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Informing the Army’s Future Structure

Its not necessarily a question of doctrine for the Canadian Army although I would agree its part of it.

I have a lot of disagreement with SSE and how it was written. Couple items specific to Concurrent Operations and its last item, Contribute to international peace and stability.
  • The Army has seized on Concurrency to the abandonment of any idea of mobilization or deployment of the entire Reg Force Army until the mission is done. This has follow on effects with the desire to maintain symmetrical Bdes and a focus on churing out BGs.
  • The Government in the Contribute to international peace and stability bullets did not specify those items to any one element therefore its unclear as to if the RCN,CA and RCAF and CANSOF are supposed to provide all of those items themselves or in conjunction or which ones are an Air Wing and which ones are a Naval Task Group and which ones are a SOTF.
  • The word deployment. That is just pure BS, you don't assign deployments you assign Tasks. To get to the assignment of a Task you need to figure out a few other items that are all related to strategic military readiness.
    • Readiness for "What". What do we see our Forces needing to do? PSO,COIN, LSCO in Europe, LSCO in the Pacific, Air Policing etc. etc. A PSO deployment is not a LSCO in Europe Deployment so we need to figure that out.
    • Readiness for "When". When do we see this conflict occuring and our forces to be ready for it? This turns into a balance of R&D with Modernization and Current Force structure.
    • Readiness of "What". If we pick LSCO in the Pacific, what does Canada see as necessary to WIN, or if you want what does Canada need to provide to help our allies and ourselves WIN? We need to put in place the resources and personnel to ensure that the "Of What" is of sufficient Mass and efficiency in line with the timeline we forsee for when we expect the conflict.
SSE did not provide any help in answering any of those questions and the CAF has done an equal job in ignoring them. The CA is realizing this but I think as an organization its still struggling to understand that Readiness is NOT merely Operational Readiness but also Structural Readiness and the fact that our Structural Readiness is abysmal is now impacting our Operational Readiness.

While I don't know I suspect the RCN and the RCAF are no better off in terms of Structural Readiness.

Final point is the in laying out these "deployments" vs using missions or tasks our forces continue to operate in relative silos vs operating in an actual joint manner to achieve a Canadian Task or Mission.

Maybe the Defence Policy Update will actually do a proper job of articulating our strategic vision and policy. I would hope it will although I won't be placing any bets on that.
I don’t disagree with you that SSE was disappointedly vague.
But I place blame on the CAF for not getting clarifications, or not seeing the vague details as a method to justify preparing for everything and going back to the GOC saying hey that’s a great policy - we need 175k personnel and 85b a year to do it, because we need these things…
Then when the government has a heart attack on the bill, they would either refine the scope of SSE, or hope no one notices a big tax increase.
 
I don’t disagree with you that SSE was disappointedly vague.
But I place blame on the CAF for not getting clarifications, or not seeing the vague details as a method to justify preparing for everything and going back to the GOC saying hey that’s a great policy - we need 175k personnel and 85b a year to do it, because we need these things…
Then when the government has a heart attack on the bill, they would either refine the scope of SSE, or hope no one notices a big tax increase.

I'll throw in a few $0.02 on this. I think we need to look back at history especially the disbandment of 4 CMBG and numerous rotos to the former Yugoslavia. As the Century turned the Army (Mike Jeffery in particular) was defining what its role was going to be in an ever shrinking budget envelope. In December of 2002 (with us now committed to Bosnia and just back from a one-of in Afghanistan but with the writing on the wall that we'd be back) Jeffery went before the NDVA committee to explain his problem.

LGen Mike Jeffery: Mr. Chairman, this issue clearly gets at the heart of current capability, which I'm more than willing to address. The scenario surrounding particularly current considerations is obviously a sensitive one, and I will not specifically address that. Let me talk as a force generator responsible for providing overall military capability.
As you are well aware, in terms of my requirements, I need to be able to maintain an immediate reaction unit—basically a light infantry battalion—on 10 days' notice to move; a mechanized battle group on 21 days' notice to move; and up to a full mechanized brigade group on 90 days' notice to move. Achieving all of that has a wide variety of factors around it, and I don't intend to go into those in a great deal of detail unless you wish me to.
Suffice it to say that we certainly can achieve the immediate reaction unit requirements, and indeed we can do that now in terms of that level of capability. A mechanized battle group within 21 days would be a challenge right now, but to go back to the question, it certainly would be easily achievable within six months. ....
In terms of a mechanized brigade group or brigade group requirement, as I've expressed to the committee before, collective training would be a significant factor here, given the fact that we haven't done that kind of training in quite some time. Achieving that within the ninety days would clearly be problematic. Depending on the circumstances, we may very well be able to do it within a six-month timeframe, but a lot of factors would go into play there.

