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Political impacts of Ukraine war

Reading this document might give some insights into what the Yanks are beating us up about.
That Canada is investing 50% *more in USA than vice versa?
 
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That Canada is investing 50% in USA than vice versa?

Didn't say it was rational...

But skimming some of the early paragraphs there seems to be a lot of chatter about barriers to investment. It's almost as if the complaint is that they can't get enough of Canada....

Maybe we should be looking at Hawaii's history.


The Hawaiian Kingdom was overthrown in a coup d'état against Queen Liliʻuokalani that took place on January 17, 1893, on the island of Oahu. The coup was led by the Committee of Safety, composed of seven foreign residents (five Americans, one Scotsman, and one German and six Hawaiian Kingdom subjects of American descent in Honolulu. The Committee prevailed upon American minister John L. Stevens to call in the US Marines to protect the national interest of the United States of America. The insurgents established the Republic of Hawaii, but their ultimate goal was the annexation of the islands to the United States, which occurred in 1898.

...

More realistically the stuff they reference is things like restrictions on banking, purchasing residential land, multiple jurisdictions, digital taxes.... a lot of stuff that shows up in the news recently.
 
That Canada is investing 50% in USA than vice versa?

Further to...

Best revenge would be to create a climate in which Canadians kept that 700 BUSD at home and invested it in Canada.

Just as a reminder that is a rate and not a sum. Canadians sending 700 BUSD per year out of the country to invest in other peoples' projects because they get better returns on the investment and have more faith in getting their money back.

There are bound to be some Canadians, presented with the right terms that would be willing to invest in HSR? Or East West Pipelines, or Energy Corridors, or Eagle Spirit or Northern Gateway or Nuclear power or Windmills....

700 BUSD annually. 20 TMX pipelines a year. Or 7 HSR projects a year.

....

It strikes me that somebody is doing something wrong.
 
Canada has the potential to fill a good portion of the of the Arsenal of Democracy.

We just need the will.
You need more than the will, you need actually industrial capacity and diversity.

BAE would be a good entity to partner with as they have a slew of products, and with a lot of their production being US based, it would offer a North American option for those who don’t want to buy American.

*Yes BAE bought up FMC and others defense arms, so many to the designs are US IP and ITAR restricted, but BAE has a lot of non US based systems.

They also make Surface Combatants (like the CSC Type 26 base) and Submarines, Nuclear and Non).
 
You need more than the will, you need actually industrial capacity and diversity.

BAE would be a good entity to partner with as they have a slew of products, and with a lot of their production being US based, it would offer a North American option for those who don’t want to buy American.

*Yes BAE bought up FMC and others defense arms, so many to the designs are US IP and ITAR restricted, but BAE has a lot of non US based systems.

They also make Surface Combatants (like the CSC Type 26 base) and Submarines, Nuclear and Non).

That's called the will. We can do all this, we just have to want too.
 
You need more than the will, you need actually industrial capacity and diversity.

BAE would be a good entity to partner with as they have a slew of products, and with a lot of their production being US based, it would offer a North American option for those who don’t want to buy American.

*Yes BAE bought up FMC and others defense arms, so many to the designs are US IP and ITAR restricted, but BAE has a lot of non US based systems.

They also make Surface Combatants (like the CSC Type 26 base) and Submarines, Nuclear and Non).



CV90, CV90MkIV, CV90 IFV, CV90120, CV90 Mjolner, CV90 Armadillo,
AMPV, Bradley, M109A7, M109-52, ACV, M113
Archer, Archer Switzerland, Tridon AAA, Caiman MRAP, RG33 MRAP, Tactica APC
BvS10, BvS10 Beowulf
 
That's called the will. We can do all this, we just have to want too.
Not having the siren song/arm twist from south of the border working against establishing a domestic capacity (whoever owns it) won't hurt either.

Time to encourage Korean, British, German, Swedish, and French firms to build plants in Canada, as well as making room for purely domestic outfits. See if there's any defence firms in Ukraine who might benefit from being somewhere that's not alive with Russian drones or spies, especially anyone building things that will persist in value post a Russian defeat.
 
