George Wallace said:
There in lies the rub. The expense of an upgrade adds to the purchase more than would have been spent on buying the upgraded model in the first place. Then we have the same problems we had with the C1's in upgrading to the C2......if time, money and circumstances permit/require. Do you trust a change in Government....Liberal's or in a fantasy the NDP,....to approve an upgrade?
No. I don't trust a change in the government to do anything. I do trust in the inventiveness of driven people to get around any road blocks - regardless of time or money constraints. Most of our "upgrades" have not made economic sense (aircraft in particular). They made political sense. As most of us are aware the real cost of any system is not the steel or aluminum box that the public sees but the stuff that is jammed inside.
Economically it nearly always makes more sense to buy new rather than commit to block upgrades. However even the US has to deal with political realities.
I come back to my experience with vessels in the US fisheries. Laws were put in place to ensure that an expanded US fishery would benefit US fishermen. It required that any vessels built for the fishery had to be built in the US. So Norwegians bought up any scrap fishing boat they could find and towed it back to Norway. They then stripped the machinery out of her, took off the superstructure, cut out the decks, removed the hull plates, cut the ribs back to the keel, removed the stem and stern then sliced the keel in two and inserted a long stretch of new keel. They then started to rebuild. When they were finished the only thing left of the original boat was the chunk of the keel with the original keel registration number in her. These US boats, refitted by Norwegians, then were sailed by Norwegian crews under US flags in US waters.
Did it make economic sense to incur the additional costs of buying, towing and stripping?
Likewise with the proposals to Upgrade the existing C130s. By the time they put new avionics in, new engines on, new wings, a new centre box and new landing gear and tires what was left of the existing aircraft. Another example - the C1/C2 105mm upgrade to the C3 by RDM. What was left of the original guns compared to what is now in the armouries?
With the 20/80 scenario I could see a future CDS finding funds to upgrade a troop a year, or maybe up armouring a squadron....