in the public domain if the polls keep widening. He’s clearly the biggest liability right now.
That’s a fair point.
They may want to but likely are aware of their financial situation as a party. And the last things they want is a CPC gvt where they will have no sway.
Their leader now is an apologist for the liberal party as seen by the public so a palace revolt wouldn't change much except maybe give them some self-respect. With the numbers dropping off for the libs they will be getting significant negative feedback from their home ridings and those are the people they depend on to pad their pensions and not Singh. He won't be around after the next election regardless
Possibly. However their popular vote trend and seat projection is fairly much the same since the last election. Even now they would only lose three seats if held today. Would a leadership change be called before an election? I’m doubtful. I see no rising star for them. And he has the street cred to show he was able to push an NDP agenda. But losing any ground next election will likely see calls for change in the NDP no doubt.
Interesting take. I hadn’t thought of that. I doubt that was timed though and probably one of coincidence. I saw them as more of a get to know the guy kind of thing as part of a larger makeover (tone, dress and messaging style).
If it was done for that reason, have to agree. Part of me, though, thinks the softening initiative was in preparation well before the separation.
Jarnhammer offers some food for thought though. I just found an article where Nick Nanos agrees with him that the timing was intentional. The ad though, was likely prepared well in advance due to its fairly high quality and as you say part of the image makeover.
That's probably accurate. However, the CPC could have delayed the launch and use of the ads in order to show sensitivity to JTs marital turmoil. This may come back to bite them.
I don't think that word means what you think it means. I've checked a bunch of dictionaries, and none of them define "crass" as 'ingenious subtle dig at a most opportune time'. You think for one second Team JT wouldn't have unleashed all their hell hounds if the glass slipper was on the other foot?
No doubt that it can be effective and, by your numbers, seems to be. My sole point was that such maneuvering, spinning and image management is not the exclusive domain of any one side of the spectrum.And on that note.
Here is the latest 338 polling data indicating that the CPC messaging and tone change is having an effect.
338Canada Canada | Poll Analysis & Electoral Projections
One seat away on the seat count to be in majority territory.
My take aways:
1. PPs change of image and tone is making him more appealing as a leader and alternative
2. the new tv ads are pretty slick and are designed to solidify the lead they have
3. The LPC cabinet change hasn’t done much to reset confidence in them
Predictions.
1. I think the LPC has kept their powder dry on the attack front. I suspect they may start that earlier than they wanted to (ie saving it for the campaign trail when they have the funds to do that). They will try and bait. That could backfire for a lot of reasons.
2. Expect a roll out of new spending on economic issues. We’ve seen a few but I expect a ramp up this fall.
3. There could be talk of replacing Trudeau. Not saying that is happening or that it will happen but that talk may start to make some headway in the public domain if the polls keep widening. He’s clearly the biggest liability right now.
I think you misspelled “looking after debt so we didn’t have to…”
check the recording dates. I believe they were canned several weeks ago
