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PMJT: The First 100 Days

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recceguy said:
Is the PM really that dense that he's going to give this guy a high profile, international position, representing Canada at a time that the trial of his minions is starting to take place.

I wonder how he would handle it in Parliment, if McGuinty ended up with charges, or was seriously implicated, resulting from those charged flipping on him.

There is an excellent German expression to describe that: schadenfreude
 
recceguy said:
Is the PM really that dense that he's going to give this guy a high profile, international position, representing Canada at a time that the trial of his minions is starting to take place.

I wonder how he would handle it in Parliment, if McGuinty ended up with charges, or was seriously implicated, resulting from those charged flipping on him.

Why not?  Gordon Campbell was appointed as High Commissioner by PM Harper after he was gently force out of office in a cloud of suspicion and unpopularity.  And he's a convicted drunk driver to boot!

Thanks to him, BC is now stuck with Premier Sarah Pailin...I mean, Christie Clark.
 
recceguy said:
Is the PM really that dense that he's going to give this guy a high profile, international position, representing Canada at a time that the trial of his minions is starting to take place.

I wonder how he would handle it in Parliment, if McGuinty ended up with charges, or was seriously implicated, resulting from those charged flipping on him.
"Diplomatic immunity" is such a harsh term  >:D
 
Diplomats don't get immunity from prosecution by their own country....

Just sayin....
 
http://m.ottawasun.com/2016/01/31/krayden-trudeau-is-on-a-collision-course-with-defence-minister-sajjan
 
Trouble in the Butts?


Reproduced under the Fair Dealings provisions of the Copyright Act.

OPINION
KRAYDEN: Trudeau is on a collision course with Defence Minister Sajjan

DAVID KRAYDEN
FIRST POSTED: SUNDAY, JANUARY 31, 2016 11:22 PM EST | UPDATED: SUNDAY, JANUARY 31, 2016 11:30 PM EST

With reports this past week that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau will "soon" meet with his cabinet to discuss the War on Terror, and specifically the battle with ISIL, I couldn't help thinking about another cabinet meeting, chaired by his father, Pierre Trudeau, in 1969.

Trudeau had some news for his inner circle that day and it was consistent with a man who could never quite relinquish his anti-American posture nor his fondness for left-wing demagogues. But Trudeau had such an abundance of personality and charisma: Did his foreign policy views really matter?

He found out they did.

Throughout the 1960s the Liberal party was both committed to the Cold War and unabashedly pro-American, so much so that the Kennedy administration actually assisted the Liberals to win the 1963 federal election. So when Trudeau announced to his cabinet in the spring of '69 that he wanted to pull Canada out of NATO, he might as well have proclaimed himself prime minister for life. Liberal ministers who proudly recalled that Canada was a founding member of NATO and a key player in the containment of communism since the organization's inception in 1949 rebelled. Some offered their resignations. Others threatened to go to the press.

When the brouhaha was over, Trudeau realized that he was a leading a party, a caucus, a cabinet and indeed a country that viewed the world differently than he did -- and Canada stayed in the NATO alliance.

Does the current Liberal cabinet (and the country) view the world differently than Justin Trudeau? I can't help believing that Defence Minister Harjit Sajjan does and that he is on an inevitable collision course with the prime minister on many defence issues, but most significantly on Canada's role in the fight with ISIL.

Sajjan was a lieutenant-colonel in the Canadian army with deployment time in Afghanistan. He knows first-hand what Islamic extremists are capable of and that armed and fanatical terrorists are not undermined nor defeated by increasing humanitarian aid.

Trudeau believes in lending a helping hand throughout the world. But without concomitant military force, that hand will be cut off. He is actually talking about something called a more "robust" training mission, about as efficacious in fighting ISIL as a more robust cup of coffee.

Canada has already been excluded from a NATO planning meeting this month. The organizers didn't even bother with diplomatic parlance to cloak the reason for not inviting us. U.S. Defence Secretary Ashley Carter said the six invited nations were playing "a significant role" in the fight against ISIL. He further noted the lack of space for "free riders" in the coalition.

Ouch.

It hasn't taken long for Trudeau to diminish Canada's standing on the world stage. As many of us noted, the decision to bring the CF-18s home and to cease bombing missions against ISIL was both a tactical error and strategic blunder.

