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Deconstructing "Progressive " thought

The banking failure was driven by regulatory failure; the State provided perverse incentives and then blamed the market for doing what was requested i.e the Community Reinvestment Act, the various antics of the mortgage entities "Freddie Mac" and "Fannie Mae" supporting and encouraging malinvestment into the housing and mortgage markets. Many observers were predicting the housing bubble would pop as early as 2006, but Democrat legislators like Barney Frank obstructed efforts by the Bush Administration to change the regulatory environment and stop this malinvestment cycle.

The Reagan Administration was committed to Classical economics, as interpreted by the "Chicago School". The results are clearly and accurately documented, as are the results of the "New Deal", Kennedy tax cuts and "Obamanomics". The record of Socialism is also clearly documented over a very long period of time and many different places, so factors like specific cultural artifacts, climate, natural resources etc. can be averaged out to see the true results. (Even looking at economic growth rates in periods when socialist policies become popular or fall out of favour in the same countries is very instructive).

Anarcho anything is just chaos. The market is probably best described as an ecosystem of information. If State regulation, "crony capitalists", destruction of the rule of law (i.e the GM and Chrysler bondholder debacle), actions of oligarchies etc. distort the flow of information, then capital (money, resources, time, human effort) is diverted to wherever the highest rates of return can be seen. In places where regulatory control or Stte interference is very strong, "black markets" provide conduits between producers and consumers, filling needs that are not otherwise met. Classical economic theory also shows that monopolies only happen/continue to exist where the State uses its power to suppress competition, very few "natural" monopolies can or do exist in the real world.

Really, this is just history and Economics 101. None of your assertions explains the documented economic results (and actually flies in the face of the historical evidence), so perhaps you should do more research. If you are a student, perhaps you should be asking some very pointed questions of your educators. (Aside; while studying economics during the Reagan revolution I was struck by the total disconnect between our instruction and the outside world. Indeed, Keynseyan economics explicitly denies that such things as Stagflation can exist, or the Reagan Revolution could happen, but sadly asking pointed questions mostly got me a STFU response and some nasty comments on my papers....)
 
And yes this is a pile on, but consider the economic indicators in Chile in the last paragraph of the article are not due to State intervention or socialist policies; should these protestors get their way you will see a sharp reduction in economic growth and the various other things provides by living in a wealthy society...
http://www.investors.com/NewsAndAnalysis/Article/583028/201108261859/Chiles-Un-Reagan.htm

Chile's Un-Reagan

Posted 06:59 PM ET

Leadership: A big protest in Latin America normally doesn't merit the time of day. But when the target is free markets — and it happens in Chile, one of the few nations that has them — then there's a leadership problem.

President Sebastian Pinera, who impressed the world with his crisis management during 2010's mine rescue, is, infuriatingly enough, proving far less capable on a test of principles.

For two days, Latin America's freest and most advanced economy was engulfed in an illegal national strike. Its burning garbage, looting and 1,400 arrests were nothing but an attack on Chile's free markets.

It was led by left-wing activists, public employee unions and gullible students — whose leader is a communist the media glorifies as a new Che Guevara. Their aim was to break Chile's popularly approved 1980 constitution, nationalize education because it's "free," create state pensions, nationalize industries and end reforms that made Chile so unlike its neighbors.

Pinera let them run all over him the way University of California at Berkeley President Clark Kerr, wanting to be liked, let foul-mouthed protestors lay the University of California low in the 1960s.

"After more than three months in which we've seen violence and conflict flourish, now is the time for peace, the time for unity, the time for dialogue, the time for agreements," Pinera said.

Back in 1960s California, the man who put a stop to the Berkeley farce, then-governor Ronald Reagan, recognized that the university belonged to taxpayers, not protestors, and in 1966 fired Kerr. He didn't fear his critics.

Reagan proved his mettle even more resolutely as America's new president in 1981. Challenged early by the PATCO union with an illegal strike, he kept his word to fire them. There was no dialogue.

Pinera's surrender not only condones an illegal strike, it's an absolute no-win for Pinera, whose poll numbers are tanking — even as his opponents are disliked even more.

He came to power in 2010 presumably as Chile's first free-market president since the Pinochet era of the 1970s, when a team of free-market economic reformers inspired by Milton Friedman transformed Chile.

Chile has 6% growth now, 60 free-trade pacts, billions in foreign investment, and top rankings as the freest, least corrupt and most open economy in the world.

What it seems to lack is a leader who believes in it.
 
