Is there any open source reporting about whether the ballistic missile shot actually had a functional warhead or otherwise achieved anything? And does this weapon have a CEP that makes a conventional warhead at all useful?
The War in Ukraine
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MilEME09
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The estimated cep is 250m+ which makes it not useful for conventional warfighting
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I believe it is more like +/- 250m or around 500m for a 83%+ PER.
There isn’t a lot about it OS from what I can see, and that is for the MIRV’s not if used as a unitary device.
For a nuclear payload in the 100-500KT range it definitely will work, but given Russian bombardment of cities, even with a 5t conventional explosive payload it is going to kill and cause a lot of misery.
GR66
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Looks like there could be some useful intel gained from the remains of the missile:
Emotional Putin decision grants Ukraine missile technology access
In a remarkable twist of events, critical components of Russia's new missile have fallen into Ukrainian hands, offering experts an unprecedented opportunity to study the latest technology deployed by Moscow. This comes after Russian President Vladimir Putin announced on Thursday that Russia had...
defence-blog.com
Also, from the article:
So, Putin claims it carried a hypersonic warhead but I suspect that any warhead on an incoming ICBM would be hypersonic whether "functional" or just a test weight.
Right. Anything reentering from exoatmospheric’s probably going to be moving a little quick. A hypersonic greenery vehicle is old hat, and is not the same thing as a hypersonic maneuverable cruise missile.
Yes - it's a meaningless claim. ICBM or IRBM, velocity in the terminal phase is typically in the range of 5 or more miles per second. A warhead will go from space to impact in just a few seconds.
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And, at long last ....
www.canada.ca
Canada’s donation of new air defence system arrives in Ukraine - Canada.ca
The Honourable Bill Blair, Minister of National Defence, has announced that Canada’s donation of a National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile System (NASAMS) has arrived in Ukraine.
daftandbarmy
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And, at long last ....
Canada’s donation of new air defence system arrives in Ukraine - Canada.ca
The Honourable Bill Blair, Minister of National Defence, has announced that Canada’s donation of a National Advanced Surface-to-Air Missile System (NASAMS) has arrived in Ukraine.
The RCA looking on be like
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Looks like there could be some useful intel gained from the remains of the missile:
Emotional Putin decision grants Ukraine missile technology access
In a remarkable twist of events, critical components of Russia's new missile have fallen into Ukrainian hands, offering experts an unprecedented opportunity to study the latest technology deployed by Moscow. This comes after Russian President Vladimir Putin announced on Thursday that Russia had...
Also, from the article:
So, Putin claims it carried a hypersonic warhead but I suspect that any warhead on an incoming ICBM would be hypersonic whether "functional" or just a test weight.
Yup. Mach 5-10. Heck, even ATACMS approaches hypersonic velocities in its longer trajectories - Mach 3.5-4.
Hypersonic is used by some to instill irrational fear, with the implication being that it can’t be countered. That may be true to a large degree, but that isn’t something new.
Think about it…there have been hypersonic threats in the battle space for decades!
Eg. an APFSDS 120mm round fired from a current main battle tank has terminal velocity of ~1750m/s, which is…1750m/s = 3,914.639 mi/hr = Mach 5.10….hypersonic. So hypersonic weapons used for several decades already…nothing new.
McG
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It is the combination of faster travel over the entirety of the flight and reduced detection range that causes concern vs other nuclear delivery vehicles.
Of course, our detection systems are farther North than Russia’s targets, and this picture assumes they are in the same place.
Of course, our detection systems are farther North than Russia’s targets, and this picture assumes they are in the same place.
RangerRay
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A great post on what’s at stake in Ukraine, with an interview between Deutsche Welle and HR McMaster.
claireberlinski.substack.com
It's time to call this World War III
If we don't wake up, we will lose.
claireberlinski.substack.com
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freak accident or Russian terrorism?
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Could be both, a freak accident that the Russian terrorism that has been going on against the west for ages actually worked.
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Investigation underway, however, potentially CFIT (controlled flight into terrain). Crew reportedly switched to wrong frequency on handoff from terminal to tower, crossed significantly across the approach bearing during the final approach on instrument landing failing to stabilize for minimum criteria and struck terrain just short of one mile from the threshold.
Accident Boeing 737-476 (SF) EC-MFE, Monday 25 November 2024
DHL flight QY5960 (callsign BCS18D/Postman 18D), a Boeing 737-476 (SF), EC-MFE, was destroyed when it collided with terrain while on approach to runway 19 at Vilnius International Airport...
asn.flightsafety.org
The investigation should indicate what factors led to the unstabilized approach.
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Rumour has the operator as being somewhat "flexible" in their approach to maintenance and scheduling.
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In the business, that’s called ‘pulling an Aerosucre.’
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