Foreign Affairs Minister Stephane Dion actually had the astounding clumsiness to note that Canada was only delivering two per cent of the airstrikes against ISIL, as if the courage and skill of our RCAF pilots were hardly worth mentioning.

The percentage is hardly worth noting. A coalition is not just about the amount that you contribute but that you are willing to contribute at all. Otherwise, it is all just rhetorical hot air that demonstrates perhaps a longing to try but never a desire to succeed. Canada never had the military capability to resist a Soviet invasion of Western Europe either -- but our willingness to lend our forces to repel any invasion meant our commitment was deeper than talk.

It's not that Stephen Harper left office with an unblemished record on national defence. He adroitly played the shell game of military funding. But he was prepared to put Canadian resources on the line and to publicly state that Canada was committed to defeating ISIL through military means. He fostered no illusions that a few more care packages will face down terrorists who decapitate hostages with the same ease as ordering lunch.

Let's hope there's a reality check at that Liberal caucus.



Other areas of potential conflict between Trudeau and Sajjan

For a man lacking any passion for or understanding of national defence, Justin Trudeau could not have become prime minister at a worse time. He has inherited a barrack room full of mounting problems within the Canadian Armed Forces. They will not go away if he ignores them.

Here are some of the issues that could lead to inevitable conflict between humanitarian aid Trudeau and his military-experienced defence minister, Harjit Sajjan.

Joint Strike Fighter: After the Conservatives purchased C-17 heavy lift aircraft and a replacement for the C-30 Hercules transport plane, capital acquisition within the Department of National Defence devolved to its usual state of paralysis, during which -- during peacetime at least -- can only be described as a logistical and administrative nightmare. Decades are sometimes required to replace major articles of military hardware. Witness the still unresolved story of the Sea King replacement, which has lumbered on now since the Chretien government came to power in 1993 and cancelled the EH-101 contract.

The replacement fighter jet for the CF-18 promises to go the limit, too. Ironically, the purchase of the F-35 JSF was initially an innocuous and apparently non-partisan project initiated by the Liberals. Canada signed on along with Britain, Australia and all three combat-flying branches of the U.S. military. The sincere and admirable notion was for interoperability between four allies who frequently train and deploy with each other. Since then, the F-35 has been criticized by just about everyone who hated the Harper government, including peace groups who wouldn't know a fighter jet from a search-and-rescue helicopter. Harper was able to stall on the project, sensing he would be accused of buying another "Cadillac" for the military and now it's in Justin's lap. A decision is not just overdue, but ridiculously late. The CF-18s (ironically acquired by Trudeau) must be either replaced or mothballed in the next decade the work to do so must start now. Trudeau has already talked about cancelling the F-35 but offered no other alternative. Sajjan will know that that is not a viable option.

Canadian defence spending and NATO: During the Pierre Trudeau years, the Opposition Progressive Conservatives revelled in reminding Canadians that Canada was one of the most penurious members of NATO, spending less than everyone but lowly Luxembourg. Well, it's not much better today and wasn't any better under Stephen Harper; Canada spends less on NATO than only four other members of the alliance. Canada is supposed to be spending two per cent of its GDP on national defence. It agreed to do so two years ago at a NATO summit and for that matter the Conservative government promised to do so over a decade ago. In reality, we are spending less than one per cent and only achieved double that under Brian Mulroney. The pressure from our European and U.S. allies to shoulder our share of the defence burden -- given the terrorists incidents that these countries are experiencing -- is growing increasingly intense and caustic. Trudeau will want to insouciantly simile. Sajjan will press for action.

Rust-out in the Royal Canadian Navy: Again, the Liberal governments of the 1970s left the navy in what was bitterly described as "rust-out" condition. The Canadian Patrol Frigates that began to roll out during the Brian Mulroney years were a massive contribution to revitalizing Canada's maritime forces. But one treatment doesn't guarantee health for life and the navy is today looking at spending billions to replace ships that are rusting out just like the ones four decades ago. The Conservatives issued the National Shipbuilding Procurement Strategy but only began its implementation with some construction of arctic supply ships. The price tag for a combat-capable navy -- always something a three-ocean country such as Canada should aspire to -- is in the tens of billions of dollars. Trudeau, like his dad, won't flinch from running away from the problem. Sajjan, despite identifying with the army, knows all about the issue because it's a common discussion at the NDHQ water fountain.