So the problem was fairly clear and new approaches were needed. We went to Kabul, dropped Bosnia and then came back and to Kandahar. Jeffery packed it in the next year and was replaced and Hillier (his Deputy) quickly moved up to CDS, left the Army behind and restructured headquarters and started horse-trading with the government on missions while we implemented managed readiness and whole fleet management to try to meet the needs of both deployed forces and the training requirement back home.

Long story short, problems were not solved, just deferred as we kept cobbling together battle groups, TF headquarters and support elements as we tore apart brigades and Land Force Areas every half year to a year.

One can argue until the cows come home as to whether the Army was abandoning doctrine or rewriting doctrine on a slate blackboard in crayon every year or so to match the current situation. Quite frankly I can't say right now as to whether we have a doctrine or not. We do have TTPs and we still have manuals and we still practice brigade level operations which is a part of that. But IMHO that's a minor part of doctrine.

I tend to be like you. I think doctrine is strategically driven at the government level. It's not just having a battalion establishment and a methodology for using that battalion. Doctrine has cognitive, procedural, organizational, material, and moral components that interact as a whole to create an organization capable of meeting strategic defence objectives.

When Hillier returned from Afghanistan and started his courting ritual with the then Liberal government he worked on the first Defence Policy paper that had been issued in ten years. It was actually synced with the Foreign Affairs one. It's here. You can clearly see the change in focus to the international failed state intervention concept and the whole host of buzzwords like jointness and relevant and fully integrated etc. There's talk about a standing contingency task force and other mission specific task forces and transformation and new equipment. It's like someone has given you a box of Mechano and told you to go away and build something that will be useful when we need it. The Conservatives' Canada First Defence Policy (here) of 2013 is no better, just different. Its not until SSE that we see the mission set actually set out in a policy paper rather than internal capability studies and plans. But it aims far below a strategic level and introduces so many irrelevant concepts that one can be excused for wondering what it has to do with defence at all.

I've long been of the view that our biggest defence strategy (or doctrinal) failing is that while we deal with what one could call the department's day-to-day peacetime missions; we have no strategic guidance on the concept of mobilizing for emergencies (including war). We are built to mange low expectations. Meeting peacetime demands is a simple matter of balancing resources to missions. Give us X resources and we produce Y effects. It allows prioritization and even declining or under resourcing of missions because national security is not at risk. What we're missing is a policy of going all-in when the chips are down and it really matters. One gets the feeling that to some governments, national defence, is viewed like a strange hobby that some people need to be involved in rather than a necessity in a dangerous world. I fear that in certain circles the current dust up in the Ukraine will lead to the conclusion that the Russians are not a threat any longer and therefore one can carry on with business as usual.

This is why I keep droning on about a reformed and integrated reserve force and a better way of managing equipment so as to build up a reserve fleet. That is a critical part of doctrine - to create and manage an element of the defence force that is not needed every day but that is available for mobilization (there! I've said the dirty word) when a crisis demands it. Every defence policy, lip service is paid to the reserve force - usually a numbers game of growing the numbers - which is then manipulated internally into producing more pseudo PYs for day to day service (usually administrative) rather than a surge capability.

Quite frankly, I don't think the leadership needs clarification from the government. There is nothing to stop reasonable internal reform so long that it is reasonable. I think the trouble with reasonable reform is that it runs counter to vested interest within both the Reg and ResF (but mostly the RegF and the civil service) The RegF and Civil Service system is entirely too invested in the "rest" component of Neuton's First law of motion. An external force--and a powerful one--is needed to change that.

Rant off

🍻
 
Quite frankly, I don't think the leadership needs clarification from the government. There is nothing to stop reasonable internal reform so long that it is reasonable. I think the trouble with reasonable reform is that it runs counter to vested interest within both the Reg and ResF (but mostly the RegF and the civil service) The RegF and Civil Service system is entirely too invested in the "rest" component of Neuton's First law of motion. An external force--and a powerful one--is needed to change that

Unfortunately I think you’re right.

One rational for why F2025 has largely been halted was that the 24 Feb 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine changed the situation so much that F2025 was no longer valid.

Similar to how SSE released in 2017 was no longer valid leading to the Defence Policy Review currently underway. SSE was released well after the Feb 2014 annexation of Crimea and the start of the War in the Donbas.

While I am all for review and course correction as needed I find it difficult to believe that Canadian planners in multiple departments and national security agencies along with the CAF and CA did not consider a resurgent Russia and increasing Chinese presence.

