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U.S. 2012 Election

On Nov 6 Who Will Win President Obama or Mitt Romney ?

  • President Obama

    Votes: 39 61.9%
  • Mitt Romney

    Votes: 24 38.1%

  • Total voters
    63
  • Poll closed .
E.R. Campbell said:
[A] moderate Republican movement that preaches and practices traditional small town, small business, frugal, fiscally responsible, efficient government, isolationist – in other words Jeffersonian - values.

The only quibble is at the end; Jeffersonian America was never "isolationist" and Jefferson himself is the father of the US Navy and Marines (to battle the Barbary pirates). The Republic needed (and needs) to robustly protect its own self interest, and today's model of an interconnected global economy would defeat any trends towards isolationism unless Communist Albania or the DPRK is your model. Small "l" libertarianism resembles this model as well, I believe the TEA party movement will be a strong proponent of Libertarianism and bring this philosophy more into the mainstream of political and social thought.

A renewed Jeffersonian Republic would probably be much more restrained in its global reach, long term basing rights would not be part of the military/political agenda, nor would a large standing army or decades long occupations. Of course, anyone who thinks American interests would not be served under this regime would discover the long arm of the US Navy and Marines....
 
Where will the TEA party go next?

http://washingtontimes.com/news/2010/feb/06/tea-partys-next-chapter-answers-unclear/?feat=home_headlines

Tea Party's next chapter? Answers unclear

Liz Sidoti ASSOCIATED PRESS

NASHVILLE, Tenn. (AP) -- The "tea party" activists all agree: Government is too big. Spending is out of control. Individual freedom is at risk. And President Barack Obama's policies are making it all worse.

But that's where the consensus ends among the diverse groups of frustrated Americans who count themselves part of this fledgling coalition.

"We're afraid and we're fed up and we're angry," says Donna Henton of Blair, Neb. "But where this is going to go, we just don't know."

If the people attending the first national "tea party" convention here are uncertain, imagine the difficulties of the Republican and Democratic parties, both of which are trying to leverage this antiestablishment energy for their own gain. How it works out could make a big difference in elections this fall and beyond.

Here's what's clear: This is pure people-driven politics facilitated by the Internet. This is an ideological mix of libertarianism and conservatism with the common denominator being lower spending and smaller government. This is a loose collection of citizen groups with no leader but many voices. And this is the product of long-simmering anger.

Is it just a blip? Or will it emerge as a lasting political powerhouse shaping elections and government for years to come?

"This movement is beginning to mature ... not as a third party but a force to be reckoned with in the traditional party structure," declared Mark Skoda, a talk radio host who founded a Memphis "tea party" group and helped organize the convention.

Yet, candidates who have adopted the "tea party" slogan are running as independents in campaigns nationwide. There are "tea party" groups that insist the convention hosts don't speak for them. And viewpoints among attendees here vary.

Loren and Dora Nelson of Seattle, a couple in their 80s, see the coalition as a way to strengthen the GOP. "It's giving voice to the grass roots in the Republican Party," the husband said.

But it's not about ideology -- or necessarily even party politics -- for Eileen Million, 50, from Huntsville, Ala. "It's a people movement," she said. "Republican or Democrat, I don't care who they are if they truly represent the will of the American people."

Ty Reynolds, 34, of Topeka, Kan., put it this way: "It's about individual liberty vs. government control. Leave me alone and stop taxing me so much and be responsible stewards of the people's money."

In Washington, both major parties have struck a cautious stance, seemingly not sure what to make of the coalition but nonetheless trying to use it.

Republicans have sought to cajole the coalition into the GOP fold. Party Chairman Michael Steele has even called himself a member. The GOP knows that a conservative third party could threaten Republicans' electoral chances by splitting the right-flank vote and triggering Democratic victories. It happened in an upstate New York congressional race last fall.

Democrats, at times, have sought to demonize the coalition, casting it as an extreme right-wing part of the GOP. But Obama, himself, has stepped lightly, mindful that the members' anger is real, they hold allegiance to no political party and among their ranks are independent voters and even moderate Democrats.

What's taking place is at least somewhat similar to other modern political uprisings including the supporters of businessman Ross Perot in the 1990s. Less organized, there was the "silent majority" of middle America that rallied behind Richard Nixon two decades earlier. Much like the "tea party" contingent, those voters were largely white and middle class, a demographic Obama didn't win during the 2008 campaign and has struggled to win over since he took office.

"Tea parties" popped up last spring in small towns and big cities alike as disillusioned Americans -- many never before involved in politics -- protested the $787 billion economic stimulus measure, Wall Street bailouts and Obama's health care plan.

Since then, local leaders have struggled over the coalition's direction. There's even dispute over the name's origin: It was drawn from the 1773 tax revolt, or it's an acronym for "taxed enough already."

The coalition was tagged as extremist because of disruptions during health care town hall meetings last summer and signs like "Bury Obamacare with Kennedy" that sprouted at a Washington rally last fall following Sen. Edward M. Kennedy's death. And, while it claimed credit for Republican Scott Brown's surprise win for Kennedy's Massachusetts Senate seat last month, several "tea party"-backed candidates came up short in Illinois primary races this week.

The convention itself has had its controversies. It's a for-profit gathering organized by Nashville lawyer Judson Phillips at the sprawling Gaylord Opryland Hotel and Convention Center, where vendors hawk mementos that include tea-bag necklaces for $89.99.

Some would-be attendees balked at the $549 ticket price and Sarah Palin's $100,000 fee to give the keynote address Saturday night, worried the cost was sullying the grass-roots image and preventing activists from attending. Two featured speakers -- Republican Reps. Michele Bachmann of Minnesota and Marsha Blackburn of Tennessee -- pulled out, citing ethics concerns.

Still, the three-day event for some 600 people is intended to try to turn grass-roots activism into ballot-box achievement. It includes sessions about involving young people in the conservative movement, using primaries to defeat liberalism and unifying the movement's many groups.

To try to add some structure to the coalition, Skoda announced creation of the Ensuring Liberty Corp., and an affiliated political action committee aimed at electing up to 20 candidates this fall who advocate less government, fiscal responsibility, lower taxes, states' rights and strong national security.

"This is about giving voice to a people who don't feel they're being represented by either party. But it's too early to tell how this is all actually going to play out," said Nancy Hiser, 26 and from Findlay, Ohio. "The only consensus here is that everyone is probably opposed to the Obama agenda."

Copyright 2010 The Associated Press.

and another attack route for the TEA partiers:

http://hillbuzz.org/2010/02/05/tea-partiers-need-to-become-experts-on-democrat-fundraising/

Tea Partiers Need To Become Experts on Democrat Fundraising
Posted by hillbuzz under Uncategorized | Tags: Cut DNC revenue stream, DNC fundraising, How to cut the DNC off from its donors, Make donors not want to give to DNC |
[50] Comments

The only way to take down the current DNC, and drive the Liberals out, is to eliminate the DNC’s revenue stream.  To do that, pressure must be put on all the major DNC donors to just stop giving to the current Democrats in office, and to the DNC itself.

This is something the Tea Party movement doesn’t seem to understand, and that many of you in the conservative and moderate ranks never think about.

It’s kind of like taking Al Capone down for tax evasion.

It’s not as sexy as protesting at a Senator’s office or holding a big “convention” in Nashville.

But, it will work.

Keep your eyes peeled for the current president’s repeated call to DNC donors to pony up more cash.

We’ll let you in on a little secret:  the reason these donors give to the DNC is not because they actually believe in what the DNC is doing.  They give money because they want things, and most of what they want is pictures of them with famous people to hang on their walls at home, or in their offices.  Whenever we do special events here in Chicago, the houses we go to are filled with snapshots of the owners with every Democrat imaginable over the last 20 years.  95% of these pictures are taken at $1,000 a person photo-op meet and greets.  Those political evenings feature weak drinks and room temperature cheese.  Occasionally, here in Chicago, there are hot waiters in little tuxes, passing mediocre spinach puffs.  If you are lucky.

We think something unprecedented could be mounted by the coalition of moderates, independents, and conservatives that comes here to HillBuzz, using our own fundraising background and knowledge of this scene, to drive a temporary wedge between Democrats and their donors.

We say temporary because it’s delusional to think you will ever cut the DNC off from the people who want these photographs of themselves with the powerful.  That’s just not going to happen.

BUT, in this economy, people are already averse to forking out the money they used to for meet and greets.  If heat was put on these people for giving to the current 60 Democrats in the Senate, for instance, many wealthy Democrat donors might find it reasonable to make do with the photos they already have this year, instead of ponying up the funds to take new ones with Claire McCaskill, Evan Bayh, Chuck Schumer, Barbara Boxer, et al.

It won’t even take much to make a difference, really.

We’ve organized these fundraisers before.  We know how quickly panic mode sets in.  If you are running a meet and greet for 300 people, and it’s two weeks out and you have not booked 200 for the event, then national gets on your case in a big way.  If it’s a few days out, and you are not oversold, man alive, you are in trouble.

Very few of the people who attend these events want it know they are attending them.  They’re there for the pictures, only, not so much the cause.  So, using FEC records to identify the top donors to the 60 Democrats in the Senate currently, then organizing letter writing, email, and telephone campaigns to ask these top donors, politely, to stop donating to these Democrats will severely curb DNC fundraising efforts in 2010.

What you need to understand is that these big donors bring many smaller donors to the parties with them. If Mrs. Smith isn’t coming, neither are her assistants, or their friends, or all the people who want to usurp Mrs. Smith some day as the grand dame of the Chicago fundraising scene.

Convince Mrs. Smith she needs to take a break from politics for a while, and maybe fund the Joffrey or some other nonprofit that won’t draw her unwanted attention, and score a major victory for the American Resistance against the current Liberals in the Senate this year.

This is a mammoth project…one that we don’t especially know where to begin on, aside from starting with the five races we have already decided to pursue this year, with the addition of Claire McCaskill and Evan Bayh.  McCaskill because we think it’s never too soon to start working against her 2012 re-election bid, and Bayh because the GOP seems intent to flub its chances in Indiana, so we need to be unexpected reinforcements in that race.

