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Electoral Reform (Senate, Commons, & Gov Gen)

What do you want to see?


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So further data:

British Columbia
Population: 4,113,487
New # of seats: 42 (up 6)
% of Canadian population: 13.0
% of seats: 12.2 (up 0.3)
Average population per riding: 97,940

Alberta
Population: 3,290,350
New # of seats: 34 (up 6)
% of Canadian population: 10.4
% of seats: 10.1 (up 1.0)
Average population per riding: 96,775

Saskatchewan
Population: 968,157
Seats: 14 (no change)
% of Canadian population: 3.1
% of Canadian seats: 4.1 (down 0.4)
Average population per riding: 69,154

Manitoba
Population: 1,148,401
Seats: 14 (no change)
% of Canadian population: 3.6
% of Canadian seats: 4.1 (down 0.4)
Average population per riding: 82,029

Ontario
Population: 12,160,282
New # of seats: 121 (up 15)
% of Canadian population: 38.5
% of seats: 35.8 (up 1.4)
Average population per riding: 100,498

Quebec
Population: 7,546,131
New # of seats: 78 (up 3)
% of Canadian population: 23.9
% of seats: 23.1 (down 1.3)
Average population per riding: 96,745

New Brunswick
Population: 729,997
Seats: 10 (no change)
% of Canadian population: 2.3%
% of Canadian seats: 3.0 (down 0.3)
Average population per riding: 72,999

Prince Edward Island
Population: 135,851
Seats: 4 (no change)
% of Canadian population: 0.4
% of Canadian seats: 1.2 (down 0.1)
Average population per riding: 33,963

Nova Scotia
Population: 913,462
Seats: 11 (no change)
% of Canadian population: 2.9%
% of Canadian seats: 3.3% (down 0.3)
Average population per riding: 83,042

Newfoundland and Labrador
Population: 505,469
Seats: 7 (no change)
% of Canadian population: 1.6
% of seats: 2.1 (down 0.2)
Average population per riding: 72,210

Yukon
Population: 30,372
Seats: 1 (no change)
% of Canadian population: 0.10
% of seats: 0.3 (down 0.02)
Average population per riding: 30,372

Northwest Territories
Population: 41,464
Seats: 1 (no change)
% of Canadian population: 0.13
% of seats: 0.3 (down 0.02)
Average population per riding: 41,464

Nunavut
Population: 29,474
Seats: 1 (no change)
% of Canadian population: 0.09
% of seats: 0.3 (down 0.02)
Average population per riding: 29,474


Source: http://www.cbc.ca/news/interactives/house-seats-redistribution/
 
I wonder, given how votes are tallied, if someone were to count the votes by polling station (if that stat is available), if based on the previous election, how things would have turned out this time?  Bigger majority?  Same sized Orange Crush?  Assuming, of course, that every vote were the same as last time....
 
So if I read your table right ERC, contrary to the bull we always hear from the "blame Quebec for everything in Canadian politics", its not really Quebec that is screwing BC, Alberta or Ontario's proper representation, its the other six provinces and three territory, that no one ever mentions. In fact, Quebec is just about as screwed as they are - or at least as screwed as Alberta is.
 
Precisely.

Leave the Territories aside, please, but: PEI's four HoC seats are constitutionally guaranteed (no province shall have fewer seats in the Commons than it has in the Senate) and it, SK, NL, and NB are all significantly over-represented. MB and NS are also, albeit less significantly, over-represented. ON, BC, QC and AB are all, albeit not too badly, now, under-represented.

As I said, this is an improvement. We'ere not going to get to anything like equality unless we accept an HoC with 900+ seats. We can get pretty close, Territories and PEI excepted, with slightly less than 400 seats. Successive governments should aim for that; Canadians should wonder why PEI is a province at all, rather than, say, a county in NB.
 
E.R. Campbell said:
Canadians should wonder why PEI is a province at all, rather than, say, a county in NB.
Well, three counties, but yes, good point.
 
Technoviking said:
I wonder, given how votes are tallied, if someone were to count the votes by polling station (if that stat is available), if based on the previous election, how things would have turned out this time?  Bigger majority?  Same sized Orange Crush?  Assuming, of course, that every vote were the same as last time....


My guess is that when the boundaries are redrawn we will see that urban centres, where the NDP and Liberals are strongest, will not gain much. It will be the suburbs (inner more than outer) that will gain along with fast growing "new" centres like Kelowna in BC. That should favour the Conservatives who have made significant gains there, election after election, since 2006.

We, Canada, have usually done fairly well at redistribution boundary drawing, avoiding the gerrymandering that plagues this process in the USA.

il04.jpg

The Illinois 4th District (US House of Representatives) the "strip" that holds the district together is the median in
I-294! This district provides a predominantly Hispanic district in, broadly, non-Hispanic Chicago. But the two
halves, while Hispanic, are not united: one half is predominantly Cuban and the other is Mexican, but what the hell ...

 
Here, reproduced under the Fair Dealing provisions of the Copyright Act from the Globe and Mail is a much easier to understand representation of the (CBC) data I posted yesterday

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/new-seats-rebalance-the-house-of-commons/article2216717/?from=2216665
nw-seats28web_1335292a.jpg


The Globe says: "The Conservatives want the bill passed before the House rises in December for the winter recess so the changes will be in time for the 2015 election." That, doing it in a timely manner, is just as important as getting it exact;y right.

