Trudeau Popularity - or not (various polling, etc.)

[ModlrMike]

The first two polls following the PM's resignation are out, and the Torries are holding strong. Nanos and Leger polls (both rated A+) have:

Nanos (12 Jan) LPC 21 CPC 47 NDP 17 GPC 4 BQ 8 PPC 2
Leger (10 Jan) LPC 20 CPC 47 NDP 18 GPC 5 BQ 8 PPC 2

It will be interesting to see how the electorate responds. The race includes Jaime Battiste, Frank Baylis, Chandra Arya, with Chrystia Freeland, Mark Carney, Karina Gould, and Jonathan Wilkinson still a maybe. Five currently have seats in the HoC: Battiste, Arya, Gould, Wilkinson, and Freeland, where Carney and Baylis do not. If either of the last two get the nod, then either a by election will have to take place, or they fight it out in the predicted general election.

Problems for the Liberals:
Arya doesn't speak french;
Battiste has previously posted allegedly racist and and sexist comments to social media;
Baylis is the lead opponent of Bill 21 in Quebec that bans religious symbol wearing by public servants. The measure is very popular in QC, which may be a liability for him - the Liberals need to take QC to win where the CPC do not;
Freeland is annoying as stink, and would probably be seen as too close to Trudeau;
Carney is unknown to most of the electorate - staunch supporter of carbon tax;
Wilkinson doesn't speak french, staunch supporter of carbon tax;
Gould - dark horse, tied to the Yaroslav Hunka event, french skills unknown.

 

[Good2Golf]

Problems for the Liberals:
Arya doesn't speak french;
Battiste has previously posted allegedly racist and and sexist comments to social media;
Baylis is the lead opponent of Bill 21 in Quebec that bans religious symbol wearing by public servants. The measure is very popular in QC, which may be a liability for him - the Liberals need to take QC to win where the CPC do not;
Freeland is annoying as stink, and would probably be seen as too close to Trudeau;
Carney is unknown to most of the electorate - staunch supporter of carbon tax;
Wilkinson doesn't speak french, staunch supporter of carbon tax;
Gould - dark horse, tied to the Yaroslav Hunka event, french skills unknown.

Maybe they’d be better off with….


…Trudeau?

 

[RangerRay]

I could see it…

 

[Furniture]

I would argue that the angle he would use (and he already said it in the Jon Stewart interview) is that he is running as an outsider, with no historical ties to politics.

So outside that he was appointed the special advisor to the LPC on finances this past fall... You know, just before they blew past their self imposed $40 billion deficit ceiling.

So "outside" he was the governor of two G7 national banks...

I believe he's an "outsider" based on his self declaration as much as I believe Bill Clinton "did not have sexual relations with that woman"...