We’ve debated on whether or not to go after Bayh, a man we like personally.  But, he’s proved his “moderate Democrat” billing was all just a lie.  He is a major disappointment.  We think he needs to be defeated.  We’re tempted to make him an official sixth race for Action Items going forward.

It’s a very, very busy week for us here, but hopefully this weekend we can find the time to sit down and chart out solid daily Action Items for how to take down the fundraising operations of:

(1) Barbara Boxer

(2) Chuck Schumer

(3) Claire McCaskill

(4) Alexi Giannoulias

(5) Evan Bayh

(6) Whomever is running against Michelle Bachmann in Minnesota

(7) Nancy Pelosi

Now, our goal is to make a dent in their fundraising.  We know we won’t ever take down their machines completely.  But, we guarantee a dent will be noticed by national.  If people who operate in shadows and attend these events just to get pictures on their walls suddenly start getting a thousand letters a week telling them to stop supporting Liberals, these people will stop going to these events, we guarantee.  And that will cause panic in Senate offices…and that panic will be telegraphed to the DNC…and all Hell will break loose all over the place.

Trust us on that.

We’ve been there.

We’ve been on the receiving end of phone calls from people who are pretty famous, angry we haven’t filled all the tables at something yet, three weeks before a candidate event.  If it’s already going to be a hard sell to fundraise for some of these races, we collectively at HillBuzz can be the straw that breaks the donkey’s back, and unleashes all manner of angst, tension, and pressure  upon people who are taxed to the limits already.

If we exist for any reason, it appears to be this extra little push, laser-focused, and directed in specific places like this.  THAT’S when we are truly effective…when we do things other operatives don’t think to do, and exploit weaknesses no one else sees.

We hope you’ll help us, because we think this is an Achilles heel the DNC doesn’t realize it has, since they presume their donors will show up for events no matter what…and we know for a fact that is just not true.
 
The TEA party in historical context:

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columns/OpEd-Contributor/Glenn-Reynolds-Tea-Party-Nashville-was-Americas-Third-Great-Awakening--83762647.html

Glenn Reynolds: Nashville Shows Tea Party Is America's Third Great Awakening
By: Glenn Harlan Reynolds
Examiner Contributor
February 7, 2010
Glenn Harlan Reynolds blogs at Instapundit.com

I attended this past weekend’s National Tea Party Convention in Nashville, Tennessee, and I came away feeling that I had seen something important.  The Tea Party movement is part of something bigger:  America’s Third Great Awakening.

America’s prior Great Awakenings, in the 18th and 19th Centuries, were religious in nature.  Unimpressed with self-serving, ossified, and often corrupt religious institutions, Americans responded with a bottom-up reassertion of faith, and independence.

This time, it’s different.  It’s not America’s churches and seminaries that are in trouble:  It’s America’s politicians and parties.  They’ve grown corrupt, venal, and out-of-touch with the values, and the people, that they’re supposed to represent.  So the people, once again, are reasserting themselves.

Most of the attention focused on this weekend’s convention seemed to involve the keynote speaker, Sarah Palin.  But though Palin wowed the crowd with red-meat attacks on overspending, weak national defense, and broken promises, the key phrase in her speech was this one: “All power is inherent in the people.”

And the biggest action item that she presented the crowd with wasn’t to support Sarah Palin, as most politicians would have asked, but to challenge incumbents in primary races.  Primary battles aren’t “civil war,” she said.  They’re the kind of competition that produces strength in the end.

This seemed to resonate with what I heard from conference attendees. Over and over again, I heard from Tea Party Activists that they were planning to take over their local Republican (and, sometimes Democratic) party apparatus starting at the precinct level and shake things up.

The sense was that party politics have been run for the benefit of the party insiders and hangers-on, not for the benefit of constituents and ideals.  And most of the conference, in fact, was addressed to doing something about that, not to worship of Sarah Palin, with sessions on organizing, media skills, and the like.

Even the much-hyped counter-Tea-Party protest, featuring three activists from the Tennessee Tea Party Coalition, underscores this point.  Despite their small numbers, they drew a large press gaggle hoping to get some negative energy going.

I watched as Knoxville Tea Party organizer Antonio Hinton -- who drew the largest crowd, perhaps because he is black, or perhaps because he’s an excellent speaker - was asked repeatedly by the press to say something negative about Sarah Palin or the National Tea Party Convention, but he called Palin “a breath of fresh air.”

And he stressed that he and his cohorts - representing a collection of several dozen Tea Party groups around Tennessee - weren’t so much there to complain about the convention as to point out that there was a lot more to the Tea Party movement than that one meeting.

They were right.  The Tea Party movement is bottom up, not top down. Lots of Tea Party people think well of Sarah Palin, but I doubt that many, even among the attendees at this weekend’s convention, would do much of anything just on her say-so.  People I’ve talked to, both there and at other events, aren’t looking for a charismatic leader.

That’s the Barack Obama model, now somewhat tattered.  Instead, they’ve had enough and they’re taking the reins themselves. Over and over again, I heard people at this convention tell me that they had never been involved in politics before the Tea Party movement. And, having tried it, they’re finding that politics can be fun, and they’re encountering the joys of learning that they’re not alone.

Accustomed to major-media treatment that strongly implied that anyone favoring small government must be some kind of fringe wacko, they’re discovering that lots of people feel the way they do, and that they can wield a lot of power if they try.  I suspect the power-wielding part is just starting.

In less than a year, the Tea Party movement has gone from a few spontaneous protests against Obama’s stimulus bill to a nationwide phenomenon rating major media coverage, with several political scalps on its belt.  And these inexpert activists are getting better with practice at what they do, with a lot of room on the learning curve ahead.

It’s fun to put on a protest rally for the first time and have it work out, but it’s even more fun to elect -- or defeat -- a candidate.  Or, as Tea Party activists are beginning to do, to run for office yourself.

Over the next couple of years, these multitudes of virgin political operatives are going to acquire considerably more experience and self-assurance, which means they’re probably going to become considerably more effective, too.  Politics may not be the same when they’re done.

Read more at the Washington Examiner: http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/opinion/columns/OpEd-Contributor/Glenn-Reynolds-Tea-Party-Nashville-was-Americas-Third-Great-Awakening--83762647.html#ixzz0euZMFZeq
 
Political rent seekers will fight to the last taxpayer to keep thier power and privilage:

http://www.commentarymagazine.com/blogs/index.php/rubin/234631

Fox Uncovers Anti-Tea-Party Slush-Fund Scam
Jennifer Rubin - 02.10.2010 - 8:45 AM

Fox News persists on covering news others don’t. It seems the “not really a news outlet” has uncovered  a major scam by the Vast Leftwing Conspiracy:

    A seemingly grassroots organization that’s mounted an online campaign to counter the tea party movement is actually the front end of an elaborate scheme that funnels funds — including sizable labor union contributions — through the offices of a prominent Democratic party lawyer. A Web site popped up in January dedicated to preventing the tea party’s “radical” and “dangerous” ideas from “gaining legislative traction,” targeting GOP candidates in Illinois for the firing squad.

But how does this happen? It apparently is legal, albeit deceitful:

    Here’s how it works: What appears like a local groundswell is in fact the creation of two men — Craig Varoga and George Rakis, Democratic Party strategists who have set up a number of so-called 527 groups, the non-profit election organizations that hammer on contentious issues (think Swift Boats, for example).

    Varoga and Rakis keep a central mailing address in Washington, pulling in soft money contributions from unions and other well-padded sources to engage in what amounts to a legal laundering system. The money — tens of millions of dollars — gets circulated around to different states by the 527s, which pay for TV ads, Internet campaigns and lobbyist salaries, all while keeping the hands of the unions clean — for the most part.

Fox has the list of donors, which comprises a set of interlocking slush-type funds that pay for the anti–Tea Party campaign. The largest of these is the American Federation of State, County and Municipal Employees (AFSCME,) which has kicked in a total of $9.9M in a single year to two funds that provide the cash for the non-grassroots movement. Yes — government workers’ money is being used to fend off Tea Party protesters.–

It seems that the Tea Party movement, once defamed and derided, now poses a threat to the liberal establishment, so much so that they are collecting millions to undermine it. Conservatives shouldn’t object to political speech — which this is. But there is certainly grounds to object to the chicanery, the lack of transparency, and the pretense that the opponents of the Tea Parties are themselves grassroots activists. They aren’t — this is Big Labor and assorted liberal-interest groups once again doing the bidding of the Democratic party. And if not for Fox, no one would be any the wiser.
 
Here is a meme for 2012: I'm running to save the party!

http://corner.nationalreview.com/post/?q=YjZhNmU5ZjEzMGJkZmQ3ZGE0OWU3YzJjM2FjZDJmZTQ=

Will Obama Have a Primary Challenger?  [Jonah Goldberg]

I recently had dinner with some political reporter types and I asked the question: Will Obama have a non-crazy (i.e. not Nader, not Kucinich) primary challenger in 2012? The reaction was interesting in that most folks hadn't thought of the question before but immediately realized it wasn't entirely implausible. It was, however, the consensus that it's unlikely (and, of course, way too early to predict). Still, I thought this email was interesting:

    Hi Jonah,

    I know things are looking bad for the Dems right now but I would  have thought  Bayh had a secure seat.  Any chance he wants to lay low for this election cycle and then challenge Obama in 2012?  As Democrats go, Bayh occasionally shows a bit of common sense (and winning in Indiana suggests the voters think so to).

    If 2010 turns out to be a bigger wipeout than 1994 then Obama will face a challenger.  Bayh could point to his record of warning fellow Democrats of the mistakes Obama was making and a 2010 debacle would suggest he was right.  I don't know if he could defeat Obama in a primary challenge but he could have a shot, especially in states with open primaries and states with a a more moderate (i.e. White) base.  Running as the savior of a party must have some appeal to Bayh.

    This stuff if better than following sports.  I hope you and your family are doing well.
 
