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abacusdata.ca
June 16, 2024
From June 6 to 13, Abacus Data conducted a national survey of 1,550 Canadian adults exploring several topics related to Canadian politics and current events as part of
our regular national omnibus surveys.
In this edition of our Canadian politics tracking, we report on our usual metrics along with a deep dive into what concerns Canadians the most and the performance of political parties on these issues.
Note, all of the interviews in this survey were conducted after the Bank of Canada lowered its overnight interest rate.
Vote Intention: Conservatives lead by 20 over the Liberals
If an election were held today, 42% of committed voters would vote Conservatives with the Liberals at 22%, the NDP at 19% and the Greens at 5%. The BQ continues to hold 38% in Quebec.
Since
our last survey, the Conservatives and NDP are up 1 while the Liberals are down 3. About a month ago, the gap between the Conservatives and Liberals was 16-points. Today it is 20. At 22%, this is the lowest vote share we have measured for the Liberals since they were elected in 2015.
View attachment 86021View attachment 86022Regionally, the Conservatives are well ahead in BC and Ontario, leading by 17. In Atlantic Canada, the Conservatives’ lead shrank compared to our last survey, but they continue to be ahead of the Liberals by 14 points. In Quebec, the BQ is ahead of the Liberals by 12-points with the Conservatives in third at 22%.