"To no one will we sell, to no one will we refuse or delay, right or justice."
Magna Carta
 
It actually looks like they could have got away with giving Quebec only 2 new seats to maintain the 23%.....
 
GAP said:
It actually looks like they could have got away with giving Quebec only 2 new seats to maintain the 23%.....


Politically it is, I think, better to take away QC's right duty to be humiliated.

This gives them just a sliver more share of seats (23.28) than they have of population (23.22). Québec's share of seats has declined from 24.59% to 23.28%, that's sufficient. In a near perfect world Québec will get at least one more seat at the next (2016?) redistribution while AB, BC and ON each get several more.

The political point, I believe is to keep QC's share of seats at or just above its share of population while, gradually, moving the other provinces (even PEI) closer and closer to their fair shares. That works for me.
 
Senator Nicole Eaton (Conservative, Ontario) has proposed replacing the beaver, which she has described as a “dentally defective rat,” with the polar bear as the symbol of all things Canadian, including, I suppose, the collar badges of some famous regiments.
images




eaton.jpg

Sen. Eaton E-mail: eatonn@sen.parl.gc.ca
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The Globe and Mail's editorial cartoonist responds, just a wee bit waspishly, with a thought on beavers vs. senators that I think we might all enjoy:

satedcar29co1_1335646cl-8.jpg

Source: http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/opinions/cartoon/editorial-cartoons-october-2011/article2180808/?from=2217431
 
Another appropriate cartoon:

MAY2845.pvw.jpg

Source:  http://www.artizans.com/image/MAY2845/stephen-harper-needs-seats-to-accommodate-clowns-in-commons-color/
 
Edward, next time you have Conrad Black over to your place, invite us too!

http://fullcomment.nationalpost.com/2011/11/05/conrad-black-playing-the-monarchist-game-of-‘what-if’/

Conrad Black: Playing the monarchist game of ‘What if?’
   
Conrad Black  Nov 5, 2011 – 7:00 AM ET | Last Updated: Nov 4, 2011 5:08 PM ET

The proposed changes to the rules of British Commonwealth monarchic succession and marriage raise some interesting reflections on the past and future. Henceforth, if these changes are adopted, the eldest shall succeed regardless of sex. This is not only right in itself, but responds to the fact that British reigning queens have on average been more talented than the kings. Mary I was problematic; Mary II and Anne were adequate; Victoria and the present Queen are generally reckoned to be highly distinguished, and Elizabeth I is usually regarded as the greatest of all British sovereigns, and superior to almost all its government leaders also. (Having William Shakespeare as chief publicist has undoubtedly helped, but this is far from solely responsible for her prestige.)

If this proposed reform had been put in place in Victorian times, Princess Victoria and not Prince Albert Edward (Edward VII), would have succeeded; and as she died soon after her mother, the erratic character known to history as Kaiser Wilhelm II, Queen Victoria’s grandson, would have followed as King William V of Great Britain and Emperor William II of Germany (and India). In the circumstances, he might not have been tolerated by the British Parliament and public, but he might also have modified his behaviour as the potential accumulation of crowns impended, and been a unifying force. As it was, the British considered him a rather dynamic man until his addiction to Teutonic bumptiousness and his endless slights to Britain and his naval ambitions produced widespread hostility to him that crystallized in World War I as the mass British demand to “Hang the Kaiser!” (which of course, did not happen).

The proposed reforms also permit the monarch to have a Roman Catholic spouse. It is one of the many anomalies that survive from the tumult of Henrician times that this remains a problem. Henry VIII seized the Church’s property to pay for conducting a war in France, and set up the Church of England with himself as its head, ostensibly because under the influence of the Holy Roman Emperor Charles V, the pope denied Henry an annulment from the Emperor’s niece, Queen Catherine.

Henry so enjoyed the title “Defender of the Faith,” given him by the pope in gratitude for a paper ghostwritten for him by Erasmus, that he had his puppet Parliament reconfer it, and it remains on some Canadian coinage (although Anglicans are fewer than 20% of Canadians).

Henry thus sundered the Christian Church in the British Isles, and married Anne Boleyn, but soon beheaded her on a false charge of adultery, in part for failure to produce a male heir, though the heir she did produce was the future, glorious Elizabeth I. Elizabeth had to wait out the proverbially bloody incumbency of her older half-sister, Mary, as the realm see-sawed back and forth with Rome over its adherence, and the Anglicans began a long self-examination, still not resolved, over whether they are Protestants or Catholics (though they have been quite consistent that they are not Roman Catholics).

If the paranoid official reaction to Rome had not arisen and persisted, the so-called (by MacAulay and the other utilitarian Whig myth-makers) Glorious Revolution of 1688 would not have occurred. The pig-headed James II was sent packing by his ungrateful daughters, scheming son-in-law, and the Duke of Marlborough, because he scandalized the Anglican establishment with his proposal of a Toleration Act for Roman Catholics, Jews, low church Protestants and non-believers, a concept 200 years ahead of its time. If the Stuarts had not been evicted, religious pluralism would have come earlier and the Hanoverians would not have been sent for.