It’s not often I agree wholeheartedly with David From, but this column, reproduced under the Fair Dealing provisions (§29) of the Copyright Act from The Atlantic via today’s National Post, has my unreserved support:

http://www.nationalpost.com/opinion/columnists/story.html?id=9b8957cf-597e-4a6f-ae6c-9124c041654a&p=1
Bring back the Mugwumps
During the late 19th century, some Republican reformers earned their party's scorn by standing up for their ideas. Today's conservatives should follow their lead

David Frum, National Post

Published: Monday, February 22, 2010

They say history is written by the winners, but in the United States, at least, that is not true. Losers like the Confederacy, the 1930s communists and the 1960s New Left have received good press. Winners like the great industrialists of the 19th century and the American conservative movement of the 1970s? Not so much.

Of all American history's unloved winners, however, few have attained the unpopularity achieved by the 19th-century political reformers disfigured by the ludicrous label "Mugwumps." So it may seem more than a little strange for me to suggest that they are exactly the group to whom American conservatives should turn for inspiration in the age of Obama.

The justification for my seemingly bizarre suggestion will take us pretty deep into many students' least favorite chapter of American history: the four decades between the Civil War and the presidency of Teddy Roosevelt. Stick with me. The lights of contemporary relevance will switch on, one by one.

If you could visit a big political rally or convention in the 1880s, you'd discover a party system unexpectedly reminiscent of today's. Then as now, partisanship was intense. Then as now, partisans lived in closed worlds. They read only the newspapers that confirmed their respective prejudices, lived in towns and neighbourhoods that tilted overwhelmingly to one party or another, celebrated different sets of heroes and disdained different villains.

You think Rush Limbaugh or Keith Olbermann talks harshly? Listen to this campaign speech from 1880:

"Every man that tried to destroy the government, every man that shot at the holy flag in heaven, every man that starved our soldiers, every keeper of Libby, Andersonville and Salisbury, every man that wanted to burn the negro, every one that wanted to scatter yellow fever in the North, every man that opposed human liberty, that regarded the auction-block as an altar and the howling of the bloodhound as the music of the Union, every man who wept over the corpse of slavery, that thought lashes on the back were a legal tender for labour performed, every one willing to rob a mother of her child -- every solitary one was a Democrat."

That was Robert Ingersoll, one of the most famous orators of his day, stumping for the Republicans. Think of him when people tell you that today's political discourse has sunk below the standards of the hallowed past.

But the politics of the 1880s resembled our own in another way -- a way that makes the ridiculous Mugwumps suddenly seem very relevant.

The political fury of the 1880s was a strangely empty fury. The issues that most enflamed Americans in those days were left over from two decades before: the issues of the Civil War and Reconstruction. On practical, immediate questions, the two parties hardly differed: They were both equally irrelevant to the problems of the day. The opening plank of the 14-point Democratic platform of 1880 pledged continuity with the great traditions of the party's past, without ever specifying what those traditions were. Four more planks fulminated against a federal panel's decision in the 1876 election to award 20 disputed electoral votes -- and thus the presidency -- to the Republican candidate, Rutherford B. Hayes. The only unambiguous point in the platform was the 11th: a call for a ban on all Chinese immigration. That was also the clearest point in the Republican platform -- the main difference being that the Republicans preferred to ban Chinese immigration by negotiation with China, rather than by unilateral U.S. action.

From our contemporary point of view, the most urgent and contentious issue on the national agenda in 1880 would seem to have been the condition of the freed slaves of the South. Yet here, too, the two parties had reached an understanding: no more federal intervention to protect the political or civil rights of black Americans. The former abolitionist James Garfield felt more personal sympathy for black Americans than any other president from Abraham Lincoln to Theodore Roosevelt. Yet even he, in his inaugural address, could say only that black Americans had been "surrendered to their own guardianship." The freed slaves were abandoned to the mercy of their neighbours as utterly under Republican presidents as under Democrats.

This highly ritualized approach to politics, this pretense of great disagreement, is familiar in our own time. A quarter century ago, Ronald Reagan and Walter Mondale offered Americans substantial policy alternatives. In 2010, by contrast, we see the parties hammering each other over differences barely more perceptible than those of 1880. Republicans rage against the Democrats' bailouts, takeovers, deficits -- yet all three commenced under George W. Bush, not Barack Obama. Almost every concept in Obama's intensely controversial health plan has at one point or another been advanced by a senior Republican, from Bob Dole to Mitt Romney. I type these words having just watched Fox News's Glenn Beck liken President Obama's call for voluntary national service to something out of Maoist China. Obama's service program barely differs in form, content and rhetoric from Bush's program, which in turn was almost identical to the program created by the elder president Bush in 1989.

Reading a speech like Ingersoll's -- or listening to today's talk radio -- you almost wonder whether strident rhetoric, then as now, functions more as a substitute for policy differences than as their expression.

Don't misunderstand: North versus South, Catholic versus Protestant, farm versus city, property owner versus labourer, old-stock versus immigrant, white versus nonwhite -- these divisions and many others incited mistrust, anger and hatred. It's just that these divisions did not much translate into party policy. If you were a northern Protestant, you were probably a Republican; if you were a northern Catholic, you were probably a Democrat. Yet on practical questions, the two parties converged on almost exactly the same answers, like two fiercely competitive cola manufacturers arriving at almost exactly the same formula.

A ferocious but highly choreographed politics, intensely felt but also remote from the concerns of everyday life: That was American politics 125 years ago, and in many respects it is American politics today. And that was the politics against which the political reformers of the 1870s and 1880s struggled.

Mostly northeastern, well educated and comfortably affluent, these reformers formed a type that has always rubbed Americans the wrong way: a self-conscious political elite that claims to speak for the public good. The names of some Mugwumps still resound in American history: Carl Schurz and Henry Adams, Mark Twain and Charles Eliot Norton. Others, such as the civil-service reformer George Curtis, have gone brown with age. Famous or not so famous, they had to make the political decision of a lifetime in 1884, when the Republican Party nominated for president one of the most tainted men in Washington: Senator James G. Blaine.

Nobody ever proved Blaine crooked, but he was widely believed to have engaged in shady business dealings and to have accepted large personal gifts from corporate benefactors. A contemporary cartoon depicted him as "the tattooed man," with the names of his manifold scandals stamped on his body. Blaine's imposing mansion still stands near Dupont Circle in Washington, D.C. Even at 19th-century construction prices, he could hardly have afforded to build it on a senator's salary. His house in Augusta, Maine, which he owned at the same time, is now the governor's mansion.

Despite everything, most reformers had remained loyal to the Republican Party throughout the disappointing post-war years. The Blaine nomination, however, was one outrage more than they could swallow. The Democratic nominee, Grover Cleveland, had won a reputation for honesty as the mayor of Buffalo and then the governor of New York. Cleveland supported civil-service reform, the gold standard and free trade -- the great causes of the reformers. As a block, they did something almost unimaginable in those days of white-hot partisan feelings: They broke with the party of Lincoln to support the nominee of the party of Jefferson Davis.

The editor of The New York Sun, Charles Dana, mocked these party-switchers as Mugwumps, a name he apparently took from an Algonquian Indian word for an important person -- self-important was what Dana ironically meant to say. Other critics, less polite, drew them as absurd cartoon characters with their "mug" on one side of the fence and their "wump" on the other. Their opponents sneered at them as "hermaphrodites." (The word homosexual had not yet entered the English language.) The boss of the New York state Republican Party, U.S. senator Roscoe Conkling, who detested Blaine, nonetheless complained, "When Doctor Johnson defined patriotism as the last refuge of a scoundrel, he was unconscious of the then undeveloped capabilities of the word reform."

In a tensely close election, who can assess what impact the Mugwumps had on the course of history? Cleveland won New York's 36 electoral votes -- and thus the presidency -- by the razor-thin margin of 1,149 votes out of the 1,167,169 cast.

The 1884 party-switchers lethally damaged any ambitions they may have held for elective office. (Some who shared the sympathies of the Mugwump circle -- notably Theodore Roosevelt and Henry Cabot Lodge -- had been more prudent, and endorsed Blaine.) But over the succeeding decades, the Mugwump causes would one by one prevail.

The reformers wanted an end to patronage hiring in the civil service. In the 19th century, almost every job in federal, state and local government, all the way down to the clerks and messengers, turned on Election Day. For hundreds of thousands of Americans, an election was not a vote on the issues, but a referendum on a single urgent question: "Shall I keep my job?" The system conscripted every government worker -- and everybody who hoped to become a government worker -- into the machinery of the parties and compelled obedience to the party bosses. Beginning with the Pendleton Act of 1883, federal civil servants -- and later state employees -- were granted tenure for office so long as they competently performed their jobs. Over the next quarter century, the old patronage system and its accompanying kickbacks to the parties dwindled away.

The Mugwumps wanted the United States to resume free trade -- not only as a matter of good economics, but also because they had witnessed how the switch to protectionism in 1861 had turned Congress into an auction house for industrial favors. The United States cut its high tariffs for a tragically brief period in 1913, but adopted free trade as a permanent policy after World War II.

The Mugwumps wanted to end congressional manipulation of the currency. They got their wish in 1900, when the United States wrote the gold standard into law, and in 1913, with the founding of the Federal Reserve. They also wanted secret ballots, printed by the government, not the parties, and effective measures against vote-stealing and ballot-stuffing.

Yet this record of success has gained little applause. The historian Richard Hofstadter memorably denigrated the Mugwumps as snobbish, blundering goody-goodies:

"The typical Mugwump was a conservative in his economic and political views. He disdained, to be sure, the most unscrupulous of the new men of wealth, as he did the opportunistic, boodling, tariff-mongering politicians who served them. But the most serious abuses of the unfolding economic order of the Gilded Age he either resolutely ignored or accepted complacently as an inevitable result of the struggle for existence or the improvidence and laziness of the masses ... The Mugwump was shut off from the people as much by his social reserve and his amateurism as by his candidly conservative views."