In terms of F2025 specifically much of the planning was being done concurrently to the warnings of the Russia build up for Feb 22, if the CA failed to consider that in a broad sense I would be surprised. Unfortunately the Russia invasion and the Canadian Government announced Defence Policy review effectively gave the army an out. They were able to say the situation had changed and that they didn’t want to move out on a plan prior to the DPR being released.

Maybe that’s valid, maybe not either way it led to F2025 being drastically scaled back to the point that it’s basically dead.
 
However that doesn’t mean each sustained mission is the same, especially since one is as ‘Lead’ not sure what sort of leading a 1,500 pers ‘Battle Group’ will be doing in a world that deals with Divisions and Corps these days - but…
The 1500 pers mission lead was probably envisioned by whoever wrote the policy as a Haiti/Rwanda type deployment, with a Canadian 1 or 2 star HQ, a light or medium QRF, and the remainder of the force bulked out by the usual semi-random assortment of troop contributing nations. Exactly the sort of thing that we played around with in the 90’s — and rejected as too expensive and too risky for missions that usually didn’t accomplish anything.
 
Unfortunately I think you’re right.

One rational for why F2025 has largely been halted was that the 24 Feb 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine changed the situation so much that F2025 was no longer valid.

Similar to how SSE released in 2017 was no longer valid leading to the Defence Policy Review currently underway. SSE was released well after the Feb 2014 annexation of Crimea and the start of the War in the Donbas.

While I am all for review and course correction as needed I find it difficult to believe that Canadian planners in multiple departments and national security agencies along with the CAF and CA did not consider a resurgent Russia and increasing Chinese presence.

In terms of F2025 specifically much of the planning was being done concurrently to the warnings of the Russia build up for Feb 22, if the CA failed to consider that in a broad sense I would be surprised. Unfortunately the Russia invasion and the Canadian Government announced Defence Policy review effectively gave the army an out. They were able to say the situation had changed and that they didn’t want to move out on a plan prior to the DPR being released.

Maybe that’s valid, maybe not either way it led to F2025 being drastically scaled back to the point that it’s basically dead.

A solid long term strategic plan should be planned in a way to survive the 'fastballs' that arrive on a regular basis, or no large organization can survive without considerable pain and suffering.

I guess that explains the CAF ;)


6 Reasons Your Strategy Isn’t Working​


Nearly every organization is grappling with huge strategic challenges, often with a need to reimagine its very purpose, identity, strategy, business model, and structure. Most of these efforts to transform will fail. And, in most cases, they miss the mark not because the new strategy is flawed, but because the organization can’t carry it out. To survive this pandemic, leaders must confront the reality of their competitive environment and the hidden barriers that make their organization ineffective. If your strategy is failing and you don’t know why, look for these hidden barriers in your organization: unclear values, ineffective senior team, ineffective leadership style, poor coordination, inadequate leadership development, and inadequate vertical communication.


 
The 1500 pers mission lead was probably envisioned by whoever wrote the policy as a Haiti/Rwanda type deployment, with a Canadian 1 or 2 star HQ, a light or medium QRF, and the remainder of the force bulked out by the usual semi-random assortment of troop contributing nations. Exactly the sort of thing that we played around with in the 90’s — and rejected as too expensive and too risky for missions that usually didn’t accomplish anything.
No major disagreement there.
Which is why I place a lot of blame on DND and the CAF as the date of the release of that didn’t jive with the global situation.

SSE even talks about the CMBG at ~4,800 personnel being the cornerstone of the CA, yet there is no evidence it looks at the Brigade after that.
 
The 1500 pers mission lead was probably envisioned by whoever wrote the policy as a Haiti/Rwanda type deployment, with a Canadian 1 or 2 star HQ, a light or medium QRF, and the remainder of the force bulked out by the usual semi-random assortment of troop contributing nations. Exactly the sort of thing that we played around with in the 90’s — and rejected as too expensive and too risky for missions that usually didn’t accomplish anything.
I think that's generally right and goes back to our post 4 CMBG days when mission sets for formed on a plug and play battle group plus command and support elements. Yugoslavia and Afghanistan followed that model (even though we kept adding components to the later as time went on)

If your strategy is failing and you don’t know why, look for these hidden barriers in your organization: unclear values, ineffective senior team, ineffective leadership style, poor coordination, inadequate leadership development, and inadequate vertical communication.
I wouldn't have thought the latter should apply but I've been finding more and more in my interviews that the mushroom principle (fed on shit and kept in the dark) seems to have wide-spread application at the junior ranks level across the Army. I wonder if the fact that most people are so swamped with information these days that they cannot filter out and absorb the important bits that apply to them directly.