This is all to say that these proposed reforms are desirable, but insufficient in themselves. The British monarch is not and never was a religious leader; the ecclesiastical differences between the Anglican and Roman Churches are subtle and could be bridged with a little flexibility on both sides. The Maronites and the Unionates (who have married clergy) are in communion with Rome and there were more obvious obstacles to those reconciliations than there are between Rome and Canterbury now.

Even those in the ostensibly Christian West who are not religious believers should recognize the positive and distinguished social and philosophical legacy of the Judeo-Christian tradition. And the last decade of warfare should make it clear to everyone that before the West goes completely into the secular deep end it should cover the sectarian-spiritual flank with respectable religious institutions and beliefs adequate to acquit us all of this insufferable Islamist charge of being a material-obsessed society of fools and infidels. Christianity reigned for centuries before the versatile (but apparently infrequent flyer) Gabriel was reported in the Koran to have appeared on behalf of Muhammad. Militant Muslims are perfectly entitled to the practice of their faith, but not to the continuous and uncontradicted disparagement of the traditions of the West (especially when they have sought admission to that society).

Republicans in the Commonwealth have dismissed these proposed changes as anachronistic nonsense, but they speak too loudly and too soon. It is republics with ceremonious presidents that are nonsense. In Germany and Italy, the presidents are just stand-ins for the Hohenzollern and Savoy monarchs dispensed with after failed wars, and the parliamentary leaders (Chancellor Merkel and Premier Berlusconi) direct the governments. Those countries would do at least as well with royal families in honorific positions, as they retain considerable public interest, as coverage of a recent Hohenzollern wedding, and as the Cambridges and the younger Spanish and Dutch and Swedish royals have lately shown. Retention of any interest at all in government institutions in these times of generally (though not in relatively well-governed Ottawa) inept government is a signal achievement.

Republics with presidents who are both chiefs of state and heads of government, like the United States and Brazil, where there is no prime minister, have seriously taken their distance from monarchy, other than in the extent to which the trappings of the presidency and personality of the president replicate a monarchy. (Franklin D. Roosevelt, for instance, was in all but name a monarch, albeit an elected one.)

As for Canada, its problem with the monarchy is that it is non-resident and, literally, un-Canadian. If the Cambridges were here for one or more five-year terms, they would be a smash, not least as ambassadors for Canada opposite other countries. (This is no rap on David Johnston, an outstandingly qualified Governor-General in every respect.)

If for any reason, some such idea as this is not a runner, the governor general should become a co-chief of state with the monarch, and not just a stand-in. A serious country cannot have a viceroy as its chief of state other than for two weeks every three years or so when a monarch from overseas, however distinguished, and who is officially shared with other countries, is physically present in Canada.

We have good people and good institutions. What is needed is a little creative thinking. The republicans, pounding the table and just demanding the abolition of the monarchy, are not contributing much to what should be an interesting and certainly is a timely, discussion.
 
E.R. Campbell said:
Politically it is, I think, better to take away QC's right duty to be humiliated.

This gives them just a sliver more share of seats (23.28) than they have of population (23.22). Québec's share of seats has declined from 24.59% to 23.28%, that's sufficient. In a near perfect world Québec will get at least one more seat at the next (2016?) redistribution while AB, BC and ON each get several more.

The political point, I believe is to keep QC's share of seats at or just above its share of population while, gradually, moving the other provinces (even PEI) closer and closer to their fair shares. That works for me.


Her Majesty's Loyal Opposition must propose improvements, and it does, according to this article which is reproduced under the Fair Dealing provisions of the Copyright Act from the Globe and Mail, by suggesting that Québec should have seven new seats:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/ottawa-notebook/three-extra-seats-not-enough-for-quebec-ndp-tells-tories/article2228008/
Three extra seats not enough for Quebec, NDP tells Tories

JANE TABER
OTTAWA— Globe and Mail Update

Posted on Monday, November 7, 2011

The NDP is demanding Stephen Harper respect his own 2006 motion that recognized Quebeckers as a nation within a united Canada by changing its new bill to give the province more than three seats in an expanded Commons.

“That motion meant something. It was meant to mean something to the people of Quebec,” Opposition democratic-reform critic David Christopherson told The Globe recently. “But it will only mean something if they see that the House is respecting the spirit of what that was.”

Mr. Christopherson and the NDP are disputing the government’s so-called Fair Representation Act, which seeks to increase the number of seats in the House of Commons by 30 to recognize growing populations in certain regions of the country. Fifteen news seats would be added to Ontario’s current complement of 106; six each would go to British Columbia and Alberta, which have 36 and 28 seats respectively; and Quebec would add three more to its 75.

The NDP, however, wants Quebec’s representation to be set at 24.35 per cent of total Commons seats – which was the percentage it held in 2006 when the Prime Minister tabled the motion recognizing Quebec nationhood. (In an expanded 338-seat House, that would give the province 82 MPs instead of the 78 apportioned by the current Tory legislation.)

“That gives some meaning and effect and shows that we just weren’t talking about respect but were willing to show respect for the uniqueness of the Quebecois nation within a united Canada,” Mr. Christoperson said.

The Official Opposition represents 58 of the existing 75 federal seats in Quebec. To emphasize their concern with the province’s, New Democrats did not support the Fair Representation Act when it came to a vote in the Commons last week.