The banking regulatory failure that caused the economic meltdown had a name right? Oh yeah, DEREGULATION. Canada had a real Conservative at the helm who refused to bend over backwards and deregulate even under intense pressure. How are Canada’s banks doing by the way?

You can’t get more Keynesian than deficit spending to get out of a recession.(You really can't. That was his most revolutionary idea.) That was Reagan’s master plan. Increase defense spending to boost America’s economy.

Chile was the most Socialist country in South America for over 50 years.  They did try the Chicago School after a murderous dictator took over. Markets were liberalized in a dogmatic fashion putting theory above practicality. But unsurprisingly the economy never took off. Not until an all party coalition deposed Pinochet and worked together constructively to make the economy work. They liberalized personal freedoms, helped the poor, improved education, invested in the health system infrastructure and invited foreign investment. Then the economy took off.  The first elected right wing government in Chile was not until 2010. So I can see why you are taking credit for that.

The system works best when left and right are rational and leave the dogma at home.  Both sides have great ideas that make everyone’s lives better.  Regulation can be annoying,  like not allowing citizens to own the firearms they want. Or rational, like not allowing me to hunt gophers with a Carl G when I am hammered.
 
Nemo888 said:
  Regulation can be annoying,  like not allowing citizens to own the firearms they want. Or rational, like not allowing me to hunt gophers with a Karl G when I am hammered.

A Karl G is way too much overkill. A 12 guage shotgun, is pretty cool though.
 
I thought he meant that I shouldn't be allowed to use my Carl G against gophers while the Pubs were open...... I guess I misunderstood.

Note: sarcasm intended.
 
Nemo, I am going to say this in a nice way: Hit the books before you post.

President Reagan's domestic policy revolved around tax cuts and market deregulation. This is a clearly established historical fact. Reagan's foreign policy involved rebuilding America's armed forces and challengine or rolling back Soviet expansion. This too is a historic fact. Reagan's attempts to reduce US federal spending outside military renewal was constantly defeated by Democrat politicians in the Senate and House, who constantly worked to ensure the President's budget proposals were "dead on arrival", and continued to fight for maintaining the status quo on Federal spending (Tax cuts were far too popular to defeat). This is also establshed historical fact.

The US economy grew at an amazing pace during the Reagan revolution. You assert this is due to the defictis, yet fail to note that vastly larger deficits starting in 2006 when the Democrats won the Senate and House failed to prevent the economic meltdown, and that the even larger defictis created by the Obama administration have not had a positive impact on economic growth (to put it mildly); yet if Keynseian economics were true, these vast deficits should have the US economy growing at twice the rate of the Reagan era economy. This is clearly not happening, indeed the administration claimed that without the "stimulus", US unemployment would rise to almost 8%. With the stimulus, official unemployment has risen to over 9%, and the Administration and their enablers carefully ensure that the millions of people who have dropped out of the employment market altogether and the additonal millions who are involuntarily underemployed are never mentioned. Real rates of unemployment in the double digits after the largest Keynsian stimulus in history isn't exactly a ringing proof of the theory.

You can also look at just what sorts of economic manipulation the US government was doing through their intervention in the mortgage industry through the CRA, Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae to understand the true cause of the failure of the banking industry (and note that the small "comunity banks" in the United States, with the most limited ability to get into these manipulated markets, suffered the least despite having far smaller cash reserves and assets than the failed institutions).

Finally, you should consider how juridictions all over the world from Chile to Saskatchewan have flourished once they ditched socialist policies. The "Chicago Boys" who rewrote the economic rules in Chile were invited to clear the wreakage of the Adele regime after the overthrow, and Chile's economic resurgence dates to then. Saskatchewan's economic rebirth dates to the more peaceful replacement of decades of NDP rule with the low tax, low regulation Saskatchewan Party. As a checksum, consider that Quebec has abundent natural resources, an educated population and access to the wealthy North American market, but has persued socialist policies for decades and has been (and remains) a "have not" province, or how quickly Ontario went from the economic engine of Confederation to a "have not" province under the Dalton McGuinty Liberals, despite having most of the same advantages as Quebec.
 
And more basic information for fact checking. How is the biggest Keynsian stimulus in history working again?

http://opinion.financialpost.com/2011/07/22/jack-mintz-dont-blame-the-west/

The Endless Economic Recovery

Posted 08/26/2011 06:59 PM ET

Economy: If you needed another metric by which to measure the failure of Obamanomics, new numbers released Friday show that two years after the recession ended the economy still hasn't fully recovered.

According to the revised gross domestic product data released Friday, the nation's economy grew a paltry 1% in the second quarter, after eking out a barely noticeable 0.4% gain in the first.