"Tooth to tail" ratio: Canadians have been outraged over the over-administration in military since Sam Hughes was the Minister of Militia prior to the Great War. Successive governments have expressed their apparent passion for reducing the number of managers in the Canadian Armed Forces in order to maintain more soldiers, sailors and airmen and purchase the equipment they need. Liberal governments demonstrated an expertise at closing bases during the Chretien years (especially if these were located in ridings that didn't vote for the government -- bye, bye CFB Chilliwack) and the previous Conservative government showed its willingness to consolidate headquarters infrastructure. The planned move to a "single" (believe that when I see it) national defence headquarters in Ottawa's west end is evidence of that. But cutting management? Ever since (once again) Pierre Trudeau fused the Canadian Armed Forced with the Department of National Defence, DND has been overborne by civilian managers, all of whom belong to a very powerful and activist public employees union -- and Justin Trudeau is very beholden to them. Don't expect a bureaucratic shakeup, though Sajjan is aware of the need to do so.

Sometimes history doesn't suture a leader with the most suitable epoch. At least as far as national security issues are concerned, Justin Trudeau would seem to be a man ill-equipped for the task ahead -- unless he can listen to and heed good advice. He will definitely receive that from Harjit Sajjan; it will be up to Trudeau whether he listens or not. As for Sajjan, he must decide whether he can successfully meet the needs of his department, not by being a yes-man for the PM, but by cleverly showcasing funding requirements, building alliances within the cabinet and moving Trudeau into action.

David Krayden is a former Air Force public affairs officer and Parliament Hill communications manager who has worked in print, radio and television journalism. He writes and speaks about Canadian politics.

More on LINK.
 
It’s to early in the day for Sajin to revolt. He will be a good soldier and try to maintain his vision and accommodate the others, but within a year I think his frustration level is going to skyrocket when he realizes that he is going to get little support for defense issues from his own caucus and then only in the guise of jobs in various ridings. 
 
Colin P said:
It’s to early in the day for Sajin to revolt. He will be a good soldier and try to maintain his vision and accommodate the others, but within a year I think his frustration level is going to skyrocket when he realizes that he is going to get little support for defense issues from his own caucus and then only in the guise of jobs in various ridings.

Its likely killing him to keep his mouth shut on the ISIL mission, especially WRT the fighters pulling out. A few of his soundbites seem like he's trying to distance himself from the decision, and throw Trudeau/Gerald Butts/Liberal Power Corp under the bus. If he's anywhere close to the leader he's been described as, he won't have a public fight. Whether he stays a Liberal candidate at the next election, however, would interesting if he keeps getting jerked around.
 
dapaterson said:
Noted journalists (shurely you jest - ed) at Frank Magazine are reporting that a close personal friend of Gerald Butts is about to be named Canada's High Commissioner to the United Kingdom.

Congratulations, Premier Dad (aka Dalton McGuinty).


:facepalm:


EDIT: Added link: http://frankmag.ca/2016/01/premier-patronage-mcwimpy-to-london/
recceguy said:
Is the PM really that dense that he's going to give this guy a high profile, international position, representing Canada at a time that the trial of his minions is starting to take place.

I wonder how he would handle it in Parliment, if McGuinty ended up with charges, or was seriously implicated, resulting from those charged flipping on him.
Maaaaaaybe not so fast?
Dalton McGuinty has left his position as senior consultant with Pricewaterhousecoopers to pursue “other business activities” — but is not taking the position of high commissioner to the U.K., as reported by Frank Magazine.

Frank reported Friday that McGuinty had been tapped for the senior position, which would have seen him take over from former premier Gordon Campbell.

IPolitics has confirmed that while McGuinty left PWC in September, he is not the new high commissioner.

Dalton McGuinty Jr. did not specify what new “business activities” his father – the former Ontario premier – is taking on after leaving PWC but did say rumours of the high commissioner appointment are not true.

A personal assistant to the former premier of Ontario also said there was no truth to the suggestion.

“I can confirm for you that there is no truth to this rumour,” said Tracey Sobers, also former executive assistant to McGuinty from when he was premier.

