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US Control of RC-S

tomahawk6

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Americans Preparing to Take Control of Kandahar

http://www.battlefieldtourist.com/content/2008/12/26/americans-preparing-to-take-control-of-kandahar/

“We will see more US forces and more US investment in southern Afghanistan which will be a game changer.”- Gen. John Nicholson to NBC News from Kandahar, December 2008.

According to Reuters, on December 11 at Kandahar Airfield, Secretary of Defense Robert told US troops during a “town hall” meeting that he hoped the increase in troop strength would be in place by late spring.  The man in charge of this American escalation in the region is Brigadier General John Nicholson.  The new position is called Deputy Commanding General for Stability of Regional Command South.

“We are now going to be able to secure the vast majority of the population in the south and deliver the basic services through the government that they were unable to do this point.”  Nicholson recently told NBC at Kandahar Airfield.

This all but seals the long expected deal that the United States would eventually take over Kandahar’s security, which the Canadians assumed from the US in February 2006 after a long mission in Kabul early in the war.  It also takes the Americans a step closer to assuming responsibility over Regional Command South as the US is also looking to greatly boost troop levels in Helmand and Farah Provinces as well (an idea that is causing quite a stir in Great Britain).

With Canada set to leave in 2011, the Canadians appear to be heading toward a diminished role as that date moves closer.  That role would primarily involve support and humanitarian efforts which could evolve into a precursor for a new mandate that will see Canadian troops remain in Afghanistan beyond the current withdrawl date.

Unifier or Divider?

Nicholson is no stranger to Afghanistan.  He led 10th Mountain troops as commanding officer of Task Force Spartan and is considered an expert in counterinsurgency.  However that past may prove to be an issue as Nicholson’s area of operations will see his army units mixing regularly with US Marine units, who have a recent bad history with Nicholson.

Nicholson upset the Marines command when he publicly called out a Marines Corps Special Operations company following a use of force that killed as many as 19 civilians and wounding dozens during a ten-mile path of gunfire. The event, which happened on March 4, 2007, stained the inaugural deployment for the brand new special ops unit that was highly regarded leading up to that point.

Nicholson ran into problems for going public with his opinion before the full report was concluded saying in May 2007:

“I stand before you today, deeply, deeply ashamed and terribly sorry that Americans have killed and wounded innocent Afghan people.  We are filled with grief and sadness at the death of any Afghan, but the death and wounding of innocent Afghans at the hand of Americans is a stain on our honor and on the memory of the many Americans who have died defending Afghanistan and Afghan people.”

During the debacle, allegations of inter service rivalry constantly crept up as the incident became an international rally point for those that claim US action in Afghanistan is excessive in its use of force, especially in regards to Afghan civilians.

Initial Goals

According to The Economist, the new strategy taking form in Afghanistan will focus on securing Highway One, which is also called the “Ring Road”, as it connects all of Afghanistan’s major cities to one another (with a big ring).  In Kandahar Province, the highway runs through the disputed district of Arghandab, which lies to Kandahar City’s north and is an area notoriously used as a springboard for the Taliban to launch attacks on Kandahar City itself.  Arghandab has been identified as one of the five critical districts in Afghanistan the coalition plans on devoting considerable time and resources to secure and rebuild.

I expect that the first major US-led operation in Kandahar will be gaining full, lasting control of Arghandab, followed by an intensive humanitarian move to help that district’s fertile farmland again become the breadbasket of Kandahar.  This will most likely happen within the next month so farmers can be on track for the spring growing season.

Overall, the move would pay big dividends by securing the provinces primary highway, securing and then promoting its primary food-producing region as well as eliminating the primary area from which the Taliban launch attacks on the country’s second largest city.

Current US troops in the province primarily include 2nd Battalion, 2nd Infantry Regiment, 1st Infantry Division based in Maiwand, west of Kandahar on the border with Helmand Province.  The battalion, in place less than a year, was originally set to deploy farther north in Regional Command East before being diverted.  They represent just over 30% of the combined non-Afghan force in the province.

Big changes are coming to Kandahar, changes that must net results in order for the coalition leaders to convince other member nations that their contributions are not futile.

 
- There have been a few times in our past when we have "never missed an opportunity to miss an opportunity". Our downsizing in Europe in 1970 and then later exiting from the low-level nuclear attack role comes to mind.  Now, set up with our own sandbox in Feb 2006, we failed to bring enough assets and skills to the table (even while supported by a 'foriegn' air stack) and now want to take our ball and go home. We once again decline the offer to sit at the adult table and will be treated in accordance with that decision.

-  Are we now to be known as "Task Force LAME DUCK", having announced our withdrawal?

- Who will deal with us seriously again?

 
Canada still has two years before the stated withdrawal. I think Canada has done well with its limited resources while at the same time modernizing the force. Canada has punched above its weight and has earned the respect of the US Army.

The requirement for more US troops in RC-S should not be viewed as a negative reflection of the CF's performance in theater but rather an acknowledgement that the center of gravity has shifted to the South where previously it had been in US operating areas. Kandahar needs more troops and Canada is already stretched to its maximum [my opinion]. Our other allies arent willing or able to add more troops so the US must do so if we are to reach a tipping point [if thats even possible].
 
- We are not  - as a country - being stretched anywhere near the maximum.  The military: a bit, but hanging in there - this is good for us.  The rest of Canada: what a bunchafreakinwhiners.
 
Lets just wait and see how far we can and will be stretched. No Olympic country will be unscathed. Anyone taking a good, closer, long look at the sleeping Bear known as Canada? Despite our size, our will and resolve might surprise even our mightiest of foes. Beoynd that, I am loaded,and wish all those who wish us harm, doom! Do you know who I think we are?
 
Infanteer said:
Move on over 5-09?

There will always be room in the coalition HQ for some Cdn staff - fresh sets of eyes and different perspectives are very useful tools when planning.  It also helps give a veneer of multi-lateralism, which I suspect will be considered important with the new US president.

Other than perhaps a few less positions for General officers, I suspect the Canadian contribution to the HQ will be relatively unchanged.
 
At present, Canada is on record as withdrawing from a mainly combat role by 2011.
There are tons of different ways that we can continue to contribute to Afghanistan without having a "mainly" combat role.  Between the PRTs and the OMLTs we can keep real busy.  Also, if another country can be motivated to move south OR should they become UNmotivated about staying in Afghanistan, we could rotate there.

I wouldn't count us out yet...
 
Its still sad and depressing in many ways if you truly give a shit...
 
Garett said:
Its still sad and depressing in many ways if you truly give a shit...

- Yup. Staying the course in the same AO would be the BEST thing we could do.
 
Still... lotta things can happen between now and 2011
 
Yep the US could withdraw in 2011. Its up to Obama and how much he believes in the war on terror.
 
tomahawk6 said:
Yep the US could withdraw in 2011. Its up to Obama and how much he believes in the war on terror.

- Methinks he needs Afghanistan as (another) reason to exit Iraq.  Most of the U.S. 'silent majority' anti-war leaning is, I suspect, an anti Iraq War issue.  Most still link operations in Afghanistan with the post 9/11 War On Terror and will support it.

- If he is going to move left on the economy and other issues, he will need to keep some aspects grounded with main-stream beliefs, at least until the mid-terms.
 
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