Nevertheless, armed with a majority, the Conservatives passed the bill easily to committee. Mr. Christopherson and his team hope to be able make changes there, but they’re suspicious about how the government arrived at its seat count.

The Hamilton MP said he will ask the Conservatives why they chose not to use the new census figures for the seat allotments. The government had previously based its formula on “something called the provincial population estimates, which is a number used in calculating transfer payments,” Mr. Christopherson explained.

“We want to know if this is really an improvement ... or was that the figure they needed to put into their calculations to give them the seats they wanted at the end of the process?”

The current legislation is the Harper government’s third attempt at reforming the Commons. It is quite different from the previous bills, which gave Ontario more seats and did not include any addition representation for Quebec – which proved to be a stumbling block.

Mr. Christopherson, however, said he remains “optimistic” and “open-minded” the bill can be changed in committee. His hope is that those hearings result in legislation all parties can support.


The NDP has to do this; they, more than any other party, represent Québec in Ottawa and this - maintaining more than a fair share of seats, is Québec's position. It will not cost them anything in ROC. I'm not sure that the Liberals are on as 'safe' a course in threatening to sue the government over hiring a unilingual Auditor General - that may not play as well in ROC.
 
A proposal from 308.com

http://threehundredeight.blogspot.com/2011/11/proposal-for-house-and-senate.html

A proposal for the House and the Senate

The Conservatives, Liberals, and New Democrats have all proposed changes that could be made to how seats are allocated and distributed in the House of Commons.

The Conservative proposal aims to improve representation by adding 30 seats to the House, while the New Democrats have proposed to give Quebec more seats than are being offered by the Tories in order to keep the province at the same level of representation it had when it was recognized as a "nation within a united Canada."

The Liberals then came forward with a proposal to keep the number of seats in the House at 308 to reduce costs, and change the allocation of seats within that 308 to improve representation. They are the only party to suggest removing seats from certain provinces.

All of these proposals are aimed at improving representation, but all of them fail to give each province proper representation. Due to the senatorial clause requiring that a province have at least as many seats in the House of Commons as they do in the Senate, changes of real substance are impossible. In order to give each province proper representation but keep Prince Edward Island at four seats, the number of MPs needs to be increased to over 900.

In other words, all of these solutions are temporary, incomplete solutions that pass the problem on to the future. If we want proper representation in the House of Commons (and that is up for debate as well), something bolder needs to be attempted.

If there was no senatorial clause and no fear of removing seats from a province, proper representation could be easily achieved. But those are two major obstacles.

In order to get the senatorial clause off the books, the provinces would need to agree. As there are a lot of provinces that stand to lose seats for no other gain that is a non-starter.

To make a change to representation in the House of Commons requires a removal of the senatorial clause, and in order to remove the clause something needs to be given to the provinces in return. Taking this into consideration, here is my humble proposal and I invite readers to pick it apart.

I should point out that this is my proposed solution to this particular problem, if it is a problem that needs a solution. I am not advocating that either the House or the Senate needs substantial reform. It just seemed like an interesting puzzle to tackle.

Firstly, let's look at how to change the House of Commons formula for allocating seats. We will assume that the senatorial and grandfather clauses have been negotiated away (more on that later).

The proposal is a simple one. Every ten years, the number of seats each province receives is determined based on the newest data from the last census.

The proportion of the national population made up by each province and territory is calculated, and then applied to the number of seats in the House of Commons at the time of the re-distribution. In other words, there are 308 seats in the House now and if a province has 10% of the country's population, the province receives 30.8 seats. All decimals are then rounded-up, so this would give the province 31 seats. Using the latest estimates from Statistics Canada, this would give us the following seat distribution:

There are two reasons for rounding-up across the board. For one, it ensures that the territories would each have at least one MP. Secondly, it increases the size of the House incrementally every ten years, ensuring that MPs aren't representing huge ridings several decades from now but also ensuring that the House isn't growing by 30 seats every ten years.

Now, to the Senate. In order to get this kind of change approved by some of the provinces that stand to lose seats using this new formula, they need to be given something in the Senate. My proposal envisions a complete overhaul of how senators are chosen.

There would be 100 senators in this new Senate, with 10 from each province. This is similar to the U.S. Senate, where each state is represented by two senators. In this proposal, the House of Commons provides representation by population while the Senate is our chamber of second thought - an assembly of the provinces.

Senators, however, are not simply appointed by the federal government in this proposal. To get representation by population in the House, the federal apparatus gives up a little power in the Senate. In this proposal, the federal government chooses 40 of the senators while the remaining 60 are chosen by the provincial governments.

But in order to give the Senate a longer view towards the legislation it reviews, senators are not chosen en masse.

Each province would appoint two senators after each provincial election, meaning that senators would serve for three "terms". Each term begins and ends with a provincial election. This means senators would be entering and leaving the Senate at different times. A string of majority provincial governments would mean a senator's term could last 15 years (or 12 in the case of fixed-election provinces), while a string of minority governments could reduce a senator's term significantly. With each new provincial election, two new senators are appointed by the provincial government and the two longest serving senators from that province are dropped.

The purpose of giving the provinces the choice of 60 of the Senate's 100 members is to give them a reason to get on board. Provincial governments would actually have representatives, chosen by the provincial party leaders themselves, in Ottawa. While some provinces would lose representation in the Senate, they would gain influence as those members would be directly responsible to the provincial governments.