As a result, two years after the recession ended, the economy still hasn't made up the ground it lost, giving Obama the dubious distinction of presiding over the most prolonged economic recovery since the Great Depression.

This isn't just slightly bad. It's monumentally bad.

An IBD review of all the post-World War II recessions shows that, on average, it took just over two fiscal quarters for the economy to recover from a downturn and start expanding again.

In contrast, we're eight quarters into the Obama recovery, and the expansion is somewhere off in the distance, with real GDP still $65.5 billion below the pre-recession peak. And if you take into account all the population growth that's occurred over the past two years, we're even further behind.

Obama likes to blame the depth of the downturn for the "painfully slow" recovery. "We didn't get into this mess overnight, and we won't get out of it overnight. It's going to take time," he said — nearly a year ago.

The claim is bogus. This recession lasted only slightly longer than the 1981-82 contraction — 18 months vs. 16 — and wasn't as severe when measured by peak unemployment.

But the economy came screaming out of that downturn, and in three quarters was already well into an expansion. The 1973-75 recession lasted 16 months, but also took only three quarters to fully recover.

Obama's also fond of blaming the sluggish recovery on the fact the recession resulted from a "financial crisis," alleging that something about that kind of recession makes for a longer recovery time. But it's not like all the other slumps didn't have any hint of financial crisis behind them.

Now he and his friends have taken to blaming bad luck and Republican bad faith for supposedly weakening what had been an improving economy.

"In 2010 ... we were growing," Obama's former chief economic adviser Austan Goolsbee said Thursday. "Now, at the beginning of this year, we get earthquakes, tsunamis, revolutions in the Middle East, European financial crises. Now we got earthquakes outside of Washington, D.C."

But Obama's recovery was vastly inferior to previous ones well before these alleged headwinds emerged. Plus, revised GDP numbers show that the recovery was softening throughout 2010, with GDP growth slowing in each successive quarter.

For that, Obama has only his own economic medicine to blame. His preferred treatment — huge hikes in federal spending, massive new environmental and financial regulations, ObamaCare, an out-of-control labor relations board, verbal attacks on businesses and the rich, etc. — just isn't working to get the economy back on its feet.

If a patient were taking an unusually long time to recover from an illness, a responsible doctor would try a new treatment regimen, rather than simply administer larger doses of the same drugs. He might even consult other doctors to see if they've had better luck with different prescriptions.

But Dr. Obama gives no sign of doing anything other than pump more Keynesian medicine into the IV. It's possible he'll try a different approach in September, when he gives his much-anticipated jobs speech. If he doesn't, it will be nothing short of malpractice.
 
I explained before why the US stimulus was just a parachute. It cushioned the fall. State, local and military cuts were huge. So large that they ate the entire stimulus, then proceeded to eat all the GDP growth and leave GDP in negative territory for the last 3 years. So the tiny US stimulus was worthless. At almost 20% unemployment and 45 million+ on food stamps I think they didn't do enough to create jobs. But hey, screw the poor right. They don't produce anything.

Canada's stimulus worked great though. 2% of GDP in deficit spending like all G20 nations. Only every single country in the G20 thought it was a good idea, but hey what do the worlds 20 strongest economies know about finance.  We didn't drive our economy off the cliff like our American neighbors. Lucky for us Harper is a Keynesian who believes in mixed economies and rational social policies. If you were in charge how would you have handled it? What would your solution look like? Sorry for sounding like a dick but it sounds like you put doctrine before practicality in these matters.

P.S. Please don't post some long article that is mostly unrelated when you could just summarize. No need to drown with verbiage.
 
>Or rational, like not allowing me to hunt gophers with a Carl G when I am hammered.

Why would any person with an IQ above room temperature want or need such a regulation?

Regulations must be drafted, published, promulgated, and enforced.  Each new body of regulation must be accompanied by a permanent establishment to maintain it.  It is possible to gridlock society with regulations (ie. too many people watching for infractions and not enough working elsewhere to pay to support the establishment).  We probably have enough regulations already to do that, but we don't enforce all our regulations.  That means we have too many regulations; the pointless ones which address ridiculously contrived situations (see above) and the futile ones which attempt to countermand basic human instincts and freedoms should all be removed - for a start - so that the useful ones can be properly enforced.

Those who think the answer to every problem is a regulation are so lacking in foresight as to be common-sensically blind.
 
Nemo888 said:
P.S. Please don't post some long article that is mostly unrelated when you could just summarize. No need to drown with verbiage.

