- Reaction score
- 21,960
- Points
- 1,360
So JT was wearing elevator shoes?
Or your ‘Stache was weighing you down?I may have been slouching a bit when PP jogged past me as I was putting out my recycling. Mext
Time he jogs by, I’ll ask him how tall he is.
Trudeau Popularity - or not (various polling, etc.)
- Thread starter daftandbarmy
- Start date
Or your ‘Stache was weighing you down?I may have been slouching a bit when PP jogged past me as I was putting out my recycling. Mext
Time he jogs by, I’ll ask him how tall he is.
daftandbarmy
Army.ca Dinosaur
- Reaction score
- 32,144
- Points
- 1,160
So JT was wearing elevator shoes?
I may have been slouching a bit when PP jogged past me as I was putting out my recycling. Mext
Time he jogs by, I’ll ask him how tall he is.
And you still think that was a coincidence, right?
New EKOS poll.
I’m curious as to what the other polls will be saying.
Aggregate 338 is showing several weeks of incline but still in the basement trend. Will be interesting to see 338 on Sunday. But going from 22pt difference to 10.5 is a big drop but still a wide gap.
Definitely the LPC is eating some NDP support.
Race Continues to Tighten
[Ottawa – November 12, 2024] At 39 points, the Conservative Party is still in a commanding position; however, their massive 22-point lead from a few months ago is now less than half that. At 28 poi…
www.ekospolitics.com
I’m curious as to what the other polls will be saying.
Aggregate 338 is showing several weeks of incline but still in the basement trend. Will be interesting to see 338 on Sunday. But going from 22pt difference to 10.5 is a big drop but still a wide gap.
Definitely the LPC is eating some NDP support.
- Reaction score
- 2,042
- Points
- 1,160
- Reaction score
- 2,042
- Points
- 1,160
lol!New EKOS poll.
Race Continues to Tighten
[Ottawa – November 12, 2024] At 39 points, the Conservative Party is still in a commanding position; however, their massive 22-point lead from a few months ago is now less than half that. At 28 poi…www.ekospolitics.com
I’m curious as to what the other polls will be saying.
Aggregate 338 is showing several weeks of incline but still in the basement trend. Will be interesting to see 338 on Sunday. But going from 22pt difference to 10.5 is a big drop but still a wide gap.
Definitely the LPC is eating some NDP support.
“The results have been weighted by COVID-19 vaccine uptake to better represent the institutionally mistrustful blah blah blah …”
So EKOS fudged the numbers.
Attachments
Might explain those numbers. Not sure how that affects the methodology as in how it’s used to affect a margin of error.
- Reaction score
- 2,042
- Points
- 1,160
Totally. The CPC lead was too big and there’s no way they are going to sweep 230 seats like many were hoping.
With the clock ticking down to October next year, reality will set in at the polls.
With the clock ticking down to October next year, reality will set in at the polls.
They were never gonna hold the peak like that, it was unrealistic. They’re sitting at the level of support where a modest % shift can tip quite a few seats. No surprise.
They don’t need to sustain a peak; they need a majority when the election actually happens. We’ll see how well they’ve finally learned the lesson of targeting their campaign to swing the seats that need to be swung.
They don’t need to sustain a peak; they need a majority when the election actually happens. We’ll see how well they’ve finally learned the lesson of targeting their campaign to swing the seats that need to be swung.
ArmyRick
Army.ca Veteran
- Reaction score
- 2,342
- Points
- 1,010
Do tell. Tell us what you think will happen.
The CPC will win, but will be well short of some of the exceptionally lofty seat counts we saw in “if an election were held today” polling over the summer. The pendulum never stays swung all the way out.
- Reaction score
- 18,699
- Points
- 1,280
…and that was why Poilievre wanted to call for a vote once Parliament resumed in Sep. That was their best chance for a max seat count, especially with the US election not decided.
Since the other parties still don’t see any advantage in an early election, we get to see how the Trump administration affects things in Canada for 9 months until ours hits the Oct deadline.
Halifax Tar
Army.ca Fixture
- Reaction score
- 11,344
- Points
- 1,260
- Reaction score
- 1,669
- Points
- 1,060
Was just up in South River On. 2 bdrm apartment $2500 a month. Hard to see that being good for Trudeau. If I was him Id hold on as long as possible
Yeah that’s Sundays numbers with data from last week. Slow drops for weeks now as it looks like the trend is moving to its natural point it seems.
I suspect Ekos’s Monday poll will be reflected this Sunday but…
Weighted against the other polls which I doubt swung as much as Ekos did but we’ll see. B+ is a decent rating but it will be diluted by the big three that are higher rated.
- Reaction score
- 1,718
- Points
- 1,090
I have little doubt that this will be the LPC/NPD campaign strategy:
Poliviere = Trump
CPC = Republicans
National abortion ban
Hidden agenda
Halifax Tar
Army.ca Fixture
- Reaction score
- 11,344
- Points
- 1,260
And this is why I said Trudeau is likely giddy at the fact trump was elected. I’m not saying it will work, but he now has meat for his strategy.
- Reaction score
- 1,669
- Points
- 1,060
its a possibility for sure Im just not sure it trumps the economic situation. The US is in a great economic situation compared to everyone else and the Democrats still paid at the polls. The turn on wokeism doesnt favour Trudeau either
Colin Parkinson
Army.ca Myth
- Reaction score
- 11,896
- Points
- 1,160
The enduring vote pinata, you can tell the Libs are in panic mode the more they talk about guns and abortion.
Dont forget Guns...
Agreed. But sometimes people resort to what they know.