Hofstadter certainly had a point. Henry Adams in particular was an unappealing snob, brilliantly lampooned by Henry James in a short story. (Planning a party with his wife, the Adams character says, "Let us be vulgar and have some fun -- let us invite the president.") But if the Mugwumps were wrong to be offended by the use of the wrong fork, they were right to be offended by the abuse of slogans and the manipulations of loyalties to distract voters from the real issues of national importance. The Mugwump spirit is the spirit that says: "Enough. I refuse to be exploited by those who seek to misdirect my ideals to their advantage."

Partisan affiliation nowadays carries less meaning than it did 125 years ago. Our divisions are more ideological and cultural than political: Red State versus Blue State, conservative versus liberal, religious versus secular. Yet today, again, many of the causes that seem to most agitate Americans on either side of these divides -- like abortion and racism and reverse racism -- seem frozen in time, left over from the culture wars of three and four decades back. Spend an evening watching cable news, and it's a whole prime-time lineup of bloody-shirt-waving.

For people on my side of the aisle, the conservative side, the ancient causes seem especially distracting. Twenty-first-century America abounds in problems that ought to galvanize a modernized conservatism: excess government debt, onerous taxation of savings and investments, a dangerous over-involvement of government in banking and finance, increasing dependence on energy from unfriendly sources, immigration policies that degrade the average skill and productivity of the American workforce, the strategic challenge from an emerging Chinese superpower. How are we to develop answers to these problems of tomorrow if in our minds it is forever 1969?

The causes that animated the Mugwumps are tinged with sepia. But the demand those reformers articulated should resonate as loudly today as ever it did: it is the demand for a politics based on realities, not phantoms.

The Atlantic


Frum is right, real American conservatives have issues into which they can and should sink their teeth but they persist on chewing at the political fringes where Beck and Limbaugh and the other mouth breathing knuckle draggers live.

The Republicans, it seems to me, need to recapture their traditional base: the huge number of tolerant, secular, cautious/semi-isolationist, fiscally prudent small town Americans. Leave big business, the big banks, big banks, big insurance and big education to the Democrats, leave the libertarian fringe to the Tea Party and leave the religious right out in the cold. Republicans need to make it clear that one can be a good, loyal, patriotic American, even the president, without be hyphenated as a Black-American or a Jewish-American or a Muslim-American. Christian ≠ loyal; Christian ≠ patriotic; Muslim ≠ enemy; Black ≠ spendthrift; and WASP ≠ good. ‘Good’ = honest, prudent, thoughtful and able and even willing to adapt to the realities of the world in which we find ourselves.

I’m not sure who the American republican leader will be: maybe Mitt Romeny, maybe Bobby Jindal, Linda Lingle, Ileana Ros-Lehtinen or J.C. Watts.


mitt-romney.jpg
bobby_jindal.jpg
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Mitt Romney, Bobby Jindal, Linda Lingle,Ileana Ros-Lehtinen and J.C. Watts
Potential Republican leaders come in all shapes, sizes, sexes, races and religions and from all regions, too: North-East, Deep South; Hawaii; Florida and the Mid West.



What I am sure of is that the Republicans have no change of recapturing the independents – who are necessary to regain control of the congress and/or the White House – if Beck and Limbaugh endorse their candidate.
 
More on the TEA party and what they represent. The conclusion is interesting but not intuitive, how many military commanders have become President (Washington, U.S.Grant, Eisenhower and Teddy Roosevelt come to mind) compared to how many military commanders come to greif in the field of politics?

http://blogs.the-american-interest.com/wrm/2010/02/21/tea-party-off-the-rails-or-straight-to-the-top/

Do Soldiers Drink Tea? 

Posted In: Politics, U.S. Foreign Policy

At the tea parties here in glamorous Queens we make sure we serve genuine Devonshire clotted cream with the scones and we keep our pinkies carefully extended while lifting the delicate porcelain cups to our lips, but a very different kind of Tea Party has my friends in the upscale media and policy worlds gravely concerned.  To hear them talk, all the know-nothings, wackadoo birther wingnuts, IRS plane bombers, Christian fundamentalists out to turn the US into a theocracy, the flat earthers and the racists have somehow joined together into a force that is as politically formidable as it morally and intellectually contemptible.  These Tea Partiers, I am frequently told, are ‘reactionaries’.  They long for an older, safer and whiter America — a more orderly place where their old fashioned values were unchallenged, one in which ethnic minorities weren’t in their faces, gays weren’t demanding acceptance, and in general life looked more like “Ozzie and Harriet” and less like “South Park.”

I’m sure that description fits some of the people at some of the Tea Parties, but I think it misses the point.  Yes, the Tea Partiers represent something very old in American life and in some ways they want a return to traditional American values, but the traditional American value that inspires them the most is the value of revolutionary change.  The Tea Party movement is the latest upsurge of an American populism that has sometimes sided with the left and sometimes with the right, but which over and over again has upended American elites, restructured our society and forced through the deep political, cultural and institutional changes that from time to time the country needs and which the ruling elites cannot or will not deliver.

That doesn’t mean that everything populists want works out.  Andrew Jackson’s war against the Second Bank of the United States caused a depression in the short term and then left the country with a lousy, crash-prone financial system for the next eighty years.  His immensely popular Indian Removal Act that sent the eastern Indian tribes to Oklahoma was no triumph of justice and compassion.  And while a later generation of populists gave women the vote, it also brought in Prohibition.

But you don’t have to buy every line item (or even any line item) in the emerging Tea Party program to see the movement’s potential.  Its ruling passion is a belief in the ability of the ordinary citizen to make decisions for himself or herself without the guidance or ‘help’ of experts and professionals.  No idea has deeper roots in American history and culture and by global standards Americans have historically distrusted doctors, lawyers, bankers, preachers and professors: everybody who presumes that their special insider knowledge gives them a special right to decide what’s best for the rest of us and historically no political force has been stronger than the determination of ordinary Americans to flatten the social and political hierarchy.

The United States has rarely been in greater need of rapid transformation than we are now.  The information revolution, the rapid development of the global economy, the shift of cultural and economic power from Europe toward Asia, the enormous wave of immigration that since the 1960’s has been remaking the body politic once again, the breakdown of the progressive or blue social model as industries and financial markets rise and fall with a velocity not seen in the last 100 years: these changes are taking place all around us, but our institutions and policies are very far from keeping up.

Today in the United States many of our core institutions are fundamentally out of sync with reality: they cost more than we can pay but they don’t do what we need.  We have colleges our people cannot afford — and that often leave graduates without a basic grounding in either the history of our civilization or the practicalities of contemporary life.  We have a health system that we cannot pay for and which fails to cover enough people.  We have a public school system which has been failing too many of our children for far too long, costs unconscionably large amounts of money considering its poor performance — and vested interests block necessary reforms.  Our federal, state and local governments are locked into an employment system and mode of organization that we cannot pay for — and that does not do the job.  Our retirement system is a time bomb and all our political class can do is watch the fuse burn.  We cannot regulate our financial industry effectively — and we cannot live without a financial system that remains innovative and dynamic. We are fighting a global conflict whose name we dare not speak against an enemy we do not know how to defeat and in a world that is more volatile and fluid than it has been since World War Two we are very far from any kind of national consensus (or even thoughtful conversation) about what our priorities and strategies should be.

Elites and experts who know the system believe that this massive logjam demands carefully crafted, expert-led interventions.  Wise policy wonks must rejigger the health care system; the scientists and the policy specialists must redesign the national energy structure to deal with global warming.  They dream of intricate, finely crafted reforms whose beauty can only be appreciated by a few.

Populists hate this; they want big and simple ideas.  “The end of welfare as we know it” is what they wanted, not a careful re-adjustment of caseloads and policies.  They think that the experts and the ‘policy communities’ that grow up around various complex issues aren’t just dispassionate servants of the public good.  They think that scientists and wonks also have agendas and ambitions.  Furthermore they suspect on good evidence that whatever delicately balanced, intricately designed policy proposals go into the legislative process, something much cruder and more, well, porcine will inevitably come out at the other end.

When the system seems stuck or dysfunctional and the pressure builds up for change, this is when populists rise up against elites and the suspicion of elites and government that seems to be part of America’s DNA comes to the fore.  Often, these revolts amount to peaceful revolutions, transforming the American political and economic system.  The revolutionary, Jeffersonian, Jacksonian and New Deal waves brought lasting change to our institutions and policies.  The agrarian populists of the 1890s, the various movements of the 1960s and the movement behind Ronald Reagan were only slightly less effective.

My guess would be that the Tea Party movement is part of a very big wave.  The link between a business driven agenda of modernization and reform and a populist agenda for empowerment, deregulation and attacks on privileged professions which are also costly economic bottlenecks is what, historically, has driven many of the populist movements that change the face of the country.  That was true in the Jacksonian era and again during the progressive era and the New Deal when the desires of a left of center populism meshed with corporate needs for a stronger national framework of policy and regulation.  It was true when the Republican Party pushed through the wave of changes and restructurings in the 1860s that ushered in the rise of the national industrial economy.  It is equally true of the right of center populism that now seems to be taking shape, and potentially this movement could have the kind of impact on the country that the original Jacksonians did.

What this means for conventional politics is harder to predict.  American populism is notoriously turbulent and unstable.  As populist energy shifted from the pro-slavery Democrats in the twenty years before the Civil War, different movements like the Know-Nothings and the Free Soilers rose and fell until the new Republican Party harnessed northern and midwestern populist sentiment together with the nationalist vision of the rising industrial and railroad interests.  (Abraham Lincoln wasn’t just the leader of a populist political revolt; he was a railroad corporate lawyer who combined populist politics with Henry Clay style nationalist economic ideas.)  Crackpots and wackadoos often surface and achieve some temporary notoriety before the sorting out process of political exposure and debate winnows out the leaders from the loudmouths.  At the moment the Tea Party seems to be more at the fermentation stage; the movement is still finding its feet and in terms of both program and personnel the new populists are still getting their act together.

The sorting out process seems to be happening fast, though.  “Birthers” and “truthers” are being gently but firmly ushered to the door.  For now at least, many Tea Partiers seem to want a populist coalition that focuses on economic and government reform while moving more slowly on social issues. Perhaps the movement is pulling itself together more quickly than past populist upsurges have done because the combination of higher education levels and better communications make today’s populists a little more ready for prime time than some of their predecessors.  The ability to organize populist political movements quickly and effectively on a national scale may be one of the ways in which the United States has progressed in the last fifty years.  The gap in education and skills between the ‘peasants’ and the elites is not as large as it used to be, and so when the ‘peasants’ are unhappy they can move much more quickly than they used to.