You mean like here, here or here?  ::)
 
Good2Golf said:
You mean like here, here or here?  ::)


This is a very general comment ~ not 'aimed' at anyone. I do not claim to know much about copyright law but my understanding, imperfect though it may be, is that the "Fair Dealing" provisions of the act, which we use to reprint articles here, is for comment and discussion. Although I have, from time to time, posted an article and stated specifically, "without comment," I do that very rarely. I think we are supposed to add something to the article: our thoughts and ideas. I am a bit worried when we have threads that look like just an aggregation of others' work - are we indeed dealing fairly with their copyright?
 
Exactly, which is why it was rather ironic of Nemo888 to be chastising others for something he did several times earlier.  The thing about 'principled positions' is that they should be consistent.

Unless it is a shorter article, a style that takes an excerpt/citation as one would in a published paper is a safe bet to refer to the important/salient points of a larger piece.

Regards
G2G
 
Good2Golf said:
You mean like here, here or here?  ::)

There's a rather key difference. Nemo's posts as cited come from Bloomberg (a news outlet) and The Economist, not a hack political blog.  Now, that said, the Economist refs are from a blog on its site, but I think that's more an extension of the newspaper, not just some right wing claptrap from Instapundit or Pajamas Media which often has little to do with the discussion at hand.

My $0.02.
 
Redeye said:
There's a rather key difference. Nemo's posts as cited come from Bloomberg (a news outlet) and The Economist, not a hack political blog.  Now, that said, the Economist refs are from a blog on its site, but I think that's more an extension of the newspaper, not just some right wing claptrap from Instapundit or Pajamas Media which often has little to do with the discussion at hand.

Still, this is a discussion forum.  Not the peg board at the office.  Although we don't have the strict guidelines of some other sites, we'd appreciate some discussion accompanying article posting.
 
Infanteer said:
Still, this is a discussion forum.  Not the peg board at the office.  Although we don't have the strict guidelines of some other sites, we'd appreciate some discussion accompanying article posting.

That I can agree with completely!
 
The growth of "Brownshirt" tactics is a very worrying development (and don't feel too smug about Canada, recall the behaviour of "activists" at the U of O when Anne Coulter was to make a speech there. Obviously the ability to hear and debate ideas ot U of O only meand one side of the debate). The list goes back two years, and can be updated to include the actions of Public Union members in Wisconsen. Next year will be ugly:

http://www.stltoday.com/news/opinion/article_3044f2a0-ff35-5e1f-a3fe-fd70a8fb1809.html

Guest commentary: How Obama lost his presidency in August 2009

By Andrew Breitbart STLtoday.com | Posted: Tuesday, August 30, 2011 9:30 am | (146) Comments

When the history of Barack Obama's one-term presidency is written, August 2009 will be remembered as the turning point.

It was then that thousands of ordinary citizens began to rise up against a health care bill being forced through Congress. And it was then that the Obama administration declared war, through its union proxies, against the American people.

Obama had been elected to fix the economy. But Democrats had planned for years to use the first year of the next "progressive" presidency to push universal health care, according to the plan written in federal prison by convicted fraudster and Democrat strategist Robert Creamer. That plan declared: "To win we must not just generate understanding, but emotion — fear, revulsion, anger, disgust."

The Democrats followed that plan to the letter and vowed to pass ObamaCare — then known as H.R. 3200 — before that summer's end. But when they dispatched members of Congress to town hall meetings to sell Obama's policy, they met unprecedented outrage — not just protests, but the simple, searing questions of their constituents: "Why should we pay for abortions?" "Does the legislation cover illegal immigrants?" "Have you even read the bill?"

Some of the opposition was organized by Tea Party groups that had sprung up in the wake of President Obama's massive stimulus in February 2009. But much of it was spontaneous. Then-House Speaker (now Minority Leader) Nancy Pelosi called the protests "un-American" and falsely accused Tea Party members of carrying swastikas. That made the public even more indignant.

By early August, President Obama realized he was losing public support. So he turned to the "community organizing" techniques of his Chicago days. On Aug. 6, 2009, Jim Messina, then-White House Deputy Chief of Staff (now managing Obama's re-election campaign), told Democrats to "punch back twice as hard." The same day, John Sweeney, then-president of the AFL-CIO, issued a memo telling union members to show up at the town hall "battleground."

That very evening, union thugs at a town hall meeting in Tampa assaulted a man who opposed ObamaCare, ripping the shirt off his back. And that same night in St. Louis, Ken Gladney allegedly was beaten up outside a town hall meeting as he tried to distribute Gadsden ("Don't Tread On Me") flags by union thugs yelling, "What kind of nigger are you?" The next day, Health and Human Services Secretary Kathleen Sebelius thanked SEIU members for their efforts at town halls.