“Mr. McGuinty is happily devoted full-time to his responsibilities in the private sector.  In addition to other private engagements, Mr. McGuinty’s responsibilities include being  a senior advisor to Desire2Learn, a Waterloo-based education technology company,  and serving on the Boards of infrastructure company, Pomerleau, and publicly-traded renewable energy company, Innergex.” ...
 
to pursue “other business activities”

I've seen that on one or two inter-office emails in the past.  It seldom means anything good.
 
That almost reads like the old "encouraged to seek success and fulfillment in another field of endeavour" line.
 
Just watched this video (a copy on YouTube with the CBC logo on it) and was absolutely revolted:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WE9yJ4rlQBI
 
I was impressed at the questions the young man put to JT, not so impressed with JT's answers.  But then, I'm not surprised that JT underwhelms me time and time again.  We're screwed.
 
Kat Stevens said:
That almost reads like the old "encouraged to seek success and fulfillment in another field of endeavour" line.

In the military, he'd be "promoted and posted".
 
We had plenty of warning. Andrew Lawton interviewed the Young Dauphin Jan 20, 2015 and everyone heard this:

https://soundcloud.com/am980/andrew-lawton-interviews

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hz9KHRNxtCo

So no one should be acting surprised now......
 
Thucydides said:
We had plenty of warning. Andrew Lawton interviewed the Young Dauphin Jan 20, 2015 and everyone heard this:

https://soundcloud.com/am980/andrew-lawton-interviews

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hz9KHRNxtCo

So no one should be acting surprised now......

What I find hilarious about that interview is how he is asked the same question 3 times and gives nothing but anti-war rhetoric that is irrelavent to the conversation.

He's clearly pandering to a peace movement that is silent or damn near non-existent with regards to Daesh.
 
This assessment of the performance of the government by Andrew Coyne in the National Post is reproduced under the Fair Dealing provisions of the Copyright Act. It is not very flattering and to those of us who remember the lack of fiscal discipline of the 70s, more than a little frightening.

Andrew Coyne: Trudeau’s first three months in power big on symbolism, short on substance


Andrew Coyne | February 5, 2016 3:50 PM ET

Three months in, the governing style of Justin Trudeau’s government is coming into focus. It is one part not being Stephen Harper, one part symbolic gesture, one part wriggling out of campaign promises, and one part saying yes to everybody. You thought the Harper government was all about the permanent campaign? Get used to it.

For a government that makes much of its progressive, forward-looking credentials, the Trudeau crew are unusually obsessed with digging up the recent past. The platform itself was filled with promises (my colleague, Bill Watson, puts the number at 50 ) to reverse this or that Conservative initiative. Some of these were well-considered — restoring the long-form census, forswearing the use of omnibus bills — others, such as abolishing income-splitting, less so. But what was common to all was their relentless symbolic focus, achieving maximum political mileage for least expense.

That trend has continued in office. From dropping highly charged legal appeals — the niqab case being the most famous example — to repealing laws that had become lightning rods for favoured client groups (e.g. bills requiring greater transparency in the affairs of unions and native bands) to such relatively minor irritants as the monument to the victims of Communism in Ottawa or the “Mother Canada” statue in Cape Breton, the Trudeau government has at all times been at pains to remind voters of the differences between itself and the government that preceded it, at least so long as this does not require much actual change in direction.

The lengths to which it is prepared to go in this regard are best illustrated in the continuing silliness over the mission against ISIL. The platform was unequivocal on this point: “We will end Canada’s combat mission in Iraq.” More specifically, the Liberals had promised to withdraw Canada’s CF-18 fighter jets from the mission, though from the time they made the promise they have yet to make any serious attempt to explain why: why others should fight in the region while we do not; why flying combat sorties is not where our “competitive advantage” lies, though our pilots are among the world’s most skilled and our allies have specifically requested they continue; nor any other of the host of questions it raised.

But of course they haven’t; of course they can’t. The truth is the policy was solely intended to distinguish them from the other parties, neither so gung ho as the Conservatives nor so cravenly pacifist as the NDP. Which is why when what the Liberals are pleased to call their new “policy” is announced next week, it will look like such ludicrous mush: withdrawing our own fighter jets (on precisely the schedule the mission was originally projected to end), but leaving in place the planes that refuel and guide those of other nations; doubling the number of “trainers,” whose actual work of painting targets for bombing runs looks a lot like combat; perhaps even sending an army battalion.