Be all that as it may, the path of populism in America in never as smooth or as pleasant as it appears in the movement’s early stages.  Even when you come into politics with a few big ideas, you quickly get caught up in complications and entangling alliances.  Paradoxically, populist movements usually rely on strong leaders — a Jefferson, a Jackson, a Lincoln, a Roosevelt or a Reagan — to hold them together and guide them through the complexities of success.

At this point no national political leader has emerged who seems capable of providing the leadership the new populists seek.  Sarah Palin stirred their hearts, but her appeal does not seem to grow as her exposure increases.  Certainly there is no one of Ronald Reagan’s stature on the horizon.  More, since the public is not particularly happy at the moment with the results of electing sympathetic but untested young leaders (George W. Bush as well as the current President), experience and seasoning hold some appeal.  That is a tough thing to find: a Washington-hating outsider who is also deeply knowledgeable about how government works.  A military leader could fill the bill; generals aren’t career politicians but they know a thing or two about Washington life.

Does David Petraeus or Stanley McChrystal drink tea?  Potentially, that could be the most important question in American politics.
 
A different view:

http://hotair.com/archives/2010/02/27/are-democrats-choosing-to-run-off-a-cliff-with-obamacare/

Are Democrats choosing to run off a cliff with ObamaCare?
posted at 9:55 am on February 27, 2010 by Ed Morrissey
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Republicans have reacted with understandable glee to the Democratic insistence on extending the debate on ObamaCare.  After all, we are coming up on eight months since the Democrats first introduced this bill and attempted to rush it through Congress.  In that time, their polling has plunged, grassroots reaction has exploded, and a popular new President has seen his standing rapidly fall with voters.  The midterms look like a disaster already, and a last-ditch effort by Democrats to use parliamentary tricks to pass a broadly unpopular bill will only make that worse.

Are Democrats acting irrationally, refusing to see the cliff in front of them?  Andy McCarthy says no — and that Republicans need to understand that:

    I hear Republicans getting giddy over the fact that “reconciliation,” if it comes to that, is a huge political loser. That’s the wrong way to look at it. The Democratic leadership has already internalized the inevitablility of taking its political lumps. That makes reconciliation truly scary. Since the Dems know they will have to ram this monstrosity through, they figure it might as well be as monstrous as they can get wavering Democrats to go along with. Clipping the leadership’s statist ambitions in order to peel off a few Republicans is not going to work. I’m glad Republicans have held firm, but let’s not be under any illusions about what that means. In the Democrat leadership, we are not dealing with conventional politicians for whom the goal of being reelected is paramount and will rein in their radicalism. They want socialized medicine and all it entails about government control even more than they want to win elections. After all, if the party of government transforms the relationship between the citizen and the state, its power over our lives will be vast even in those cycles when it is not in the majority. This is about power, and there is more to power than winning elections, especially if you’ve calculated that your opposition does not have the gumption to dismantle your ballooning welfare state.

    Consequently, the next six weeks, like the next ten months, are going to be worse than we think. We’re wired to think that everyone plays by the ususal rules of politics — i.e., if the tide starts to change, the side against whom it has turned modifies its positions in order to stay viable in the next election. But what will happen here will be the opposite. You have a party with the numbers to do anything it puts its mind to, led by movement Leftitsts who see their window of opportunity is closing. We seem to expect them to moderate because that’s what everybody in their position does. But they won’t. They will put their heads down and go for as much transformation as they can get, figuring that once they get it, it will never be rolled back. The only question is whether there are enough Democrats who are conventional politicians and who care about being reelected, such that they will deny the leadership the numbers it needs. But I don’t think we should take much heart in this possibility. Those Democrats may well come to think they are going to lose anyway — that’s why so many of them are abandoning ship now. If that’s the case, their incentive will be to vote with the leadership.

Andy has a point.  The American political system has remained stable mainly because its political parties have remained rational over our history.  That rationality has been mainly based on the accepted principle that there isn’t more to power in our system than winning elections, which can create short-sighted leadership at times, but also discourages sweeping  changes to the country by a party on a political suicide mission.  A party with a leadership of zealots, though, could choose to use a two-year session of Congress to fundamentally remake America if it accepted a humiliating loss of power as the necessary trade-off.

However, that would require all of the politicians of that party to follow suit, and that’s where the Democratic leadership has a big problem.  They didn’t gain the majority by elected over 300 cardboard cutouts of Nancy Pelosi as Representatives and Senators.  While Andy is spot-on about Pelosi and her clique being descendants of the New Left radicals of the 1960s (as is Barack Obama), that’s not true for a large portion of their caucus, especially those representing red districts and red states.  Not only is political suicide much more likely for them than it is for Pelosi, Anthony Weiner, Jarrold Nadler, et al, they’re temperamentally different from the leadership clique as well.

That doesn’t mean that they can’t get bulldozed into compliance, but it does make it a more difficult proposition for Pelosi to hold her caucus together.  We’re already seeing signs of it splintering, and as this effort gets closer to the midterm elections, that will increase proportionately.  Blue Dogs are already unhappy with the direction of ObamaCare — and so are progressives, but for diametrically opposed reasons.  The summit may have helped to pull recalcitrant moderates in line, but Democrats got punked at the televised spectacle and have no fig leaf to wear to support a radical mechanism in pushing through a radical bill.

Andy may be right that Democratic leadership has made the decision that political oblivion is an acceptable cost for a one-time remaking of America that Republicans will find difficult to reverse in the next session.  However, I suspect that this strategy doesn’t account for the fact that the people who will actually have to end their careers may not appreciate getting forced into marching off a cliff while the leadership stays safely in their rear-echelon bastions of San Francisco and New York City.

Update: Nick Jacob reminds me on Twitter of what my friend (and new Salem colleague) Dennis Prager told Republicans earlier this month:

    Most people on the Left are True Believers. This is critical to understand. They are willing to lose Congress; Nancy Pelosi and Harry Reid are prepared to lose both houses to get this through. Why? Because losing an election cycle means nothing compared to taking over more of the American economy.

    I can give you an example from our side. There are many folks on our side who, if they could pass an amendment against abortion, would happily sacrifice both houses for a period of time. Understand that just as strongly as some are pro-life or religiously Christian or Jewish, that is how strongly many leftists believe in leftism. Leftism is a substitute religion. For the Left, the “health care” bill transcends politics. You are fighting people who will go down with the ship in order to transform this country to a leftist one. And an ever-expanding state is the Left’s central credo.

Prager is certainly correct about all of the points here, but the question will be whether most of their caucuses are willing to follow them — or more accurately, precede them — into political oblivion.
 
A twofer which lays the 2010 and 2012 elections on the line: the TEA partiers are against the entrenched political class:

http://www.tucsonteaparty.org/?p=783

Arizona Tea Party Leaders Decline to Endorse in AZ Senate Race

March 1, 2010 by Trent Humphries 
Filed under News

March 1st, 2010
For Immediate Release

Arizona Tea Party Leaders Decline to Endorse in AZ Senate Race
Coalition of four largest Tea Party organizations issue joint press release

The organizers of the four largest Arizona Tea Party organizations – including the Tucson Tea Party, Greater Phoenix Tea Party, Flagstaff Tea Party, and Mohave County Tea Party – issued a joint press release regarding their unified decision to decline endorsing a candidate in the Arizona Senate primary race between John McCain, J.D. Hayworth, and Jim Deakin.

“The Tea Party is a non-partisan, grassroots movement that stands for limited government, free markets, and fiscal responsibility. Both McCain and Hayworth’s records during their many years in Washington leave much to be desired on these issues,” said Robert Mayer, co-founder of the Tucson Tea Party. “It is their job to hold themselves up to these values and fight for our votes.”

Other tea party organizers across the state agreed that the local organizations should not endorse so early if at all.

“It is not appropriate to make an endorsement in this race at the drop of a hat, as some other groups are doing,” said Kelly Townsend, organizer of the Greater Phoenix Tea Party. “The movement must stand for ideas, and do everything possible to provide information to people so that they can make the best personal decisions.”

Roger Boone, organizer of the Flagstaff Tea Party, added, “The Tea Party should not endorse individual politicians, as their future actions may reflect poorly on our organization. We encourage our members to endorse and vote for whomever they choose, but as a group we will not endorse officially.”

We stand for principles and ideas, not for politicians or parties,” said Patrick Beck, organizer of the Mohave County Tea Party. “Our mission is to promote constitutional government and fiscal responsibility, and to inform people so that they can make their own decisions.”

The other side of the coin; "'We the People' be damned!"

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/politics/For-Obama-and-Pelosi_-health-care-is-ego-trip-85871962.html

For Obama and Pelosi, health care is ego trip
By: Byron York
Chief Political Correspondent
March 2, 2010
(AP)

In the entire health care debate, among all the competing lawmakers, politicians, experts and pundits, there's just one person who has seen things from both sides of the political aisle. That is Rep. Parker Griffith of Alabama, who was elected as a Democrat in 2008 and was part of the House Democratic caucus until last Dec. 22, when he switched sides to become a Republican. (Republican-turned-Democrat Sen. Arlen Specter doesn't count, because he switched parties in April 2009, before the current health care debate got underway.)

Given Griffith's unique perspective -- he is also a doctor, with 30 years' experience as an oncologist -- perhaps he has some insight into why the White House and his former Democratic allies in Congress continue to press forward on a national health care bill despite widespread public opposition.

It's gotten personal, Griffith says. "You have personalities who have bet the farm, bet their reputations, on shoving a health care bill through the Congress. It's no longer about health care reform. It's all about ego now. The president's ego. Nancy Pelosi's ego. This is about personalities, saving face, and it has very little to do with what's good for the American people."