It would be the same system for the federal appointees, though they would sit for four terms. After each federal election, 10 federal senators (one from each province) would be appointed to the Senate, with the  longest serving federal senator from each province leaving the Senate.

But the Senate should not be a place to reward political operatives, and it should be accountable to the population. To reflect this, in addition to nominating candidates in provincial and federal ridings, parties would be required to nominate the people they would appoint to the Senate during an election campaign. This would prevent defeated candidates for the House of Commons being appointed to the Senate, since both riding candidates and senatorial candidates would need to be named for the vote is held.

For example, in the last election campaign each party would have nominated one senator per province that they would appoint if elected as the government. So, in addition to the 308 candidates they would also have 10 senator candidates. This would give voters an extra thing to consider when heading to the ballot box, and force parties to choose worthy senatorial candidates in order to help their parties' electoral chances.

Provincial parties would do the same during their election campaigns, nominating the two senators they would appoint to the Senate if elected.

One of the objections some provinces have to an elected senate would be removed in this manner. Elected senators would compete with the provincial government as a voice for the province. Provincial senators appointed by provincial governments would not be in competition with their governments - they would be answerable to them.

To avoid cases where senatorial nominees would resign immediately after being appointed in order to give the government in power the opportunity to appoint someone else, first-term senators would not be replaced if they retire. Only in case of death would a first-term senator's vacated spot be filled by the government, while vacancies arising from the death or retirement of two-, three, or four-term senators would be filled by the government in power but these appointees would be considered to have sat for as long as their replacement.

In other words, the replacement of a retiring fourth-term senator would only sit out that remaining term. Of course, the governing party could nominate this senator again in the next election campaign.

This system would retain the long-term view that senators can currently take into account, as terms could be as long as 16 years for federal senators. It would also make the make-up of the Senate different from the House, giving it a different point of view, both in terms of the staggering-in of appointees and the different parties represented.

Assuming that no senators would have died or retired and that this system had already been in place for the last four federal elections and three provincial elections, the make-up of the Senate would be as follows:

This would certainly give a lot of legislation sobre second thought, particularly considering that the voting blocks would not be as monolithic as they are now. The 56 Conservative/Progressive Conservative/Saskatchewan Party senators, along with the six B.C. Liberals, would be expected to vote together on a lot of legislation, but if the federal government is proposing things that are not in line with the interests of, say, Atlantic Canadian provinces, the coalition of 62 conservatives could fall apart. If the 16 Progressive Conservatives from Atlantic Canada voted with the opposition, for example, they could send a bill back to the House for revision.

In this way, the Senate would be more useful and also more accountable, as senatorial nominees would play a role in ensuring that their provincial or federal parties have success in elections and they would also play a role in ensuring that they can be joined by like-minded senators in subsequent elections. A senator that enrages the population may hurt his party's chances in the next election, meaning the balance of power within a provincial delegation could be changed. But at the same time, as a senator is in for at least three terms, they would be able to do what is right rather than what is popular from time to time.

By giving the provinces an incentive to remove the senatorial clause, this proposal improves representation within the House. It also makes the Senate a potentially more effective chamber with far more diverging points of view and senators not accountable to the federal government. It also has an aspect of electoral support thrown in, giving senators greater legitimacy.

Is our current system dysfunctional? Perhaps not, and these changes are not required. But it is, I hope, an interesting alternative solution.

Over to you readers for comment and criticism!
 
Here is a really good (if long) article that outlines the roles of the GG and the PM, and clarifies a lot of nebulous arguments about reserve powers, who does what and so on:

http://parliamentum.org/2011/11/28/constitutional-scholarship-or-political-activism-the-role-of-the-academy-following-the-coalition-prorogation-crisis-of-2008/

Constitutional Scholarship or Political Activism? The Role of the Academy Following the Coalition-Prorogation Crisis of 2008
Posted on 2011/11/28
   
Introduction

The line between academia and scholarship on the one hand and punditry and activism on the other has become increasingly blurred in Canada, especially in the wake of the coalition-prorogation crisis of December 2008. Recent works like Democratizing the Constitution: Reforming Responsible Government are emblematic of the attempt, as well as the failure, to reconcile the mutually exclusive concepts of political activism and constitutional scholarship.

A spin off of that book, Lori Turnbull’s column “A three-peat for prorogation? Bring on reform” in the Globe and Mail also effectively underscores this problem: sometimes the correct academic argument becomes an obstacle to effective activism. The article makes at least two factual errors and, more broadly, purports a serious conceptual error of interpretation about the nature of crown prerogative and the role of unwritten convention in Canada’s constitution.

Problems with Turnbull’s Column and Democratizing the Constitution: Reforming Responsible Government

On Prorogation and Crown Prerogative

Turnbull argued:

Technically, the power to prorogue belongs to the Crown and can be exercised “officially” by the governor-general alone, but this would never happen without the advice of the prime minister. No Canadian governor-general has refused a prime minister’s advice to prorogue. So history would suggest that the prime minister, not the governor-general, calls the tune, regardless of where the power lies constitutionally. This is not the case in other Westminster jurisdictions.


