There were two dozen seats where either the Liberal or NDP won by less than the margin of votes that went PPC. Add everything together, and that would have been in minority government territory.
I never said they were successful.
Not sure it will move any needles. Until houses are built and available and people owning them I doubt it will affect polling in any significant way.
21, specifically. That assumes all of those PPC votes and consequently all of those 16 LPC and 5 NDP seats would have gone CPC. It would have left the CPC with 140 seats against LPC 144, and 19 for NDP. Same Parliamentary balance. In practice, a few of those CPC+PPC totals were so narrowly above LPC that it likely would have been fewer.
Agreed about trying to stop the hemorrhage. Even if they aren’t empty (some of these initiatives are decent efforts), it’s probably too late anyways. We won’t see the effects for a few years anyways. Interest rates are where they are and housing prices are not becoming affordable by any means.
Nope, they’ll need shovels in dirt ASAP. Interestingly, the announcement has NOT come as an election platform promise on the party website, but rather as an infrastructure announcement tied to the imminent budget. Some of what’s in there will take effect potentially within months. Trudeau is looking to walk into the election a year and a half into the execution of this plan rather than making it contingent on getting voted in.
For sure. My point on effects is more on polling and people’s attitude towards housing.
Yup, this is going to force the CPC on fairly short order (after the budget passes) to either cede the ground, or to start talking about what they’d do instead.
logical approach by the CPC would be to go directly to the cause of the shortage, being too many people for the numbers available and show plans to regulate/reduce the number of immigrants of all types except legitimate refugees whilst offering a plan to work with the provinces directly to free up some government holdings for a leasehold system. Thus staying within current division of responsibilities and also not increasing government expenditures
FTFY
Possibly. There are several causes that go beyond immigration. But so far, the CPC seems to be skipping the provinces in their housing ideas.
Housing will no doubt be a statistically highly visible issue, but I think many are not/will not be making a firm linkage between the relatively large sequential deficits and associated massive debt that is primarily financed with government bonds, which in turn (continues to) pressure upwards inflation. I will be Ken to observe the months following the budget to see what happens to inflation. Tiff Macklem had been clear that he’s not ready to lower the BoC prime lending rate just yet, and if inflation resurges from its current ~2.8% above 3% due to deficit/debt pressure, the rate won’t be coming down any time soon like some are hoping.
Where is this and what camp is this?Very little can the feds do directly on the housing issue. It is rightly a Provincial and municipal level issue. Where they can do it directly is on CAF bases and Reserves. If the CPC gets in, they could have some of the Camp companies build accommodations on bases in very short order, while they work on long term solutions. This camp will be up for sale soon.
Site C Dam construction camp near Fort St John.
Pollivre already stated immigration will be tied to housing. He isn't focusing on it that much because it would be any easy in for Trudeau to cry racism.
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