Conflicts driven by personal feelings can lead to self-destructive outcomes. Ask Griffith whether Speaker Pelosi, his old leader, would accept losing Democratic control of the House as the price for passing the health care bill, and he answers quickly. "Oh yeah. This is a trophy for the speaker, it's a trophy for several committee chairs, and it's a trophy for the president." It does not seem to matter that if Democrats lose the House, the speaker will no longer be speaker, the chairmen will no longer be chairmen, and the president will be significantly weakened.

As Griffith sees his former colleagues, Democratic leaders have become so consumed with the idea of achieving the historical goal of a national health care system that they are able to explain away the scores of opinion polls over the last six months that show people solidly opposed to the Democratic proposal.

The polls are wrong, they say. Or the polls are contradictory. Or the polls actually show that people love the health care plan. And even if the polls are right, and people hate the plan, real leaders don't govern by following the polls. So just pass the bill.

That's easy for Democrats like Pelosi, who occupy safe seats. Not so for dozens of moderate House Democrats whose votes are required for passage, but who face likely defeat for it. "I don't think there are that many moderate or conservative Democrats who want to be sacrificial representatives," says Griffith.

Just for the record, the RealClearPolitics average of polls on the Democratic health care plan shows 51 percent opposed and 40 percent in favor. A similar compilation of surveys by Pollster.com shows the gap at 51 percent to 43 percent. There have been more opponents than supporters of the plan since last July, when Democrats first began to unveil concrete health care proposals.

Can Democrats really ignore the polls all the way to the end? Yes, but it gets a little harder with each passing day. George W. Bush couldn't ignore public opinion when he wanted to remake Social Security and pass comprehensive immigration reform. Faced with broad opposition, Bush ultimately gave up.

And now Democratic leaders are showing signs of weakness. Why would they suddenly express interest, even feigned interest, in Republican ideas they derided for months? Why would they invite GOP lawmakers to a high-profile discussion of health care? Because they don't have the votes to pass the bill. "If they had the votes, we wouldn't have had the summit," said Republican Rep. Marsha Blackburn on CBS Sunday.

That's a change from the heady days of last year, when Democrats, as Griffith says, "never really wanted anyone else's input" on health care. When a Republican offered a suggestion, "There was a polite smile and a comment like, 'That's very interesting, and we'll take a look,'" Griffith recalls. Of course, they never did. Now, they make a big show of listening.

But it's too late to make the fundamental changes that would be required to improve the bill. It's too late to change public opinion. It's too late to reassure nervous lawmakers. The Democratic leadership has made the decision to push the bill to the very end, and so they will.

It's personal.

Byron York, The Examiner's chief political correspondent, can be contacted at byork@washingtonexaminer.com. His column appears on Tuesday and Friday, and his stories and blog posts appears on ExaminerPolitics.com.

Read more at the Washington Examiner: http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/politics/For-Obama-and-Pelosi_-health-care-is-ego-trip-85871962.html#ixzz0h2nYAuw5
 
Another look at TEA partiers:

http://biggovernment.com/publius/2010/03/02/study-of-tea-party-activists-reveals-motivations-of-political-movement/

Study of Tea Party Activists Reveals Motivations of Political Movement
by Publius

“The Early Adopters” Report uncovers that most oppose a third party, many are new to politics

CHICAGO, —  A new study released today reveals that Tea Party activists are motivated by feelings of responsibility to future generations and belief in America’s founding principles, but still struggle with questions of leadership and identity. The study conducted by Sam Adams Alliance, The Early Adopters: Reading the Tea Leaves, also reveals that Tea Party activists are a diverse group trying – often for the first time – to change the political landscape by holding elected officials more accountable. The results of the full report can be found at www.activistinsightsreport.com.

The Sam Adams report offers the first-ever insights into the Tea Party movement that include a survey sample made up entirely of recognized Tea Party activists.

“A lot of surveys have focused on the Tea Party movement, but they’ve been about what others think of them, and don’t reveal the motives of actual Tea Partiers,” said Sam Adams Alliance chairman Eric O’Keefe. “We decided to learn what the Tea Party leaders are up to the old fashioned way: We asked them.”

The findings confirm that a large number of Tea Party activists are politically involved for the first time. 47 percent of activists surveyed said that they were “uninvolved” or “rarely involved” in politics before their participation in Tea Party groups.

Three political issues stood out as being the most important to Tea Party activists. When asked which issues were “very important” to them, 92 percent said “budget,” 85 percent said

“economy,” and 80 percent said “defense.” No respondents listed social issues as an “important direction” for the movement.

Other findings of the study include:

86 percent oppose the formation of a third-party.
36 percent support a 2012 Sarah Palin Presidential candidacy.
81 percent have a website for their organization.
90 percent cited “to stand up for my beliefs” when characterizing their initial reason for involvement.
62 percent identified as Republicans, 28 percent as Independents, 10 percent as “Tea Party”
 
A new study released today reveals that Tea Party activists are motivated by feelings of responsibility to future generations and belief in America’s founding principles, but still struggle with questions of leadership and identity.

But still struggle with questions of leadership......

It is not just the Tea partiers who struggle with the question of leadership.

One of the oldest “democratic” institutions that survives into the modern world is “The General Assembly of the Presbyterian Church of Scotland”.  The senior voice in that august body is “The Moderator”.  The equivalent personage in the “House of Commons” is “The Speaker”.

I believe that most Tea Partiers probably have “Presbyterian” tendencies – not in the religious sense but in the organizational sense.  They are disinclined to accept ANY leader.  They want their seniors, their “elders”, to moderate, to adjudicate, to voice the consensus.......not to instruct them.  They are the intellectual heirs of Jenny Geddes and her famous outburst to the Royally appointed Bishop when he informed the congregation they would be following the Book of Common Prayer ....” who dare’s to say mass in my ear (wha daur say mass in mah lug).”

Equally confounding to the debate is that the political class and their media acolytes fail to “grok” (pace Heinlein) the concept of a world without “leaders”.  They just can’t begin to fathom the notion.  In their world there must be leaders for the mob can’t be trusted to make rational decisions.  Consequently when they perceive a mob they first of all conclude that it is acting irrationally.  When they perceive rationality within the mob then they search for the leaders that they believe must exist.

This is why the Europeans can’t tolerate the concept of the pragmatic parliament of the English where rational compromise substitutes for justice and right.  Unfortunately the English (and I use the term advisedly) are forgetting their parliamentary origins.  And here in Canada we struggle with a society that seeks  perfect answers from bodies of imperfect people. 

We need more presbyterians.....and not the church going kind.
 
The link to Presbyterianism is interesting, since this tracks fairly well with Samual Huntington's thesis in "Who are We?".

According to Huntington, American exceptionalism was born from the settler's dissenting Protestant philosophies (which were peculiar to that time and place; later waves of English settlers did not have these views and so nations like Canada and Australia do not replicate American political culture), which included the relationships between God and Man, the role of the Church, Government and the Rule of Law. The TEA partiers, whether they know this or not, are the heirs to the dissenting Protestants.

The showdown is between the TEA partiers, who are self motivated and self organized, and the current political elite harnessing the impressive "Top Down" organization and resources of the State. While the State has a distinct advantage (including the elites and their various hangers on, who are motivated to fight to the last taxpayer to maintain their position of privilege), historical examples going back to Classical Greece show the party with the greater degree of freedom has a considerable advantage, and can act in unexpected ways which brittle authoritarian structures cannot deal with.

For those of you who want some examples:

Athens vs Sparta
Res Publica Roma vs Carthage
Elizabethan England vs the Spanish Empire
The United Provinces vs the Spanish Empire
Serenìsima Repùblica Vèneta vs the Ottoman Empire

I suspect the current elites will be unable to deal with the mounting financial crisis (especially since their sources of revenue are drying up with the "John Galt" strike and people are starting to question their ability to finance using debt instruments), and the collapse of the Federal guarantee programs like Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, subsidized tuition, farm and other price supports etc. will leave the elites totally naked to the elements. I doubt their SEIU and ACORN brownshirts will be willing to take orders at that point (and that point is already identified: Medicare's trust fund will go bankrupt by 2015 or 2016). This date could be brought up even sooner if a wave of chain reaction bankruptcies happen as "Blue" cities and states reach their tipping points (as unfunded entitlements, wages and benefits are claimed).

In that uncertain environment, the TEA partiers will be able to organize and survive in small communities of like minded citizens who are able and willing to take action on their own. I suspect they will disconnect from the larger economy by using barter and the Internet to handle transactions, and aggressively claim unused assets that bankrupt cities, political rent seekers and business have to jettison in order to build their wealth and thus ability to control their own destinies.
 
This would be a great idea anywhere: Survivor for candidates

http://www.politicsdaily.com/2010/03/04/taking-republicans-presidential-pulse-at-a-political-reality-sh/

Taking Republicans' Presidential Pulse at a Political Reality Show
Posted:
03/4/10
Filed Under:Republicans, Polls, 2012 President
37 Comments  +
Join the discussion »
   
During the more than three decades of my misbegotten adolescence covering presidential politics, I have grown exasperated with the ersatz measures of candidate popularity and momentum that fill the news void until the primaries. Before you object -- no, this is not a premature lament.

Less than two weeks ago, the press waited eagerly for the results of a self-selected 2012 straw poll at the self-selected Conservative Political Action Conference (CPAC) in Washington before seeing their GOP trend stories deflated when Ron Paul won. The Gallup Poll in early February measured national Republican sentiment, and found that Mitt Romney defeated Sarah Palin by the dramatic margin of 14 percent to 11 percent. As Romney begins his national book tour this week, you can be certain that intrepid political reporters will measure his crowds against the throngs that had greeted Palin, his fellow GOP competitor for a National Book Award.

A beguiling fantasy for those of us who have wasted the best years of our lives on press buses is somehow to make the process of picking a president more equitable. The goal is not to dictate an outcome, but rather to give serious politicians without national name recognition, like, say, Republican Gov. Mitch Daniels of Indiana, a fair shot to make their case on a bigger stage than the Rotary Club of Keokuk, Iowa.

