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RAF to shrink to World War One levels

CDN Aviator:

And what roles and equipment might that be ?

Submarines, bluewater navy (frigates), multirole fast air, fixed-wing and rotary SAR (not done by military in many countries), long-range maritime patrol that includes substantial work for civilian purposes.

Technoviking:  The forces have been shrunk since the end of the Cold War (I meant nothing perjorative by the term) but nonetheless have tried to maintain essentially all the capabilities they then had, despite the disappearance of the main threat they were designed to face.  That seems to me unsustainable in the long run; the Brits are in a similar situation and are at last doing the serious rethink.

Mark
Ottawa

Mark
Ottawa
 
Mark

The challenge is to predict what roles and capabilities will be needed in the future, and not just for the immediate mission. Certainly, as TV notes, the army's best minds had concluded that the tank was passe. We are fortunate that the skill sets to use and maintain tanks had not completely disappeared when the need arose.

As an artilleryman, I considered sound ranging - which first appeared in the Great War - as a STA resource was obsolete, but Canadian gunners have been using it with effect in Afghanistan since 2007. One suspects there are other examples.

The British do not seem to be dropping capabilities, as much as reducing their size. They have been doing this since the 1960s; I remember reading a humorous article back then explaining how highly mobile the British army was, now that it could be deployed in a bus. There have been attempts to drop functions. The disposal of the aircraft carriers in the early 1980s is a prime example, or at least it was until the Falklands crisis exploded.

That is what I enjoy about writing Military History. It is sooo easy to predict the past.
 
zipperhead_cop said:
Sad that a most powerful ally could be less capable of stepping up and helping out in the future.

Our allies had been saying that about us since the late 50s...
 
Old Sweat said:
That is what I enjoy about writing Military History. It is sooo easy to predict the past.
[tangent]  That, sir, is the quote of the year!  [/tangent]
 
It's not original, but I don't know which unsung genius came up with it.
 
MarkOttawa said:
CDN Aviator:

Submarines, bluewater navy (frigates), multirole fast air, fixed-wing and rotary SAR (not done by military in many countries), long-range maritime patrol that includes substantial work for civilian purposes.

Just because something was done/used during the Cold War does not make it irrelevent.  If we had doctrine/TTP made specifically to fight the Soviets then it should be reviewed, but we shouldn't just say "Cold War" as a way to get rid of something.  Similarily, just because something didn't fight in Zhare/Panjwayi doesn't meant that it is irrelevant.

Looking at your list there, I am not convinced that we need Submarines.  Having said that, frigates and multi-role fast air are very important.  "Blue-water" ships that can fight are certainly relevent to Canada as we look ahead into the future.  Jets that can defend our own airspace as well as deliver ordnance in support of our ground forces are also a key capability that we should have.  Long range maritime patrol aircraft can accomplish a wide variety of roles.

Looking at the past twenty years, the ability to send naval task forces (or even just single ships) is a key foreign policy option.  The ability to provide fighters is also a key option.  Who knows what the next deployment will be?  Had we based our military of 2006 off what Canada had deployed to the Gulf in 1990 we would have been in the hurt locker.  Similarily, if our next conflict/deployment is similar to what was needed in the Gulf War or Kosovo we could be in trouble if our CF is based solely off Kandahar.
 
MarkOttawa said:
Yet each of our services still insists on having the equipment to perform essentially all the roles the CF had when the Cold War had just ended. 
MarkOttawa said:
Submarines, bluewater navy (frigates), multirole fast air, fixed-wing and rotary SAR (not done by military in many countries), long-range maritime patrol that includes substantial work for civilian purposes.

First of all, Mark, the Navy did not have the same forces at the end of the cold war as they have now. All of the frigates and MCDV's have entered service after the end of the cold war, and all the Tribals were TRUMPed after the end of it also. They provide us with tons of capabilities to fulfill roles that the cold war fleet could not, because these three types of vessels are multi-purpose ships, as opposed to the totally ASW escort role and capability of our naval forces during the cold war.

Second of all, I know there are people out there (and I suspect from your various posts you may be one of them) that think "Canada has three long coastlines, so we need to concentrate on small coastal defence vessels". Well, newsflash everyone: We ain't got no "coastal waters" in Canada: As soon as you exit any harbour on the east coast, you are in mid-Atlantic conditions and the next thing across from you is Europe. Same in the West once you get out from in between Vancouver Island and the mainland - Hello Asia!  I suppose you could call the Gulf of St-Lawrence  and the BC Inner passage coastal, but in both cases, access is restricted at two choke points that are better guarded from the ocean side. The Arctic is even worse: You just don't send dinky toys there: look at the coast guard: big sturdy "blue" water ships go to the Arctic (besides, they first have to transit the Atlantic or Pacific to get there).