Not having the siren song/arm twist from south of the border working against establishing a domestic capacity (whoever owns it) won't hurt either.

Time to encourage Korean, British, German, Swedish, and French firms to build plants in Canada, as well as making room for purely domestic outfits. See if there's any defence firms in Ukraine who might benefit from being somewhere that's not alive with Russian drones or spies, especially anyone building things that will persist in value post a Russian defeat.

We can offer Chinese drones and spies! 😆
 
Not having the siren song/arm twist from south of the border working against establishing a domestic capacity (whoever owns it) won't hurt either.

Time to encourage Korean, British, German, Swedish, and French firms to build plants in Canada, as well as making room for purely domestic outfits. See if there's any defence firms in Ukraine who might benefit from being somewhere that's not alive with Russian drones or spies, especially anyone building things that will persist in value post a Russian defeat.

Well, we already tried that...

Fate of $100 billion in Canadian EV projects in doubt as political landscape shifts​

As Trudeau prepares to exit and Trump takes helm in U.S., policies that helped prop up the industry are being scaled back or cancelled


But as Prime Minister Justin Trudeau prepares to exit office in March, construction on many of those projects has hardly begun, and only a fraction of the estimated $31 billion in federal support has been distributed. That, in turn, has raised questions about whether any of the proposed EV projects will be scaled back or even cancelled, especially if EV sales stutter.


 
That Canada is investing 50% *more in USA than vice versa?

This has got me thinking. I need a better economics advisor.

The only thing that kind of makes sense to me is:

Foreign Investment is seen as a liability and not an asset. Financially that is literally true and politically it can be true (Chinese investment in Canada for example). But the counter to this is Trump actively courting foreign investment at Davos, making great play of the Saudi package, and using tariffs to support a competitive tax regime that, together with the tariffs, creates an attractive environment for foreign investment.

But.

Foreign investment represents a cash out flow (I think).

If Canada is investing 50% more in the US than the US is in Canada then Canadians are reaping benefits from the US economy that the US isn't getting from Canada.

Also

Why are Canadians investing more in the US than they are in Canada, and why aren't Americans investing more in Canada? Is that because the quality of the investments are better in the US? More surety? Better rates of return? Because, I think, better rates of return will only exacerbate the cash outflow that results from the investment disparity.

If all that then

To even out the cash flow resulting from the investment difference than the US might want better access to better investment opportunities in Canada (and other countries)


....

As I said I need a better economics advisor. Any thoughts?
 

Trudeau will attend security summit in Ukraine on 3rd anniversary of war

Trudeau "attends". Just like he recently spent a week in Europe "attending".

He likes the spotlight, even though it has been very dim for years. He likes the first class travel and accn. He likes feeding his ego. He likes flittering around.

He does frick all, and no one in Europe pays him any mind.
 
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Not mention Vance and Musk stumped for the AFD and it seems like Germania rejected that.

1740407192792.png

Grey is Christian Democrats
Blue is Alternative for Deutschland
Red is Socialist Party of Deutschland
Green is Greens
Purple is The Left

By and large the Ostis (the Easterners) broke for AfD while the Westerners broke for the Christian Democrats, historically the Church party with traditional values (Faith, Family, Fatherland).

One historical curiousity that took my attention was that in the West the SPD retained Bremen, Bremerhaven, Oldenburg and Hanover and a few other towns. Bremen, Bremerhaven, Oldenburg and Hanover are all associated with the British royal family. On the other hand Saxe Gotheburg in the east fell to the AfD. Something and nothing.
 
View attachment 91553

Grey is Christian Democrats
Blue is Alternative for Deutschland
Red is Socialist Party of Deutschland
Green is Greens
Purple is The Left

By and large the Ostis (the Easterners) broke for AfD while the Westerners broke for the Christian Democrats, historically the Church party with traditional values (Faith, Family, Fatherland).

One historical curiousity that took my attention was that in the West the SPD retained Bremen, Bremerhaven, Oldenburg and Hanover and a few other towns. Bremen, Bremerhaven, Oldenburg and Hanover are all associated with the British royal family. On the other hand Saxe Gotheburg in the east fell to the AfD. Something and nothing.

The East German judge... nothing if not consistent ;)
 
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