An intriguing new book by Stanford University political scientist James Fishkin, "When the People Speak," provides a hint of a new twist that might be added to the Republican calendar before the 2012 primaries. Fishkin, who heads Stanford's Center for Deliberative Democracy, has long been promoting the idea of combining survey research with face-to-face deliberations to arrive at a portrait of public opinion that is more thoughtful than top-of-the-head responses to pollster questions. (Journalistic full disclosure: I have written about Fishkin before and have spoken at his invitation at a conference at Stanford).

Imagine if pollsters selected a random sample of self-identified Republicans and flew them all expenses paid to spend a weekend meeting with all the 2012 Republican presidential contenders at a conference center or on a college campus. This demographic cross-section of the Republican Party (maybe 500 people) would not only hear the stump speeches, but would also question the candidates and their advisers. At the end of the weekend, these now well-informed voters would cast secret ballots for president rendering a verdict on the 2012 GOP field that would put straw polls and name recognition-dominated national surveys to shame.

Impossible? Not if you lured candidates with exhaustive TV coverage. If you arranged to hold this in-person national poll a month or two before the Iowa caucuses, candidates (front-runners as well as impossible dreamers) could easily calculate that they would get more momentum out of winning this made-for-television event than dutifully making their fourth pilgrimage to Sioux City. In the age of the billion-dollar presidential race, the cost should not be a deterrent. As Fishkin put it in an interview, "We could put the country in one room and have a dialogue on the issues for $1.5 million."

I can testify to the fascination for a political junkie in seeing a demographic sample of American voters in a single place. In early 1996, about a month before the Iowa caucuses, Fishkin and the Public Broadcasting System pulled this off by flying 459 voters to Austin, Texas, to attend an event billed as the National Issues Convention. The convention was bipartisan (even though Bill Clinton was unopposed for the Democratic nomination) and there were no candidate preference polls. Even though the exasperatingly high-minded stress on issues rather than candidates drained some of the drama out of the event, Vice President Al Gore and all the leading GOP contenders (except for Bob Dole) participated by satellite TV hookups.

This time around, Fox News would be the ideal broadcast venue for (let's give it a new name) the National In-Person Republican Poll. A consortium of conservative publications like The Weekly Standard and National Review could also play host -- and open up the deliberations to live coverage by all cable news networks. At a time, unfortunately, when many Republicans believe that liberal bias lurks under every byline and "elitist" is a withering put-down, it would be imperative to find credible sponsors whose involvement would not inadvertently limit participation by a cross-section of GOP voters.

Maybe it is best to think of this as the ultimate political reality show. Picture Sarah Palin, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee, Tim Pawlenty and the rest all stranded on an island (maybe fly everybody to Hawaii in winter) with 500 eager Republican voters. Who will be voted off the island first and forced to return in ignominy to the Iowa caucuses or (horrors!) his or her day job? What unlikely contender (the political equivalent of Sarah Boyle) will startle the voters with his or her unexpected burst of talent?

But there is a serious point here -- presidential politics are dominated by fake manifestations of public opinion. An important way station in Republican politics is the pre-season Iowa straw poll in Ames, which purports to be a microcosm of the roughly 15 percent of Republican voters who attend the caucuses. So we are talking about a dubious fraction of a fraction. But candidates squander millions (free-spending Steve Forbes spent more than $300 per straw poll vote in 1999) to win the entirely symbolic straw poll.

The next few months are probably the last time it will be possible to talk about adding events to the Republican presidential calendar without being accused of tilting the scales in favor of a specific candidate. As a political reporter, I confess to the self-interested belief that it would be irresistible to watch the GOP presidential contenders woo a national random sample of voters. But beyond the theater of an entire political party assembled in one room, such an event might also assist the Republicans in choosing a nominee who could stand up under close scrutiny from real-life voters. And if the National In-Person Republican Poll (Trademark Office, here we come) helps little-known candidates with serious records gain traction, so much the better for democracy.
 
Follow the money:

http://biggovernment.com/bjacobson/2010/03/05/tides-foundation-general-support-major-concern/

Tides Foundation: General Support, Major Concern
by Bret Jacobson

Not enough people know about the Tides Foundation, which is one of the original “philanthropic” donation launderers for donors who don’t want to be tied to fringe activist groups. Frankly, there’s too much to tell, but they’re the sugar daddy for ACORN (whose founder, Wade Rathke, is intricately linked within Tides official leadership).

[I'm including some grants of note below -- What will you find?]


Tides 990 2008

A look at their 2008 tax return, 160-plus pages, reads like a directory of the New Left. I’ve pulled out the donations to ACORN groups and Big Labor’s Working America Education Fund (not many people know unions take in ostensibly charitable donations) and one theme is clear: “general support” seems to be a popular phrase. Another theme: notice that states receiving money are critical to election-year success for Democrats. And finally, notice just how much money is being thrown around.

    ACORN, Inc – 100,000 Latino voter registration and engagement canvass

    ACORN International – 100,00 general support

    ACORN Institute
    49,500 – general support
    25,293 – general support
    10,000 – general support

    Project Vote
    275,000 – 2007-08 Election Administration Program
    225,000 – election administration work in Arizona, Florida, and Pennsylvania
    115,00 – general support
    100,000 – 2008 Voter Participation Program
    100,000 – Election Administration Program
    100,000 – general support
    100,000 – civic engagement work in New Mexico
    75,000 – general support
    65,000 – general support
    53,086 – voter registration program
    50,000 – Voter Participation Program
    48,000 – nonpartisan Get Out The Vote work
    35,000 – general support
    30,000 – general support
    25,000 – general support
    10,000 – general support

    Working America Education Fund
    261,661 – general support
    245,000 – general support
    200,000 – civic engagement in Ohio
    125,000 – organizing in Ohio, Pennsylvania, Minnesota, Colorado, and Maine
    115,000 – general support
    100,000 general support
    65,006 – general support
    30,000 – general support
    30,000 – General support
 
The 60's radicals have done their planning well and have essentially taken over the democrat party. Their allies in the unions and news media make them very tough to beat. Fortunately they have overplayed their hand and the public is alert to the danger these radicals represent. Obama and company are so focused on creating the mechanism of America's collapse that they dont care about the cost. They are gambling that even with Republicans in control after November that Obamacare,cap & tax and immigration reform will not be overturned. The administartion is doing nothing to craete jobs other than to pay unemployent benefits as they enable the total collapse of the US economy. Its with this collapse that the radical left can remake the US into a marxist workers paradise. If they are able to collapse the economy [a big IF] guiding a revolution is tricky business and could very easily spark a 2d American Revolution.

http://foro.univision.com/univision/board/message?board.id=wqba&message.id=29522
 
My guess, as an outsider looking in from a reasonable vantage point, is that the Tea Party will have an impact, but it will hurt both Democrats and Republicans and it may hurt the Republicans more because more (formerly) committed (voting) Republicans are likely to abandon ship than are committed Democrats. Thus, I suspect, the Democrats will hold on to the House and Senate in 2010 and to all of the White House, Senate and House of Representatives in 2012.
 
So far the democrats havent won an election yet. They have certain safe seats in the House but everything is in play and thats according to democrat strategists.
 
More about the TEA party:

http://american.com/archive/2010/march/weak-tea-or-strong-tea

Weak Tea or Strong Tea?

By Lee Harris Wednesday, March 10, 2010

Too many of those currently ‘analyzing’ the Tea Party movement seem to have no genuine interest in grappling with its potential historical significance.

When reading articles that aim at understanding the Tea Party movement, I am reminded of the ancient fable of the elephant and the blind men. Unable to see the whole elephant at a glance, each of the blind men drew his conclusions about the nature of the elephant by laying his hands on one of the elephant’s parts. The one who seizes the tail of the elephant says that the animal is like a rope. The one who puts his arms around the leg says that the elephant is like a tree trunk. The one who takes hold of the ears thinks he is handling a large fan, and so on.

When a political, religious, or cultural movement is first stirring, those who try to forecast its future development are in the same position as the blind men in the parable: they seize one feature of the movement and attempt to deduce its ultimate historical significance from this one feature alone. Many educated Europeans regarded the first stirrings of the Protestant Reformation as simply the ravings of yet another unhinged heretic, Martin Luther, whose fate would surely be that of the various theological troublemakers who came before him—namely, a fiery death at the stake. Similarly, intelligent observers of the first phase of the French Revolution argued that it would move relatively tamely toward constitutional monarchy, as bloodless as England’s Glorious Revolution of 1688. In both cases, the spectators of these events greatly underestimated the future impact of the movements they were considering; they made molehills out of mountains.

    Today many intelligent observers are groping to discover what the Tea Party is all about and where it belongs on the Richter Scale of historical events.

But it is equally possible to make mountains out of molehills. In 1970, for example, Charles A. Reich, a professor at Yale Law School, published a smash best seller, The Greening of America, in which he argued that the hippie movement of his day presaged the epoch-making cultural transformation that was destined to eliminate the last vestiges of selfishness and greed from human behavior—a thesis that vastly overestimated the lasting consequences of what in retrospect turned out as only a quaint and colorful blip in the history of human extravagance and folly.

Today many intelligent observers grope to discover what the Tea Party is all about and where it belongs on the Richter Scale of historical events. Does it signal the approach of a catastrophic upheaval, like the 9.0 earthquake of 2004 which sent devastating tsunamis across the Indian Ocean? Or will the Tea Party movement register only as a light quake in the 4.0 to 4.9 range, entailing “noticeable shaking of indoor items, rattling noises,” with “significant damage unlikely”?

    When a political, religious, or cultural movement is first stirring, those who try to forecast its future development seize one feature of the movement and attempt to deduce its ultimate historical significance from this one feature alone.

David Brooks, the columnist for the New York Times, has recently written an article clearly aiming to put Tea Partiers in their place. Their political movement represents only a minor quake. It may cause some rattling noises but poses no threat to the status quo. It too will pass, and everything will get back to normal again. The two established parties will regain their electoral monopoly and all will be well. According to Brooks, the Tea Party movement is not only similar to hippie movement of the 1960s in terms of its lack of overall historical significance, it is a lowbrow revival of that movement, leading Brooks (or at least his editors) to dub today’s Tea Partiers “The Wal-Mart Hippies”—the title of his article.