I once participated in a "coast defence" exercise with the French Navy on its Atlantic coast. The first line of defence was the Clemenceau's (aircraft carrier) battle group operating 1200 miles of shore. That is west of Ireland. The second line was the Jeanne D'Arc's group (ASW helicopter carrier) operating about 600 miles off. That is how Navy do coastal defence. That is how we do it in Canada too. We look for incoming "unfriendlies" way out in the Atlantic and Pacific well before they get near our shores, and try to intercept them there if need be. And by the way, dealing with these maritime "unfriendlies" requires the aid of the Air Force's multirole fast-air you talk about.

Fully agree with T2B, except on submarines. They are the best ASW platform and developing the capability from scratch to the level we are at now would require decades we may not have if they became critical again (They are not "critical" now but still damn useful).

Lets remember what First Sea Lord Sir Peter Staveley (if I recall right)  said in the 80's: "Navies are expensive, but a damn sight cheaper than not having them around when you need them".
 
Considering the rate future potential adversaries are getting submarines, I think we need them now more then ever.
 
From my non-Navy hatch I am not convinced that Canada requires subs or even required them during the Cold War, but I suppose that is beside the point! 

Regarding the article in question, I see it as a either a trial balloon to see what works or as an attempt to secure more funding.  The title is a bit silly.  How does the size of the Royal Navy and British Army compare to pre-WW1?  I reckon everything is smaller today.
 
Tango2Bravo said:
I reckon everything is smaller today.
Speak for yourself!  ;D

In all seriousness, armies of 1914 had to be large, given that in order to achieve certain effects, masses of men were required.  That is no longer the case.
 
Technoviking said:
Speak for yourself!  ;D

In all seriousness, armies of 1914 had to be large, given that in order to achieve certain effects, masses of men were required.  That is no longer the case.

It could be argued that masses of men are still needed to achieve certain effects.  Regardless, my point is that the screaming headline leaves we asking "so waht?"
 
Jungle said:
Our allies had been saying that about us since the late 50s...

With good cause until recently.  However, I'd hope that there is an element of "you are only as good as your last performance" at play here.  Seems to me we've redeemed our NATO responsibility shirking in the past somewhat. 
 
Having read the article, thats seems disturbing for our neighbours to the right of the atlantic. What would happen to the Royal Marines Corps? Would they simply become a regiment under the army now ?
 
ArmyRick said:
Having read the article, thats seems disturbing for our neighbours to the right of the atlantic. What would happen to the Royal Marines Corps? Would they simply become a regiment under the army now ?
The Royal Marines aren't a corps, and they are part of the navy.  They *do* have some army elements in them (artillery, I believe off the top of my head), but they aren't very large.  I highly doubt that the Royal Marines will be cut down.
 
The article mentions some reductions in the Navy (including assault ships).  I wonder if there might be any JSS-type ships (replenishment, supply, LHA/D) declared surplus?  Might be able to fill the gap between our AORs and the JSS super ship concept that may get delivered in a decade or so. 
 
Technoviking said:
The Royal Marines aren't a corps, and they are part of the navy.  They *do* have some army elements in them (artillery, I believe off the top of my head), but they aren't very large.  I highly doubt that the Royal Marines will be cut down.

3 Commando Bde was on the chopping block just before the Falklands conflict, as was the Parachute Regt and the aircraft carriers, among others; the war in the South Atlantic saved them, but it is possible they will eventually be contemplated for cuts again...
 
saltymike said:
The article mentions some reductions in the Navy (including assault ships).  I wonder if there might be any JSS-type ships (replenishment, supply, LHA/D) declared surplus?  Might be able to fill the gap between our AORs and the JSS super ship concept that may get delivered in a decade or so.

My guess is that there would be very little political appetite for buying any more used British ships -- right or wrong.
 
Technoviking,

I know how the structure of 3 commando brigade goes (who is army and who is marines). Please follow me on this. The article stated the marines may become part of the army and form some sort of new unit along with the para regt.

What I wanted know is, will the marines become a regiment in the army? Will they form a new unit alongside 2 and 3 Para as mentioned in the article? Anybody who actually knows got some inside dirt on this?
 
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