- Reaction score
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- Points
- 210
Kirkhill said:Here's a thought - let's assume that 50% of the Canadian Population is opposed to the mission. The polls also seem to indicate that 50% support the mission.
With Layton, Duceppe and Dion splitting the opposed vote that leaves 50% available to support the Conservatives.
If the Opposition parties succeed in making Afghanistan THE issue in the next election which party is likely to benefit?
Keep in mind that 40% of the vote buys a majority in this country.
TV ads of Canadian Soldiers "Fighting Chaos", digging wells, putting smiling Afghan girls back to school.
It only works IF Afghanistan is the issue. Therefore Afghanistan probably won't be the issue.
Quebec "Nationalism" is off the table as a Liberal/Conservative wedge. It will always be a Separatist/Federalist wedge.
Hence the push on the Environment for the Liberals and the fear of resolving "THE FISCAL IMBALANCE" by the Bloc.
And don't forget that a fraction of those eligible to vote actually go and vote -- a variable which skews the entire support/against Afghanistan as an election debate.
As for Fiscal imbalance: the only ones making noise now about fiscal imbalance are those Provinces seen as 'Have-Nots.' And right now it's only Quebec (politicians) making that noise. I thought that issue was done and over with.
So in closing I don't think this will be an election debate, I think Duceppe will try to make it one but the other parties won't bite. Even Layton is starting to realise this issue is making him lose popularity with the swing voters. The only time he is listened to is when there are heavy casualties and lately he has been very tactfull how he says how he wants the troops to be pulled out.