This page is like the "Infantry Support Gun" page where everyone except the infantry is making recommendations on what the Infantry needs.
Oh well, the thread is interesting, despite routine static, for the amount of thought going into tactical and strategic requirements for Canadian air power.
A few questions/points from the peanut gallery:
1. Interesting debate on threat assessments, and one that must go with any argument to by any piece of hardware. What's the threat? People have a good bogeyman in China, but guys like Thomas Barnett make good cases against that scenario. White Paper material.
2. What can be assumed? Some hard assumptions have to be made - we simply don't have the resources to cover all eventualities (or tailor forces for every niche conflict). Will we always have air superiority? My initial thought is that we can count on air dominance, or at least air superiority, for the next decade or so - we don't really go anywhere without the US. Can we afford to plan against a relatively thin enemy air defence in the near and mid-term future? Some have made relatively convincing arguments that we can. Again, White Paper material.
3. MCG mentioned Sudan, but should we really be basing our force structure planning off of preparing for abjectly poor strategic decisions? Canada deciding to unilaterally sort out the Sudan, or pretty much in any real contested idea, is – at this point in time - poor, any way you cut it. Look at the effort made, with superb overwhelming American support, to pacify a single province in Afghanistan. Yet again, White Paper material.
4. That being said, I think the F-35 is (for all the right reasons) a given. It can cover off enough vital roles to hit those baseline Air Force requirements (patrol Canadian skies, contribute to allied ops, drop a bomb on something, intercept something) that we can’t avoid getting it. This thread shouldn’t be an either/or argument, but rather on how to effectively augment the capabilities of this airframe that we will undoubtedly acquire in limited numbers.
5. This mention of a COIN fighter is silly - I'm unsure of how it has come to dominate this thread. Dropping bombs and strafing does not constitute "COIN" anymore than a rifleman using a rifle means he is a "COIN Policeman" vice soldier - why should we define a fighter by an operational construct? This thread is on the verge of creating a false dichotomy of HIC/LIC airpower – that if something is good at dropping bombs on bad guys it is a “COIN fighter”. How about just a “warfighter” airplane – something that drops bombs on bad guys regardless of what sort of uniform they put on.
6. I think the crux of what some on this thread were aiming at was an airframe that dealt with two major issues with deploying airpower; the footprint it requires to operate it (airstrips, control towers, etc, etc) and the maintain it (mechanics, vehicles, etc, etc). This makes employment of the vehicle more likely as it is easier to deploy and sustain on operations. The “low-tech” solution was put forward, and was intriguing, as a solution to meet these demands; however others may be more feasible/palatable – such as armed mini-UAVs launched from LAVs or something. Either way, I think the discussion of “Green Airpower” should focus on footprint vice capability to put lead on a target (as most airframes can do so, especially with a good JTAC).
7. The other is cost - I once read an interesting article somewhere that measured the cost and time to produce a modern fighter and how if two guys went at it with similar machines that attrition would soon render all super high-tech models obsolete as there is no way they could replaced in good order. Do an experiment and picture what would happen if we got in a fight with country "X" and 23 CF-18s were shot down in the first week or two of conflict? How the hell would we replace those? How long does it take a factory to spit out an F-22 or an F-35 to replace it? Interesting thought experiment anyways, and something the "low tech" crowd may be right in bringing up?
Anyways, just my 2-non-wedge-wearing-cents.
PS.
We aren’t the only one’s discussing these general concepts – many good threads (with real good articles) over on the Small Wars Council:
http://council.smallwarsjournal.com/showthread.php?t=7603&highlight=Airpower
http://council.smallwarsjournal.com/showthread.php?t=2357&highlight=Airpower