The Dignified and the Efficient Parts of the Crown

The Supreme Court of Canada recognized in the Patriation Reference that “constitutional conventions plus constitutional law equal the total constitution of the country.” Therefore,  constitutional conventions and the written constitution form equally important parts of Canada’s constitution. The Supreme Court cannot use one part of the constitution (like the Charter) the strike down another part of the constitution (like crown prerogative or parliamentary privilege). The Constitution Act, 1982 mentions that the governor general dissolves parliament, but the Letters Patent, 1947 provide the only complete written instruction that the governor general summons, prorogues, and dissolves parliament. By convention, the governor general cannot exercise any of those powers independently and does so only on the advice of the prime minister. According to the Manual of Official Procedure of the Government of Canada, the governor general’s reserve powers may allow him to reject the prime minister’s advice to dissolve, but not to prorogue or summon, parliament. The rejection of the prime minister’s advice does not equal independent gubernatorial action. Strictly speaking, “the Crown” consists of two parts, what Bagehot called the “dignified” and “efficient” functions, respectively: the Sovereign and governor general, and the prime minister and cabinet. Thus, “crown prerogative” follows this division; the sovereign or governor general possesses “reserve powers” (what I call “royal prerogative”), and prime minister and cabinet control the Governor-in-Council’s crown prerogative.

Given the role of convention in Canada’s constitution, I disagree with Turnbull’s assertion that the governor general can “officially” summon, prorogue, or dissolve parliament independently. Turnbull states correctly that no governor general has ever rejected the prime minister’s advice to prorogue. Based on my analysis above, I find the next statement problematic: “So history would suggest that the prime minister, not the governor-general, calls the tune, regardless of where the power lies constitutionally.” (Isn’t the idiom ‘to call the shots’?) The “power lies constitutionally” in both the governor general and the prime minister, who in effect jointly exercise this crown prerogative.

This over-simplification of crown prerogative and the role of convention in Canada’s constitution probably resulted from the constraints of the newspaper column. In any case, I would have attempted to re-phrase the nature of crown prerogative more effectively, perhaps as:
The crown’s prerogative powers to summon, prorogue, and dissolve in fact rest with both the governor general and the prime minister because the former only acts on the advice of the latter. Any attempt to alter formally and substantively this relationship between the governor general and the prime minister – the crown as a whole – would require an amendment to Section 41 (a) of the Constitution Act, 1982 (“the Office of the Queen, Governor General, and Lieutenant Governor of a province”), which requires the unanimity of the Parliament of Canada and all 10 provincial legislatures.

But more fundamentally, I disagree that the crown prerogative on prorogation should be eliminated and the power vested in the legislature, and ironically, this system would detract from the House’s”basic functions, including holding the government to account.” The government introduces most legislation, for which the opposition holds the government to account. The Prime Minister normally advises prorogation upon the completion of his government’s legislative program; the House’s basic function of holding the crown to account for its expenditures does not include the determination of the end of the government’s legislative agenda.

Jarvis and Turnbull acknowledge in the conclusion of Democratizing the Constitution that their plan to eliminate the crown prerogative of prorogation and vest it in parliament via a two-thirds supermajority would require a formal constitutional amendment, but I think that they have greatly underestimated the difficulty in achieving unanimity under Section 41 (a) of the Constitution Act, 1982.

Nevertheless, in her individual column, Turnbull argues that the Standing Orders of the House of Commons could formally constrain or eliminate the crown prerogative on prorogation.

A political prorogation is a blatant abuse of a prime minister’s access to the Crown’s prerogative powers. As citizens of an elected democracy, we should not tolerate it and, with a few basic changes to the House rules, we wouldn’t have to [emphasis added].     

I guess that Turnbull forgot about the arguments and political activism contained in her own book? Maybe Turnbull should have talked to Jarvis before submitting this column, and then he could have reminded her about the book that they wrote together, and how it was more accurate about this particular subject…

“Other Westminster Jurisdictions”. Which Ones? Please Elaborate!

Turnbull argues : “So history would suggest that the prime minister, not the governor-general, calls the tune, regardless of where the power lies constitutionally. This is not the case in other Westminster jurisdictions.” In which other Westminster jurisdictions has the crown prerogative on prorogation been eliminated? As I explained in the entry on Alex Salmond’s vision of an independent Scotland, the Scottish Parliament has eliminated the crown prerogatives on the summoning and dissolution of parliament by codifying the fixed elections to and automated summoning of parliament in the Scotland Act, 1998. However, the Scotland Act makes no mention whatsoever of the words “prorogue” and “prorogation”, which means that rather than eliminating the crown prerogative on prorogation, it eliminated prorogation itself. I explained in my entries on fixed-elections in the Commonwealth that the Westminster Parliament has devised the Fixed-Term Parliaments Act, which eliminates the crown prerogative on dissolution. The Act also says in Section 6, Paragraph 1 that “This Act does not affect Her Majesty’s power to prorogue Parliament.” The Fixed-Term Parliaments Act, 2011 does not affect prorogation at all. The New Zealand Cabinet Manual and the website of the Governor-General of New Zealand indicate that the Governor-General summons, prorogues, and dissolves parliament on the advice of the Prime Minister. The website of the Governor-General of Australia shows that the Australian viceroy carries precisely the same functions. None of the Canadian provinces have eliminated crown prerogative on prorogation either. I’m quite certain that all six Australian states also preserved the traditional standard.