It didn't stop there. On Aug. 31, left-wing organizers outside a town hall meeting in suburban Chicago instructed activists to block residents' questions. The Gladney attack was a small part of a much larger campaign of intimidation, directed from the White House. The acquittals in the Gladney case cannot erase what happened, even though the high-flying lawyers brought in by the SEIU outmatched the rookie prosecutor. But the verdict has been seized upon by the left-wing propagandists at Media Matters, which received a hefty donation from the SEIU after the Gladney attack and which set about trying to destroy Gladney's credibility.

Local graduate student Adam Shriver has been a willing accomplice in Media Matters' revisionism. In an Aug. 25 oped column in the Post-Dispatch, he accuses me of 'smearing" unions — yet in this case and others, Shriver focuses obsessively on shreds that favor his ideological patrons, knowing and caring little about the facts as a whole.

Recently, when professors at the University of Missouri were caught indoctrinating their students in violent tactics in labor disputes, Shriver tried to dismiss the evidence by focusing on edits in a highlight reel created by an independent blogger. He refuses to join calls for the university to release video or transcripts of the course as a whole, thereby assisting the administration's cover-up. Both private and public unions continue to use those thuggish tactics — most recently in the Verizon strike, where union members staged a mock funeral outside an executive's home, and even put a little girl in front of a truck to scare replacement workers.

Ken Gladney was an innocent victim, singled out by thugs specifically because they thought he was a black conservative, for whom the Janeane Garolafos of the left reserve special contempt. Those who accuse the Tea Party of being "terrorists," and who blamed Sarah Palin for the Tucson massacre, have yet to be held accountable for the violence they unleashed in August 2009. They "won" the Gladney case, but they are losing the nation, thanks to the extraordinary courage of ordinary people who will not be silenced.

Andrew Breitbart is founder of bigjournalism.com.

Read more: http://www.stltoday.com/news/opinion/article_3044f2a0-ff35-5e1f-a3fe-fd70a8fb1809.html#ixzz1WY6kNu1w
 
Interesting. Progressivism has literally banrupted the treasury. The moral rot is on display in the UK riots (and we have seen it too in Vancouver and the G-20). Now Justice Clarence Thomas may well collapse the legal underpinnings of the Progressive State in the United States, and by extension, deligitimize the idea throughout the English speaking world:

http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2011/08/28/new-blue-nightmare-clarence-thomas-and-the-amendment-of-doom/

New Blue Nightmare: Clarence Thomas and the Amendment of Doom
Walter Russell Mead

Lord of the Rings aficionados know that the evil lord Sauron paid little attention to the danger posed by two hobbits slowly struggling across the mountains and deserts of Mordor until he suddenly realized that the ring on which all his power depended was about to be hurled into the pits of Mount Doom.  All at once the enemy plan became clear; what looked like stupidity was revealed as genius, and Sauron understood everything just when it was too late to act.

Jeffrey Toobin’s gripping, must-read profile of Clarence and Virginia Thomas in the New Yorker gives readers new insight into what Sauron must have felt: Toobin argues that the only Black man in public life that liberals could safely mock and despise may be on the point of bringing the Blue Empire down.

In fact, Toobin suggests, Clarence Thomas may be the Frodo Baggins of the right; his lonely and obscure struggle has led him to the point from which he may be able to overthrow the entire edifice of the modern progressive state.

Writes Toobin:

    In several of the most important areas of constitutional law, Thomas has emerged as an intellectual leader of the Supreme Court. Since the arrival of Chief Justice John G. Roberts, Jr., in 2005, and Justice Samuel A. Alito, Jr., in 2006, the Court has moved to the right when it comes to the free-speech rights of corporations, the rights of gun owners, and, potentially, the powers of the federal government; in each of these areas, the majority has followed where Thomas has been leading for a decade or more. Rarely has a Supreme Court Justice enjoyed such broad or significant vindication.

This is one of the most startling reappraisals to appear in The New Yorker for many years.  It is hard to think of other revisions as radical as the declownification of Clarence Thomas: Herbert Hoover as the First Keynesian?  Henry Kissinger as the Great Humanitarian?  Richard Nixon, the most liberal president ever (that one might even be true)?

There are few articles of faith as firmly fixed in the liberal canon as the belief that Clarence Thomas is, to put it as bluntly as many liberals do, a dunce and a worm.  Twenty years of married life have not erased the conventional liberal view of his character etched by Anita Hill’s testimony at his confirmation hearings.  Not only does the liberal mind perceive him as a disgusting lump of ungoverned sexual impulse; he is seen as an intellectual cipher.  Thomas’ silence during oral argument before the Supreme Court is taken as obvious evidence that he has nothing to say and is perhaps a bit intimidated by the verbal fireworks exchanged by the high profile lawyers and his more, ahem, ‘qualified’ colleagues.

