Kelly McParland: Justin mimics Ignatieff with early foray to Alberta
Kelly McParland | Oct 2, 2012 12:30 PM ET
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REUTERS/Christinne Muschi Liberal MP Justin Trudeau watches as former Liberal leader Michael Ignatieff takes questions from business students in Montreal in January, 2009
Perhaps it’s appropriate that Justin Trudeau is heading directly to Calgary after formalizing his Liberal leadership candidacy today, given the extent of the damage his father’s policies in Alberta have done to the party.
It’s a recognition — long, long past due– that Pierre’s Trudeau’s legacy isn’t what Liberal diehards would have you believe. Despite all the revisionist history going on, the Trudeau years are anything but a solid asset in his son’s hopes of running the country. Liberals today prefer to recall the fight for Quebec, and Pierre Trudeau’s success in battling the separatists. They’re much less enthusiastic about dwelling on the extent of the damage caused by his dismissive, ill-considered treatment of Western Canada.
It’s not unfair to ask which of the two policies has had the greatest impact. Trudeau unquestionably played the biggest role in defeating the first separatist referendum in Quebec and kept the Liberal brand strong in that province for another decade or more. But later Liberals fumbled away much of it via the sponsorship scandal and lousy leadership, and today hold just seven of its 75 seats. The legacy of Trudeau’s disdain for the West runs much deeper; the Liberals have just four of the 92 seats west of Ontario. They’d struggle to fill a bus shelter with party members in much of that area.
The West is growing and thriving; Ontario and Quebec are struggling. Pizzazz alone might win the Justin-led Liberals a few more seats in the East; in the West they’re tilling barren soil. The difficulty for Justin is that the party lacks even the barest essentials of a viable organization in the western half of the country. It’s not like there’s a large crowd of dormant Liberals just waiting to be roused. To all intents and purposes the party is dead and gone in many constituencies, and will have to be built from the ground up.
Is Justin that kind of leader? It’s possible: at this stage in the Liberal rebuilding project, just attracting some attention to itself would be an accomplishment. If Justin, with his flashy smile and luxuriant locks, is good at anything, it’s attracting attention. Beyond that it gets a lot harder, especially in Alberta and Saskatchewan, where people quite like their strong economies and pleasant living standards, which come from the same resource industry Justin’s father tried his best to turn into a giant ATM machine, dispensing unlimited cash to finance eastern programs. His successors have done little to alter that perception: Jean Chretien barely bothered to campaign there, and Stephane Dion sought to finance his “Green Shift” via a river of tax on energy. Justin will have to do a lot more than smile boyishly to overcome those memories and the suspicions they fed.
Michael Ignatieff also made an early trip to Alberta, where he said soothing things about the oil sands and his party’s appreciation of it.
“The stupidest thing you can do (is) to run against an industry that is providing employment for hundreds of thousands of Canadians, and not just in Alberta, but right across the country,” he told a Montrteal audience in 2009 (with Justin in attendance). “All questions of energy policy are a question of national unity,” he added.
But it didn’t take. A couple of years later he was comparing Stephen Harper to the devil and insulting anyone who voted for him (as in almost all of Alberta).Like other Liberals he had difficulty convincing westerners they matter as much to the party as the environmentalists to whom they are devoted. Party culture wants so badly to be seen as pure and wholesome that it invariably slips up when trying to square that with the unfortunate realities of a resource-based economy. In the old days, Chretien could just agree to the Kyoto accord and then ignore it, bragging about his determination to fight climate change while making no effort to implement the actions he’d agreed to. But people noticed, and see through such things. It’s part of the Liberal legacy, and a big part of the trust problem it is saddled with.
After the first flush of publicity, Justin will face the far more difficult challenge of convincing Canadians he’s not just the latest new face on the same old party, and that his interest in that part of the country beyond Ontario extends past the contents of its wallet.
National Post