So what other Westminster jurisdiction operates on the Jarvis-Turnbull principle that only a supermajority of two-thirds of the MPs in the lower house can sanction prorogation? I’ve only looked to the core Commonwealth, but I really wanted to know! Maybe Tuvalu or Jamaica do? And what does Turnbull mean by “Westminster jurisdiction”? I suspect that the phrase would only include legislatures within the 16 Commonwealth Realms that recognize Queen Elizabeth II as their Sovereign, but the vague term could also conceivably include any parliament within one of the 54 member-states (this figure includes the 16 Realms) of the Commonwealth of Nations, since they were all once part of the British Empire. Surely, the editors of the Globe and Mail could have accommodated a few extra words that elaborate on this argument.

Prime Minister Harper Has Thus Far Advised THREE Prorogations, Not Two.

Compared to the aforementioned significant conceptual errors, this statement seems minor. But surely, a Professor of Political Science should still have avoided making such a careless error. The Parliament of Canada provides an excellent repository of information on all of Canada’s 41 Parliaments, called ParlInfo. It compiles all statistics on the life of all 41 Parliaments, including every summoning, adjournment, prorogation, intersession, and dissolution in the history of the institution.

Turnbull argued: “If the rumours are true, this would be the third time that Mr. Harper has prorogued Parliament. The first occurred in December, 2008 [...].” This is incorrect. According to ParlInfo’s statistics on the 39th Parliament, Prime Minister Harper advised that his first prorogation occur on 14 September 2007, and the 2nd session of the 39th Parliament then convened on 16 October 2007 with a Speech from the Throne. Harper subsequently advised prorogation twice in the 40th Parliament. The first prorogation of the 41st Parliament will be the Harper government’s FOURTH, not third. Perhaps Turnbull meant, “the first prorogation of the 41st Parliament will be the Harper government’s third controversial prorogation.”

More fundamentally, now that the PM Harper leads a majority government, why would he advise a prorogation before the completion of his legislative agenda? Turnbull’s column never adequately responds to this point. The Prime Minister will not advise a prorogation until his current legislation program has passed both Houses of Parliament and received Royal Assent. Turnbull herself acknowledges that “[Routine prorogations] occur when the government has fully implemented its current agenda.” Perhaps Turnbull fears that the intersession of the prorogation would become too long. But in a majority parliament, the Harper government would never employ what she terms a “political prorogation” in order “to muzzle opposition criticism, to escape parliamentary scrutiny.” Her argument breaks down at this stage, because the Prime Minister clearly would not request a prorogation in a majority parliament until his legislation program has received Royal Assent, and because the opposition cannot truly threaten the viability of the government; only the Conservative backbenchers can in this majority parliament.

Turnbull continues:

The 2012 prorogation would be substantively different. First, there is no obvious political land mine to avoid. Second, the Conservatives have demonstrated how majority status confers an immunity of sorts from even the most scathing criticism from the opposition benches. These factors make a potential upcoming prorogation less necessary from a political standpoint, but the fact remains: We live in a country where a prime minister can shut down the House, the pre-eminent institution of our parliamentary democracy, on a whim, for no particular reason.

Conclusion

Essentially, the last quoted paragraph says, “I don’t like Stephen Harper, and therefore the rules by which prorogation is carried out should be changed.” This is what I mean by political activism as opposed to constitutional scholarship. The political activists use emotive words and phrases with negative connotations like “abuse”, “acting in bad faith”, “shutting down parliament”, etc. in order to justify their arguments and, more importantly, in order to portray anyone who disagrees with them as enablers of this “abuse.” This method therefore assigns a negative moral judgement to all those who disagree with the political activist’s arguments and attempts to portray those opposed as deceptive at best and evil at worst. This political activist’s tactic subtlety attempts to limit the parameters of acceptable discourse from the outset; in contrast, a true constitutional scholar would “follow the logos”, acknowledge the fair points of opposing arguments, and draw conclusions after examining all available evidence. The political activist defines his position and dismisses competing views as not only factually incorrect or conceptually flawed, but as morally wrong. In so doing, the political activist attempts to frame the debate and market his ideas in the media and to anyone who will listen.

Ultimately, academics must choose: will they engage in true constitutional scholarship, or will they descend into punditry and political activism? In addition, once they have chosen, will they masquerade thinly veiled political activism as having produced true constitutional scholarship? As I described in the “about” section of this blog, the Coalition-Prorogation Crisis of 2008 galvanized me and motivated me to learn more about Canada’s constitution. At the time, the Conservatives made incorrect and inaccurate statements about the legality of coalition governments in the Westminster system; and the Liberal-New Democratic coalition that the Bloc supported made incorrect and inaccurate statements about prorogation, crown prerogative, and what constitutes a loss of confidence in the government. I reserve criticism for both sides. In “No Discretion”, Nick MacDonald and I offered a novel interpretation of prorogation and the nature of the reserve powers of the crown, which I hope has enriched the overall scholarship and academic literature. However, in the conclusion, we acknowledged the normative nature of some of the arguments and that they contradict how some of the events unfolded in reality– because that piece intended to offer novel constitutional scholarship that challenged the prevailing orthodoxy through an historical analysis, rather thinly-veiled political activism designed as a call to reform the system.