🍻
 
Playing with Optionally Manned Rheinmetall Lynxes (OMFVs) and Panthers (OMBTs)

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And thus the RCD, LdSH(RC) and 12e RBC.

More To Follow...
 

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All three battalions of all three infantry regiments. If a task needs more manpower than one battalion can accomplish send in two battalions. Or call up the Reserves.

And if there are more jobs than bodies .... do the other thing!


Reserves to follow.
 
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And to those that say "You can't do that!" I just did. And its My army. :LOL:
 
All three battalions of all three infantry regiments. If a task needs more manpower than one battalion can accomplish send in two battalions. Or call up the Reserves.

And if there are more jobs than bodies .... do the other thing!


Reserves to follow.

Meanwhile, the Reserves... ;)

Sad Friends Tv GIF
 
WRT the Reserves the CA needs to develop a plan to rerole some of the plethora of Cbt Arms units into Divisional and Corps level support units.
Case in point is the CA CBRN DECON capability. Currently the CBRN DECON element is a Svc Bn led secondary task for personnel pulled from across each CMBG and exists generally as a sub unit that would be activated if needed.

Missions and Tasks such as CBRN DECON would be perfectly fine being placed in the reserves. The CA should be capable of selecting and forming at least 1-3 CBRN units within the Reserves and similar for other specialist mission sets that are needed infrequently.

In my opinion the CA needs to seriously look at developing Div and Corp level support elements into units and formations within the Reserves. If that takes new policy and legislation to ensure that we can activate reserve units then lets do that as well but the current scheme of adding secondary jobs to reg force units is not going to work.
 
WRT the Reserves the CA needs to develop a plan to rerole some of the plethora of Cbt Arms units into Divisional and Corps level support units.
Case in point is the CA CBRN DECON capability. Currently the CBRN DECON element is a Svc Bn led secondary task for personnel pulled from across each CMBG and exists generally as a sub unit that would be activated if needed.

Missions and Tasks such as CBRN DECON would be perfectly fine being placed in the reserves. The CA should be capable of selecting and forming at least 1-3 CBRN units within the Reserves and similar for other specialist mission sets that are needed infrequently.

In my opinion the CA needs to seriously look at developing Div and Corp level support elements into units and formations within the Reserves. If that takes new policy and legislation to ensure that we can activate reserve units then lets do that as well but the current scheme of adding secondary jobs to reg force units is not going to work.

So as not to ungruntle too many of the reserve corps how about leaving the elements with their historical roles but task each unit to supply a Combat Service Support element as well? Starting with a Transport Platoon in every Infantry and Cavalry element.

The problem for the reserves is that the deeper into the service support roles you go the more skills you need. The deep roles need to come from the regular force numbers or else be contracted out to the civilian market.
 
So as not to ungruntle too many of the reserve corps how about leaving the elements with their historical roles but task each unit to supply a Combat Service Support element as well? Starting with a Transport Platoon in every Infantry and Cavalry element.

The problem for the reserves is that the deeper into the service support roles you go the more skills you need. The deep roles need to come from the regular force numbers or else be contracted out to the civilian market.

The real issue is getting the right support. If you're going to task the ARes with CBRN, back it up with the courses, leadership and kit etc, unlike the usual 'Op Tasking' fiasco that ebbs and flows like the tides, but not as predictably ;)
 
TBH a plan is exact what there isn’t.

The CA needs to start back at what is required to do the required tasks of the Government of Canada in both Peacetime, and war (or more accurately till X days from the start of a war - one assumes that a war would change national priorities)

Not only does the Military need to have forces for all the directed tasks, there also needs to be something for the undirected ‘spill over’ from the directed tasks, and also a contingency forces for other likely tasks.

Honestly I don’t see how this is so hard for the CA to grasp.


Generally the understanding has been that NATO requires/requests a Heavy Bde (what we that actually means in Canadian terms) for Europe - let’s accept for this purpose that means a CMBG with Tanks (I’ll use CMBGT here after for that descriptor)

To me that means that the CA shouldn’t be dedicating any of that CMBGT to task other than that - let’s accept that the Latvian deployment is part of that CMBGT.
 
That’s not too far distant from the old 4 CMBG role — except it’s not forward deployed in its entirety - and is missing a bunch of stuff.

Except that back then, there was also 1 CMBG in Calgary, 5Bde in Vacatraz, and the SSF in Petawawa. 4 CMBG got clobbered by the “Peace Dividend” and the CAR got disbanded leaving the SSF to become 2 CMBG and no Abn Btl Group.