At most liberals have long seen Thomas as the Sancho Panza to Justice Antonin Scalia’s Don Quixote, Tonto to his Lone Ranger.  No, says Toobin: the intellectual influence runs the other way.  Thomas is the consistently clear and purposeful theorist that history will remember as an intellectual pioneer; Scalia the less clear-minded colleague who is gradually following in Thomas’ tracks.

If Toobin’s revionist take is correct, (and I defer to his knowledge of the direction of modern constitutional thought) it means that liberal America has spent a generation mocking a Black man as an ignorant fool, even as constitutional scholars stand in growing amazement at the intellectual audacity, philosophical coherence and historical reflection embedded in his judicial work.

Toobin is less interested in exploring why liberal America has been so blind for so long to the force of Clarence Thomas’ intellect than in understanding just what Thomas has achieved in his lonely trek across the wastes of Mordor.  And what he finds is that Thomas has been pioneering the techniques and the ideas that could not only lead to the court rejecting all or part of President Obama’s health legislation; the ideas and strategies Thomas has developed could conceivably topple the constitutionality of the post New Deal state.

Reshaping the Constitution

Back in Pundit High, they used to teach a fair amount about constitutional history in the US history course; phrases like “Marbury vs. Madison” and “Fletcher vs. Peck” had an ugly way of turning up on quizzes and tests.  Our American history teacher, besides discreetly taking some of the boys aside from time to time to explain the dubious origins of their family hoards, was steeped in New Deal constitutional views and made a point of telling us that two of the ten amendments in the Bill of Rights were vestigial organs, constitutional equivalents of the appendix.  The Second Amendment on the right to bear arms simply meant that states could have militias; the Tenth Amendment reserving all additional powers to the states meant nothing at all and had simply been thrown in as a sop to ignorant know-nothings of the age.

Other parts of the Constitution, by contrast, gained in importance over the years: the commerce clause, for example, gave the federal government a practically unlimited power in this modern age to regulate everything under the sun.

In that as in so much else Pundit High prepared us to move into the liberal world of the day; we were being given exactly the ideas and opinions that would prepare us to lead the next generation of American liberalism in the New England way.  Until very recently the constitutional vision I was taught in my teens remained, as they say, hegemonic.  The enlarged role of the commerce clause was uncontested and the two amendments dangled with the other dead constitutional provisions — letters of marque and reprisal, no bills of attainder, the prohibition on quartering — in constitutional limbo.

The way we learned them, the Second and Tenth amendments were as dead as the three fifths clause: so dead that there was no point in asking why they died or what they were doing there.  Like the “begats” in the Bible (long tables of genealogy listing endless generations of people who are otherwise entirely forgotten) they padded the document without doing any work.  The federal government faced few realistic constraints on its power and the constitutional settlement of the New Deal was unshakably firm.

Those were the operating assumptions my generation took with us to college and beyond; they are still the conventional wisdom among most American intellectuals and journalists today.

What we didn’t know, and what the world at large didn’t know until very recently, was that the New Deal constitution was not as permanent or unalterable as it looked.  Intellectually its foundations were shaky, and after two decades of a Clarence Thomas-led assault, the constitutional doctrines that permitted the rise of the powerful federal government could be close to collapse.

In the case of the Second Amendment, the collapse has already come.  Back in my Pundit High days, anyone who dared to suggest that the Bill of Rights gave individuals the right to bear arms would have been laughed out of the class as an ignorant yahoo.  These days, that is the accepted view of the US Supreme Court and most of the legal profession.  The resurrection of the Second Amendment proves that the “dead letter” clauses of the Constitution can come back to life — and suggests that Clarence Thomas understands how this can be done.

The next topic for Constitutional revisionism is the expansive reading of the commerce clause that the New Deal judges used to justify the Roosevelt administration’s ambitious economic programs.  The Obamacare health reform depends on that kind of reading of the commerce clause; the penumbras must stretch pretty far for the Constitution to give Congress the right to require all Americans to buy private health insurance.  And if the commerce clause can be stretched this far, one must ask whether there is anything that the Constitution blocks Congress from doing.

If gun control and Obamacare were the only issues at stake in the constituional debate, liberals would find Thomas annoying but not dangerous.  Losing on gun control and health care frustrate and annoy the center left, but those are only two items on a long list of liberal concerns.