The phrase “Wal-Mart Hippies” is certainly attention-getting, as was no doubt intended. After all, who would suspect that there lurked a secret affinity between the carefree flower children of late ’60s and the hard-working folks who shop at Wal-Mart? The two groups would seem a study in antithesis. The flower children of the ’60s put flowers in gun barrels and chanted sweet songs of peace. At Wal-Mart people buy guns to put bullets in and use them to shoot cute and cuddly animals. Hippies scorned work and lived in idleness. The Wal-Mart shopper often works two jobs just to squeeze by. Flower children listened to acid rock. The folks at Wal-Mart adore Country and Western. Hippies celebrated free love. The people who fill the aisles of Wal-Mart marry, settle down, and raise families—often quite large ones. The hippies grooved on Zen or chanted Hare Krishna. The Wal-Mart crowd happily keeps Jesus at the wheel. Flower children opposed war. The Wal-Mart shopper sends off sons and daughters to fight them.

    Flower children opposed war. The Wal-Mart shopper sends off sons and daughters to fight in them.

But Brooks is not really comparing the Tea Party movement to the hippie movement of the ’60s. Instead, he is comparing it to the New Left of the same decade. In one respect he appears to have made an honest mistake. In his mind, the New Left and the hippie movement have strangely merged. Members of the New Left “went to Woodstock”—didn’t they? Actually, no, they didn’t. We should not confuse the carefree, frolicking hippie movement of that era with the mirthless and dour New Left of the same period. Hippies were whimsical spirits. The New Lefties were mirthless zealots. Hippies smoked pot and had fun. New Lefties read Lenin and plotted revolution. New Lefties regarded hippies as frivolous and fatuous. Hippies looked on New Lefties as the ultimate downers.

Let us concentrate on his main point. According to Brooks, the Tea Party movement should best be understood as a right-wing version of the New Left, and he lists a number of characteristics that they share: the desire to topple the status quo; a taste for conspiracy theories; a fear of being co-opted by agents of the establishment; a belief that human beings are basically good while power and authority are basically evil; a largely negative program based on an antagonism to the current state of things. In addition, Brooks points out that both the Tea Party movement and the New Left “go in for street theater, mass rallies, marches, and extreme statements”

In drawing these comparisons, Brooks scores several good hits. But his argument falls short in two important respects.

    Those features shared by the Tea Party and the New Left are the staple elements of all forms of political radicalism.

First, the set of characteristics Brooks has noted have been the common features of all the revolutionary movements throughout history, both great and small. The same points could be made about the Protestant Reformation of the 16th century, the Puritan Revolution of the 17th century, the American and French revolutions of the 18th century, the myriad revolutionary movements that broke out in Europe during the 19th century, and the Russian revolution of the 20th century. All these movements sought to topple the status quo, believed in conspiracy theories, feared co-optation, distrusted authority, began by tearing down the old order, and employed street theater, usually in the form of riots and violent insurrections. In short, those features shared by the Tea Party and the New Left are the staple elements of all forms of political radicalism. This greatly undermines Brooks’s attempt to minimize the historical potential of the Tea Party movement. True, it shares features of the historically insignificant New Left movement of the ’60s; but it also shares features with historically portentous movements, like the Protestant Reformation and the American Revolution.

Second, Brooks completely ignores the most striking feature of the New Left—the very quality that distinguished it from the Old Left. The Old Left, in good Marxist fashion, based its revolutionary hopes on the men and women who must work for a living, while the New Left went out of its way to culturally alienate working-class Americans by supporting the Black Panthers, attacking patriotism, insulting the police, and demeaning military service. Drawn largely from major universities, and often springing from privileged and affluent backgrounds, the adherents of the New Left were elitist to the core, assuring that the appeal of the New Left would be narrowly limited to only a tiny segment of the American population. But that is precisely the point at which Brooks’ comparison between the New Left and the Tea Party movement falls to pieces. The Tea Party movement has mass appeal; the New Left did not.
   
Polls taken in February 2010 indicate that a little more than a third of the American population views the Tea Party movement favorably, while a bit more than 20 percent view it unfavorably. Furthermore, polls also indicate that supporters of the Tea Party movement are “more energized” than their political rivals, and such energy invariably translates into political momentum. About  40 percent of Americans neither oppose nor support the Tea Party movement—roughly half because they haven’t made up their minds and half because they have not yet heard of the movement. This great mass of Americans represents the least politicized classes of our nation, and it is among them that the Tea Partiers have a good chance of winning converts to their cause, since it is in the nature of populist movements to politicize those previously indifferent to politics. The great populist hero Andrew Jackson, for example, triumphed in the election of 1828 because that year twice as many people voted compared to the previous election. Populism always rouses the apathetic and apolitical to action and is doing so again today.

Brooks is right to say that many Tea Partiers shop at Wal-Mart, but far more of those who shop alongside them fall into this category of potential recruits to the cause of the Tea Party. As the movement gains momentum, Americans are more likely to support those who share their own traditional values than those who look down their noses at them.

    As the Tea Party movement gains momentum, Americans are more likely to support those who share their own traditional values than those who look down their noses at them.

The odds are that this great mass of Americans will eventually take their stand for or against, and the ultimate political stance they take might well depend on how many of them shop at Wal-Mart. My guess would be that the majority of them do, at least the ones who live in the red states. Liberal Democrats can afford to alienate the Wal-Mart crowd. They know they are not risking any votes. But conservative Republicans do not have the same luxury. Subtract the votes of Wal-Mart shoppers from the recent electoral tallies of the Republican Party, and you will see why.

Here we come to the most puzzling aspect of David Brooks’s column. Why did he feel the need to make his derisive and gratuitous reference to Wal-Mart shoppers? The answer appears to be that Brooks is engaged in a sly argumentum ad hominem. He is attacking the Tea Party movement by pointing out that those who sympathize with it are likely to shop at Wal-Mart. Now, as a sociological observation, there may be an element of truth in this contention. But it is also possible to take the remark as a not terribly subtle appeal to his reader’s latent (or not so latent) snobbery. After all, what could be more déclassé than shopping at Wal-Mart? It is a bit as if David Brooks had winked at his sophisticated audience and said, “We know what kind of people shop at Wal-Mart. And you certainly don’t want to be caught dead holding the same ideas as these people, do you? That would almost be as gauche as buying your clothes at Wal-Mart.”

It is easy to feel sympathy with the blind men in the fable. Yes, they are all groping in the dark, but each of them is sincerely trying to discover the nature of the beast by the best methods available with his limited resources. But too many of those currently involved in “analyzing” the Tea Party movement seem to have no genuine interest in grappling with its potential historical significance. They are content to ridicule and scoff at it. They are delighted to draw analogies between the Tea Partiers and various inconsequential fringe movements of the past, such as hippies or the New Left. But no approach could possibly be more counterproductive than a policy of conspicuous disdain. There is no surer way of convincing the Wal-Mart crowd that America really has fallen into the hands of arrogant elitists than to show contempt for working people like themselves. It is one thing to preach to the choir. It is another thing to spit at the congregation.

Lee Harris is the author of the forthcoming book, The Next American Civil War, as well as Civilization and Its Enemies and The Suicide of Reason. He spoke at the American Enterprise Institute in September 2007.
 
The TEA party represents the democratic ideal of power and accountability. Here is the opposite side of the coin from Washington:

http://pajamasmedia.com/rogerkimball/2010/03/12/the-slaughter-solution-and-other-acts-of-desperation/

The Slaughter Solution and Other Acts of Desperation

Is it “end-game” time in the debate over what to do with American health care? The other day, some industrious blogger—it might have been The Drudge Report—posted an amusing list of headlines from the past year or so, each announcing that, at long last, we’d reached the “end game” in the debate over health.  Just yesterday, President Obama said again that “the time to talk” was over: the time to vote had come.

He didn’t really mean that, of course, because were a vote taken now, his plan to have the government usurp a sixth of the U.S. economy and institute top-down socialized medicine in the Unite States would fail.

As a result, Team Obama has been exerting the old cerebellum to discover some way of passing the Democrats’ health care bill without, you know, precisely passing it. Even if you question their ethics, you have to admire their ingenuity. Last month it was “reconciliation”: that administrative tool was all the rage. A technique used to patch over budgetary anomalies was going to be hauled in to revolutionize a major social program that had no bipartisan support whatsoever.

That wasn’t going down with the public too well. So although reconciliation is still on the table (or, rather, up the Reid-Pelosi sleeve)  the latest wheeze is “The Slaughter Solution,” named for  Rep. Louise Slaughter (NY, “D,”  of course). Would you like to enact some legislation without the inconvenience (to say noting of the accountability) of actually voting for it?  The Washington Examiner explains how you can do it:

    In the Slaughter Solution, the rule would declare that the House “deems” the Senate version of Obamacare to have been passed by the House. House members would still have to vote on whether to accept the rule, but they would then be able to say they only voted for a rule, not for the bill itself.

George Orwell, wouldst that you were here to witness this!

“Would that rationale fly with the public?” asks the Examiner. “Is it logical? Of course not. But remember, these folks have persuaded themselves that a majority of the American people really want Obamacare.”

Except, of course, that they don’t: as of last week 53 percent oppose the plan.

What we are seeing now may or may not be the end game in the debate over health care. There can be no doubt, however,  that we are seeing an effort to make an end run—an end run around democracy and accountability. Obama and his mandarins think they know what’s best for you. Therefore, although they are willing to pay lip service to democracy, they are perfectly willing to subvert it if it suits their purposes.

Fortunately,  more and more people are cottoning on to the statist assault on freedom that stands at the center of Obama’s effort to (as he put it just before the election) “fundamentally transform the Untied States of America.” One relative newcomer I’d like to introduce to my readers is the American Future Fund, a conservative, free-market organization that has been doing yeoman’s service educating the public about the Obama administration’s assaults  on economic liberty and democratic accountability. Don’t miss their their latest ad on the hypocrisy of Democratic efforts to shut down debate on health care reform:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yq_fFsfnsno
 
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