Hamas invaded Israel 2023

[Edward Campbell]

I would hate to hear your definition of stable. It will be interesting to see which leaders come out of the closet in order to make the necessary operational decisions. Right now there are probably dozens of low-level types with a couple of missiles in their living room wondering if it is time to deploy and for which target? Someone, somewhere must have a list and you can bet that Israel is watching for that person to make a phone call

I suspect that may actually be hoping for someone a wee bit less than "stable" to start launching missiles which will give them a good reason for some massive, bunker busting air attacks in the zone South of the Litani River.

I think 's 7th Armoured Brigade is also waiting for Hezbollah's fighters to launch attacks in the border area.

 

[OldSolduer]

Safe to say Israel has some phenomenal COMINT capabilities. I would expect they’re absolutely watching to identify and splatter anyone who steps up next into any major role.

Batter up!!!

 

[Bruce Monkhouse]

Not to mention every Hezbollah member who isn't at least partially maimed right now must be getting the suspicious stink eye from those who are.

 

[brihard]

Not to mention every Hezbollah member who isn't at least partially maimed right now must be getting the suspicious stink eye from those who are.

“Toon!”

 

[Colin Parkinson]

Very possible that Hezbollah will start to unravel as a force, first into regional commands, then into separate units as squabbles over priorities, resources, targets emerge. "Big Corporation Hezbollah" will be looked at as a failure. It will also effect how much they can control Lebanon. Some units will gravite to ISIS level of barbarity to anyone in Lebanon who does not toe their line, causing a backlash domestically. If Hezbollah does unravel, expect other players there to take out smaller ex-Hez groups.