The real problem will come if Thomas can figure out how to get the Tenth Amendment back into constitutional thought in a serious way.  The Second Amendment was a constitutional landmine for the left; the Tenth is a nuclear bomb.

Toobin, who disagrees strongly with Thomas about most matters constitutional, political and cultural, does a good job of showing why Thomas is a formidable judicial thinker.  The interpretative concept of “originalism” is sometimes confounded with a simplistic literal interpretation of the words of the Constitution.  Thomas argues that to understand what the Constitution meant to the framers, one needs to do more than read the words on the page and look to see how Samuel Johnson and perhaps Noah Webster defined them in their dictionaries.

Thomas is not a fundamentalist reading the Constitution au pied de la lettre; the original intent of the founders can be established only after research and reflection.  The Eighth Amendment ban on “cruel and unusual punishment” can only be understood if one understands the thought of the period, the types of punishment then widely used, and the political and cultural traditions that shaped the thinking of the founders on questions of justice and punishment.  One then takes that understanding, however tentative, and applies it to the circumstances of a given case today.

It is not the only possible way to read the Constitution, but it is a very interesting one and it may be the only politically sustainable way for the Court to read it in a contentious and divided country.  Without some rule of interpretation that the average person can understand and accept as legitimate, the Court gradually loses legitimacy in the public eye.  The originalist interpretation, whatever objections can be made to it intellectually and historically, is politically compelling.  It resonates with the American propensity for commonsense reasoning.  To say that the Founders meant what they meant and that the first job of a judge is to be faithful to their intent is something that strikes many Americans as sensible, practical and fair.

As Toobin tells the story, the revival of the Second Amendment was the first great triumph of the new approach.  Thomas and others assembled a mountain of evidence that convinced increasing numbers of legal scholars that the Second Amendment must be read as conferring an individual right to bear arms — not merely a generic endorsement of the right of each state to maintain a militia.  More, this right was intended as political: to check the power of the state to overawe and crush the people.  As a result, the once seemingly unstoppable movement toward gun control has gone into reverse gear.

The startling possibility now beginning to dawn on some observers is that these same methods applied to the Tenth Amendment would lead to a much more far reaching revision to constitutional doctrine.  The text of the Amendment is simple and short:

    The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people.

The standard interpretation is that this merely restates an assumption that undergirds the Constitution as a whole and so has no special meaning or significance in law.  If reading the rest of the Constitution leads you to uphold some act or law as constitutional, this amendment would not affect that judgment.  Therefore it can be and usually is ignored.  That is certainly what we were told to do with it in the hallowed halls of Pundit High.

But there is another view of this amendment.  The Constitution of the United States confers specific, “enumerated” powers on the Congress, and many of the things that Congress does today are not listed among those enumerated powers.  On his last day in office, President James Madison vetoed what today we would call an infrastructure bill.  He thought the bill was a good idea, that the country needed the infrastructure and that the federal government was the right agency to provide it, but believed that the Constitution he had helped write provided no authority for Congress to act in this way.  If Congress wanted to support infrastructure in the various states, the right way to proceed was to get an infrastructure amendment into the Constitution.  Barring that, nothing could be done.

Taken seriously today, that approach to the Constitution would change the way Washington does business.  Radically.  The list of enumerated powers is short and does not include, for example, health care, education, agricultural subsidies, assistance to the hungry or old age pensions.  Most of the New Deal and Great Society (with the interesting exception of civil rights laws which enforce the Civil War era amendments) would be struck down.  Whole cabinet departments would close.

The federal government would not wither away completely; even on a narrow reading of the commerce clause (the clause that places the regulation of interstate commerce among Congress’ enumerated powers), Washington would exercise considerable authority over the national economy.  But the balance between the states and the feds would change, and among other things, our federal tax burdens would fall, but the costs of state government would rise.

This is pretty much a Tea Party wish list, and it is why the Tea Party movement is so strongly identified with originalist interpretations of the Constitution.  Unleashing the Tenth Amendment would move the constitutional status quo back towards the early 1930s when the “Nine Old Men” struck down one New Deal law after another.  For Toobin and most New Yorker readers, it is hard to imagine an idea that more radically and totally runs against everything they believe.

That Justice Thomas’ wife Virginia is a prominent speaker and organizer in the Tea Party completes the picture: the Thomas’ are the anti-Clintons, the power couple out to dismantle the progressive American state.  The specter Toobin’s piece conjures is of Clarence and Virginia, like Frodo and Sam, quietly toiling towards Mount Doom while liberal attention is fixed elsewhere.