This tendency — to announce policy first, then figure out the consequences later; to prefer show to substance — is by now established as this government’s modus operandi. Is it to be supposed that the “evidence-based” party had any research to support its claim to be able to safely admit 25,000 Syrian refugees under government sponsorship by December? Was there any basis whatever to the party’s claim that raising the rate of tax on incomes above $200,000 by three percentage points would raise precisely the same sum ($3 billion) as cutting the middle tax bracket by a point and a half — and not, as is now admitted, at least $2 billion less?

Of course not: they gave each about the same amount of thought as Trudeau did in announcing, on the day the report of the Truth and Reconciliation Commission was released, that he would implement all 94 of its recommendations. Which is about twice as much thought as he and his advisers gave to the implications of abolishing party caucuses in the Senate, resulting in its current state of more or less total confusion and paralysis. Or, for that matter, than they gave to their pipeline policy.

It was great fun being in opposition, when it was possible to favour building pipelines in general, save for any that happened to be proposed (the exception was Keystone, which had the great political virtue of being on foreign soil), supporting established regulatory processes while insisting on the need to obtain “social licence” and promising aboriginal groups a veto. But now the Liberals are in government, and the party’s position is murkier than ever, the prime minister reduced to pleading with warring provincial politicians to get along.

Ah well. Perhaps it can all be held together with promises of more cash to everyone: more for public-sector unions (the Tories’ attempt to dial back the banking of sick days is the latest reversal), more for cities (is there a transit plan so ill-advised this government will not underwrite it?), more for provinces, more for aboriginal groups. It’s a particularly appealing strategy when you have effectively abolished the budget constraint: after first freeing themselves, at some political risk, from the stricture against running deficits, the Liberals found it comparatively easy to sail past the platform’s commitment to deficits of no more than $10 billion a year.

We’re now led to believe the bottom line is a continually declining debt-to-GDP ratio, but there’s no particular reason to think the Liberals will be any more bound by this constraint than they were the others. I’m sure they’re not completely happy about it, but in the end the show must go on.
 
In my opinion, just based on "gut feel," not any specific evidence, the Liberals are, still, and plan to remain for as long possible, in the campaign mode. They campaigned well in 2015 and they are campaigning, now, for the 2019 election ~ a lesson they (and the CPC) have learned from our American neighbours who have demonstrated that it is possible to not govern themselves at all. (I'm not sure who is more responsible for the decay, the rot in American politics, the clowns on the left of the Democratic Party or the morons on the right wing of the GOP, but, suffice to say, the USA is, really, not quite fit to be an independent country any more.)

But, when campaigning, all you need to really worry about are the polls and you "play to the polls," and propose polices that have no hope of being "good" or useful or even in the national interest, but you propose them just because they're likely to popular. That's what the LPC is doing now. The PMO, Betts, Telford, et al are the campaign team and they are not interested in governing, only in campaigning.

Can they keep that up for four years?

Well, no, I think ...

             
kcnk36lkjhlyznqnisw8.jpg


                    ... will intrude at, normally, the most inconvenient possible moment. cf. Murphy's Law and all that.


Edit: typo
 
gov·ern  (gŭv′ərn)
v. gov·erned, gov·ern·ing, gov·erns
v.tr.
1. To make and administer the public policy and affairs of (a state, for example); exercise sovereign authority over.
2. To control the speed or magnitude of; regulate: a valve that governs fuel intake.
3. To control the actions or behavior of: Govern yourselves like civilized people.
4. To keep under control; restrain: a student who could not govern his impulses.
5. To exercise a deciding or determining influence on: Chance usually governs the outcome of the game.
6. Grammar To require (a specific morphological form) of accompanying words.
v.intr.
1. To exercise political authority.
2. To have or exercise a determining influence.
[Middle English governen, from Old French governer, from Latin gubernāre, from Greek kubernān.]

http://www.thefreedictionary.com/governing

In most cases, except the political apparently, to govern is synonymous with control.  It is the back end of Boyd's OODA loop - the bit where Decision is required and Action occurs.  But to decide is to make enemies.

How long does it take before the ungoverned becomes the ungovernable?


 
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