So 1/3rd of the CA is basically dedicated to Europe/NATO
More so as pretty much all the tanks are as well.

This wouldn’t necessarily be a major issue if the Latvian task was a ‘permanent’ deployed posting, with that you’d still have 2 Bde’s in Canada and 3 under strength LIB’s that could be separated from the CMBG’s as despite various Titanic Desk Chair Rearrangements from the CA no real way to employ the LIB’s has been worked out inside a CMBG (shockingly I know :rolleyes: )

Not necessarily different from the 70-80’s
- unless one peaks under the tent to see the manning.



Without a major restructuring of the entire CA structure there isn’t any chance for any sort of success.


The CA needs to make the PRes part of its structure - and have a credible way of doing that. There are not enough actual personnel to structure a viable force without it.
 
So as not to ungruntle too many of the reserve corps how about leaving the elements with their historical roles but task each unit to supply a Combat Service Support element as well? Starting with a Transport Platoon in every Infantry and Cavalry element.

No. Absolutely not. For several reasons.

Specialist tasks need complete focus and attention especially if we are going to use reserves.

Giving the reserve units two tasks and roles will ensure they either do both poorly or more likely they and the Army will gradually ignore the new responsibilities completely. We also need to have enough positions in enough rank bands to develop and maintain expertise.

Mass. We need it and the way to get that is by assigning entire units to the tasks. Platoons and sub units don’t get us the mass we need.

The CA needs to rip off the bandaids and implement a massive restructuring in line with a clear vision. Minor tweaks aren’t working.

The CA needs to make the PRes part of its structure - and have a credible way of doing that. There are not enough actual personnel to structure a viable force without it.

100%
Sadly the CA has decided that the best we can do is to use the reserves as individual augmentes or at most formed Pls to round out under strength Reg force units.
 
That’s not too far distant from the old 4 CMBG role — except it’s not forward deployed in its entirety - and is missing a bunch of stuff.

Except that back then, there was also 1 CMBG in Calgary, 5Bde in Vacatraz, and the SSF in Petawawa. 4 CMBG got clobbered by the “Peace Dividend” and the CAR got disbanded leaving the SSF to become 2 CMBG and no Abn Btl Group.


So 1/3rd of the CA is basically dedicated to Europe/NATO
More so as pretty much all the tanks are as well.

This wouldn’t necessarily be a major issue if the Latvian task was a ‘permanent’ deployed posting, with that you’d still have 2 Bde’s in Canada and 3 under strength LIB’s that could be separated from the CMBG’s as despite various Titanic Desk Chair Rearrangements from the CA no real way to employ the LIB’s has been worked out inside a CMBG (shockingly I know :rolleyes: )

Not necessarily different from the 70-80’s
- unless one peaks under the tent to see the manning.



Without a major restructuring of the entire CA structure there isn’t any chance for any sort of success.


The CA needs to make the PRes part of its structure - and have a credible way of doing that. There are not enough actual personnel to structure a viable force without it.
And as near I can tell they have absolutely no interest or intention of doing anything with PRes other than to continue to hope it just goes away.
But I am almost certain that the Brass at NDHQ have an absolutely spiffing plan.
Paging Col. Baldrick , would Col. Baldrick kindly pick up the white courtesy phone. Thank you.
 
No. Absolutely not. For several reasons.

Specialist tasks need complete focus and attention especially if we are going to use reserves.
110%
Giving the reserve units two tasks and roles will ensure they either do both poorly or more likely they and the Army will gradually ignore the new responsibilities completely.
Ignore what ;)
We also need to have enough positions in enough rank bands to develop and maintain expertise.

Mass. We need it and the way to get that is by assigning entire units to the tasks. Platoons and sub units don’t get us the mass we need.
Down here there are a lot of Coy level ARNG organizations in smaller towns, but also in larger cities.

It seems to work, and I think the CA would be able to get a lot more bang for their buck with a like approach.

Note if you want to be in an SF unit, you need to drive out of state - Locations of National Guard Special Forces Units
A couple local guys I know do the drive as they retired from AD and wanted to keep their foot in.

The CA needs to rip off the bandaids and implement a massive restructuring in line with a clear vision. Minor tweaks aren’t working.
Bingo. Not only is the boat leaking faster than it can be bailed, the rot is also growing

100%
Sadly the CA has decided that the best we can do is to use the reserves as individual augmentes or at most formed Pls to round out under strength Reg force units.


And for @Kirkhill

I suspect this is your home guard application.
I personally thought it was a bit of a joke, but the concept could work.
 
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