How Real Is The Fear?

The prospect of a serious judicial rehabilitation of the Tenth Amendment is real, though perhaps not immediate.  And change this sweeping is unlikely to come simply because a relative handful of judges and lawyers change their minds on an issue of constitutional interpretation.  A broader change would need to take place in society so that the idea of transferring more activities from Washington to the states appeals to public opinion to the point where presidents appoint judges who share this philosophy, the Senate confirms them, and the new majority begins to set a new direction for the law.

Arguably, we are nearing a zone where something like that could happen.  The apparent Republican front-runner Governor Rick Perry has strong views on the Constitution.  His book Fed Up! Our Fight To Save America From Washington is essentially an essay calling for a return to the concept of a federal government limited to its enumerated powers.  Let unemployment stay above 8 percent through November of 2012 and President Perry could be sending the names of judicial nominees to a Republican Senate. With a couple more allies on the Supreme Court, Justice Thomas could get pretty close to the lava pits of Mount Doom.

Big constitutional changes have happened before.  The Supreme Court was a very different and much stronger institution by the time Chief Justice John Marshall was through with it.  It took Court a few years to accept the New Deal, but when it did, the law changed very quickly.  The reversal of Plessy vs. Ferguson transformed racial jurisprudence and stood old doctrines on their heads.  The Warren Court’s decisions of the 1960s and, of course, Roe vs. Wade transformed the American legal landscape.

Nowhere in the Constitution or anywhere else is it written that all these changes must be one way: that liberal judges can overturn conservative precedents while conservatives must let liberal precedents stand.  (From a Tea Party point of view one of the great virtues of Thomas’ originalism is that it provides a principled basis for conservative jurisprudence that ruthlessly reverses decades of liberal precedent.)

At the moment, Governor Perry’s advocacy of Tenth Amendment Federalism looks like an asset in the competition for the GOP nomination but a serious and perhaps fatal liability in a general campaign.  Medicare and Social Security might not pass a strict Madisonian constitutional test, but there are not many voters who want to see them vanish.  The public mind is more skeptical about Washington than at any time in living memory, but that is not the same thing as a public demand for less federal spending on middle class entitlements.

Nevertheless, the Jacksonian populism behind the Tea Party and associated movements connects with some deep seated American preferences.  The public is suspicious of clever legal theories that run counter to ‘obvious’ ideas about what the Constitution means.  Just as populists like mandatory sentencing rules that reduce the discretion of judges in criminal matters, they like ways of interpreting the Constitution that reduce the ability of judges to base their decisions on anything beyond the clear meaning of the text.  Andrew Jackson’s populism drew energy from his opposition to the (elite backed, constitutionally questionable) Bank of the United States and his firm stance against John Marshall and his usurping Court.  Governor Perry’s attacks on Fed Chairman Bernanke are not unlike Jackson’s attacks on Nicholas Biddle; the platform being hammered out in Texas has a distinctly Jacksonian feel.

It’s hard to argue with Toobin that Thomas has moved the ball down field in his quest for a new era of constitutional jurisprudence.  Sauron’s tower is probably not going to fall right away, but for the first time, progressives are beginning to see credible scenarios which could change the rules of the game.

Jeffrey Toobin is announcing to the liberal world that Clarence Thomas has morphed from a comic figure of fun to a determined super-villain who might reverse seventy years of liberal dominance of the federal bench and turn the clock back to 1930 if not 1789.

The fantasy is still far fetched, and it is notoriously hard for political movements to get and hold power long enough to shift the balance on the Supreme Court, but that Thomas has accomplished as much as he has shows how far the country has drifted from the old days when liberals were confident that the Supreme Court would find new ways to fit its judicial philosophy to the demands of the blue social model.

They can no longer count on that; the consequences could be extreme.
 
Thucydides said:
Interesting. Progressivism has literally banrupted the treasury. The moral rot is on display in the UK riots (and we have seen it too in Vancouver and the G-20). Now Justice Clarence Thomas may well collapse the legal underpinnings of the Progressive State in the United States, and by extension, deligitimize the idea throughout the English speaking world:

http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2011/08/28/new-blue-nightmare-clarence-thomas-and-the-amendment-of-doom/

The incredibly corrupt Clarence Thomas, who apparently has no honour whatsoever and hasn't recused himself from decisions which his wife has a direct stake in?  That's why so many people in the United States appear to be getting concerned about the fact that the Supreme Court is becoming the ultimate protector of crony capitalism.  Things like the Citizens United decision are particularly good and disturbing examples.  What is it they call it when business and government become fused?
 
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