While researching for my individual paper that contributed to “No Discretion”, a wise historian told me that in the wake of the Coalition-Prorogation Crisis of 2008, many scholars have conflated the political with the constitutional (in other words, used their political views in order to make an interpretations of the constitution) and thus failed to maintain the distinctions between the two. I could not agree more, and I would extend the distinction to one of constitutional scholarship vs. political activism.
 
E.R. Campbell said:
Good news about new seats in this article which is reproduced under the Fair Dealing provisions of the Copyright Act from the Globe and Mail:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/john-ibbitson/adding-seats-to-house-of-commons-a-political-windfall-for-tories/article2271940/

Roll on 2015!


Here, reproduced under the Fair Dealing provisions of the Copyright Act from the National Post is a good graphic showing the details of the (pending) new seat redistribution:

http://news.nationalpost.com/2011/12/15/graphic-renovating-the-house-of-commons/
nl1216a004x-read-only.jpg

 
The next major renovation for the parliament building will be the removal of all the desks in the House of Commons, as like the UK.
 
Rifleman62 said:
The next major renovation for the parliament building will be the removal of all the desks in the House of Commons, as like the UK.


I agree with you because if we are ever going to get anywhere near something like "rep by pop" (excepting for the three Territories, PEI and Newfoundland and Labrador which, for constitution reasons must remain badly overrepresented in a house with less than about 900 seats) then we need, by 2019, to have a HoC with 399 seats distributed as shown below (assuming the provincial shares (for eight provinces) of the national population remains the same as now).

 
Seven new (Conservative) senators, according to this article, reproduced under the Fair Dealing provisions of the Copyright Act from the Globe and Mail:

http://www.theglobeandmail.com/news/politics/pm-appoints-seven-new-senators-many-with-tory-ties/article2294404/
PM appoints seven new senators, many with Tory ties

GLORIA GALLOWAY

OTTAWA— From Saturday's Globe and Mail
Published Friday, Jan. 06, 2012

Prime Minister Stephen Harper has further assured the allegiance of the Red Chamber with the naming of seven new senators, many of them with strong ties to his Conservative Party.

The group includes a former Conservative MP, a failed Conservative candidate and a Conservative organizer. Also included is Betty Unger, who ran unsuccessfully for the Canadian Alliance and placed second in a Senate election in her home province of Alberta in 2004.

“I look forward to working with these talented individuals in Parliament,” Mr. Harper said in a news release issued late on Friday afternoon when the appointments were made public.

Mr. Harper came to office in 2006 vowing not to appoint unelected senators. But he reversed that position in late 2008, naming 18 people, most of them known for their service to the Conservative Party.

Charlie Angus, the NDP critic for democratic reform, whose party would like the Senate abolished, said it is clear that Mr. Harper is intent on filling the Chamber with Tory partisans. “It seems the only qualification to get a job in Ottawa is to have flipped pancakes at Conservative fundraisers,” he said.

Daniel Lauzon, a spokesman for the federal Liberals, said appointments announced late on a Friday afternoon speak for themselves, and that the backgrounds of the appointees demonstrate that they are intensely partisan.

All new senators have pledged to support legislation to limit term lengths and encourage the provinces and territories to hold elections for Senate nominees. They are:

JoAnne Buth in Manitoba. Ms. Buth is president of the Canola Council of Canada, a group that has received millions of dollars from the federal Conservative government.

Norman Doyle in Newfoundland. Mr. Doyle entered federal politics as a Progressive Conservative MP in 1997. He served in Newfoundland’s House of Assembly from 1979 to 1993, holding several cabinet portfolios.

Ghislain Maltais in Quebec. Mr. Maltais worked as a contractor for the Conservative Party of Canada from 2006 to 2007, and has been the director of the Conservative Party in Quebec since 2009.

Asha Seth in Ontario. Dr. Seth is an obstetrician and gynecologist in Toronto and is best known for her philanthropic endeavours. She founded the NIMDAC Foundation, which has raised funds for organizations such as the Heart and Stroke Foundation.

Betty Unger in Alberta. Ms. Unger has been a “senator-in-waiting” since 2004, when she placed second in an election to Bert Brown, who was appointed to the Senate in 2007. She was a candidate for the Canadian Alliance in Edmonton West in the federal election of 2000, but lost to Liberal cabinet minister Anne McLellan.

Vernon White in Ontario. Mr. White has been the Chief of Police in Ottawa since May, 2007. He has also been head of the Regional Police Service in Durham, Ont., and spent more than 20 years with the Royal Canadian Mounted Police, leaving as an assistant commissioner.

Jean-Guy Dagenais in Quebec. Mr. Dagenais was the Conservative candidate in the riding of Saint-Hyacinthe-Bagot in last year’s federal election. He worked as a peace officer from 1972 to 1996 at the Sûreté du Québec. His appointment will take effect after he clears up some legal formalities, the Prime Minister’s Office said.

 
So, I'm confused... I thought PM Harper was appointing Senators before so he could get a majority in the Senate, in order to reform it... "playing at their own game" so to speak....

Is it really necessary, now that he has a majority in the HoC and a majority in the Senate, to appoint 7 more? Seems like a lot of extra cash being spent for no reason, by a self-proclaimed "fiscally responsible" government...
 
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